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AEK Athens vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 87-91
14-17 18-23 29-20 26-31
Position#9
Record8-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#7
Record11-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v Promitheas
20 Mar 2027
AAT v PRO
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
AAT102
PRO85
26 Sep 2025
AAT70
PRO84
19 May 2025
AAT91
PRO67
08 Feb 2025
AAT91
PRO71
29 Jan 2025
AAT97
PRO76
20 Mar 2024
AAT67
PRO79
09 Mar 2024
AAT87
PRO91
03 Dec 2022
AAT73
PRO70
23 May 2022
AAT82
PRO95
04 Dec 2021
AAT81
PRO77
09 Jun 2021
AAT95
PRO72
04 Jun 2021
AAT113
PRO101
16 Jan 2021
AAT75
PRO82
30 Nov 2019
AAT73
PRO68
02 Mar 2019
AAT83
PRO62
28 Apr 2018
AAT75
PRO76
19 Nov 2016
AAT76
PRO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 77
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 77
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 77
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 77
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
80-103
80
103
-23
64avg 77
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 77
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 77
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 77
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 77
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
101avg 77
H05/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-24
29-24
20-26
18-20
22-15
18-27
21-18
26-15
26-32
23-15
20-24
26-23
12-23
13-14
17-19
19-27
17-24
19-29
25-23
25-27
14-15
21-20
19-22
16-28
19-20
18-20
16-21
15-20
15-19
18-20
24-20
22-23
22-22
23-16
27-24
18-15
20-21
19-25
20-16
172.5Avg total
83.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.185.5171.6+0.642%
Season at home (9)90.084.8174.8+5.256%
Season away (10)82.686.1168.7-3.530%
Last 10 (10)83.589.0172.5-5.520%
Last 5 (5)84.489.8174.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.688.4168.0-8.90%
vs Similar (10)86.286.4172.6-0.240%
vs Weaker (12)89.979.8169.7+10.275%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#33
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 78
H23/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
L
84-89
84
89
-5
76avg 78
A27/01
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 78
A30/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
57-81
57
81
-24
47avg 78
H04/02
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 78
A06/02
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
84-56
84
56
+28
84avg 78
A10/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
88-48
88
48
+40
90avg 78
H16/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 78
A17/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#8
W
70-57
70
57
+13
62avg 78
H02/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 78
H05/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-22
27-18
18-21
23-26
18-25
16-23
27-15
18-26
16-20
12-19
35-25
11-21
17-18
17-24
12-18
13-17
12-10
25-18
24-20
16-11
20-8
22-18
26-19
30-16
21-13
22-6
15-13
15-23
21-17
19-30
22-21
20-14
17-15
19-12
14-16
13-16
26-20
20-19
20-23
150.8Avg total
77.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.379.7164.1+4.658%
Season at home (10)84.076.4160.4+7.670%
Season away (9)84.783.4168.1+1.244%
Last 10 (10)77.473.4150.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)79.666.0145.6+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.282.0151.2-12.820%
vs Similar (9)75.378.2153.6-2.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.378.2168.6+12.181%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
AEK AthensPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/03
Champions League
82.6Avg total
39.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.482.7-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.642.485.9+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)37.442.479.8-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.443.282.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.079.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.946.183.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (10)42.440.282.6+2.270%-
vs Weaker (12)41.342.383.7-1.050%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H23/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A27/01
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A30/01
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H04/02
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A06/02
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A10/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H02/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/03
Champions League
71.8Avg total
36.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.479.2+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.277.3+6.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.781.0-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.671.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.670.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.241.275.4-7.020%-
vs Similar (9)33.838.272.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.737.784.4+9.081%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.622.9
51.3%
52.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.1
29.3%
33.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
71.5%18.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.1
50.3%
52.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
71.5%14.1
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLLLLLWLL
Promitheas
WWLWWWLLLW
#9
League position
#7
-7.4
Net rating
+5.6
106.8
Offensive rating
106.5
114.2
Defensive rating
100.9
49.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
21.4%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.3%
3-point %
37.1%
57.2%
Assist %
62.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 106.5Defence114.2 · 100.9Shooting49.0% · 52.8%3-point %29.3% · 37.1%Ball care18.2% · 21.4%Off. rebounds34.0% · 32.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEK Athens wins
6
Promitheas wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HHapoel Holon108-112 OT
02/03/24APAOK94-85
15/02/24APanathinaikos72-79
12/02/24HPanathinaikos69-89
06/02/24HMurcia79-84
03/02/24AKolossos Rhodes80-103
30/01/24AHapoel Holon68-79
27/01/24AAS Karditsas95-86
23/01/24APromitheas79-80
20/01/24HAris91-93
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HMurcia79-78
02/03/24HAris70-57
17/02/24AOlympiacos77-91
16/02/24HPanionios88-48
10/02/24AApollon Patras84-56
06/02/24AHapoel Holon74-65
04/02/24HOlympiacos57-81
30/01/24AMurcia81-90
27/01/24ALavrio84-89
23/01/24HAEK Athens80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayWLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game86.190.082.6
Allowed / game85.584.886.1
Point differential+0.6+5.2-3.5
Avg total171.6174.8168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Promitheas
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeLWLLW70%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%70%44%
Points / game84.384.084.7
Allowed / game79.776.483.4
Point differential+4.6+7.6+1.2
Avg total164.1160.4168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos1918195%85.469.7+15.7
3 Olympiacos2018290%84.768.0+16.7
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W97278%75.660.7+14.9
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W96367%81.966.7+15.2
6 Peristeri2013765%81.273.3+7.9
7 Promitheas1911858%84.379.7+4.6
8 Aris1911858%77.276.3+0.9
9 AEK Athens1981142%86.185.5+0.6
10 PAOK1981142%73.078.1-5.1
11 Kolossos Rhodes1971237%81.084.9-3.9
12 Lavrio2071335%75.884.7-8.9
13 AS Karditsas1961332%74.579.5-5.0
14 Maroussi1961332%82.288.2-5.9
15 Siauliai W92722%67.275.2-8.0
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W102820%58.073.7-15.7
17 Apollon Patras2031715%66.183.7-17.6
18 Panevezys W91811%59.886.1-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1418292687
Promitheas1723203191
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