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PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 71-88
21-14 14-23 20-25 16-26
Position#3
Record11-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#4
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game78.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 19
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · PAOK v AEK Athens
24 Oct 2026
PAK65
AAT62
14 Feb 2026
PAK71
AAT88
12 Apr 2025
PAK94
AAT69
13 Feb 2025
PAK84
AAT65
26 Oct 2024
PAK87
AAT82
02 Mar 2024
PAK85
AAT94
01 Apr 2023
PAK78
AAT72
14 May 2022
PAK96
AAT72
13 May 2021
PAK81
AAT73
13 Mar 2021
PAK85
AAT87
07 Dec 2019
PAK67
AAT71
05 Mar 2019
PAK75
AAT84
26 Jan 2019
PAK88
AAT79
03 Nov 2018
PAK82
AAT80
16 May 2018
PAK78
AAT74
16 Dec 2017
PAK86
AAT65
12 Nov 2016
PAK71
AAT78
11 Jan 2015
PAK73
AAT71
13 Nov 2010
PAK92
AAT70
09 Jan 2010
PAK77
AAT69
14 Dec 2008
PAK77
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
106-88
106
88
+18
104avg 77
H20/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
72-68
72
68
+4
67avg 77
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
81avg 77
A03/01
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
73-95
73
95
-22
66avg 77
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H18/01
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
87-67
87
67
+20
81avg 77
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
70-67
70
67
+3
67avg 77
A24/01
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
W
101-67
101
67
+34
105avg 77
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 77
A07/02
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
87-88
87
88
-1
80avg 77
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
28-21
26-15
26-30
17-18
15-22
16-8
24-20
21-26
23-20
20-16
21-23
16-31
23-18
15-25
19-21
9-28
18-15
31-12
11-19
18-10
24-19
18-23
27-15
14-15
16-23
20-11
20-18
28-17
26-8
24-21
23-21
15-22
29-14
21-23
25-19
30-24
20-18
25-22
12-24
164.2Avg total
84.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.179.7162.7+3.473%
Season at home (6)84.879.8164.7+5.067%
Season away (9)81.979.6161.4+2.378%
Last 10 (10)84.979.3164.2+5.660%
Last 5 (5)87.073.4160.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.688.4167.0-9.80%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.184.0170.1+2.178%
vs Weaker (15)86.175.3161.3+10.893%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 79
H27/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
95avg 79
A03/01
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
90-65
90
65
+25
94avg 79
H11/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
A17/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 79
H21/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 79
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 79
H31/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
91avg 79
A03/02
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 79
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
90-62
90
62
+28
90avg 79
A10/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-18
25-24
20-16
23-20
31-29
21-23
19-14
26-16
18-27
23-11
23-11
20-16
19-18
21-22
19-15
20-19
14-18
19-22
35-14
22-26
20-20
22-24
24-10
20-31
29-11
22-22
25-19
27-20
15-24
12-14
23-19
23-15
14-26
17-18
29-15
26-19
27-9
18-19
19-15
164.3Avg total
88.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.878.2162.1+5.675%
Season at home (8)82.576.5159.0+6.075%
Season away (8)85.180.0165.1+5.175%
Last 10 (10)88.376.0164.3+12.3100%
Last 5 (5)90.077.8167.8+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.291.0165.2-16.825%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.078.2156.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (21)86.573.4159.9+13.195%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +8.8+8.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +8.8+8.8
PAOKAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H20/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/01
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H18/01
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A24/01
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/02
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
80.7Avg total
41.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.382.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.939.185.0+6.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.479.8-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.180.7+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.034.078.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.646.684.2-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.241.984.1+0.367%-
vs Weaker (15)43.037.980.9+5.160%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A03/01
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A17/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H21/01
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H31/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A03/02
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A10/02
Champions League
83.1Avg total
43.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.280.9+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.180.8+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)42.738.381.0+4.471%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.083.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.284.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.849.282.0-16.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.839.078.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker (21)44.037.281.2+6.781%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.4
56.0%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.4
35.7%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
74.4%12.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.7
55.8%
54.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.0
39.6%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.419.3
76.0%
74.4%19.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWWWWLLLWW
AEK Athens
WWWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+8.1
Net rating
+14.3
104.5
Offensive rating
109.9
96.5
Defensive rating
95.6
55.0%
Effective FG%
57.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.6%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.7%
3-point %
39.6%
59.4%
Assist %
71.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 109.9Defence96.5 · 95.6Shooting55.0% · 57.2%3-point %35.7% · 39.6%Ball care15.0% · 14.6%Off. rebounds32.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ PAOK   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
PAOK wins
6
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25AEK Athens v PAOK76-78
27/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-85 OT
12/04/25PAOK v AEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-76
13/02/25PAOK v AEK Athens84-65
19/01/25AEK Athens v PAOK91-68
26/10/24PAOK v AEK Athens87-82
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HBilbao87-88
07/02/26AKolossos Rhodes90-78
04/02/26HSporting CP101-67
24/01/26APanionios70-67
21/01/26ABC Prievidza87-67
18/01/26HPanathinaikos69-74
13/01/26ABilbao73-95
03/01/26AMykonos94-101 OT
28/12/25AAS Karditsas72-68
20/12/25HPanionios106-88
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26AAS Karditsas90-62
07/02/26HMaroussi83-74
03/02/26ATofas93-90 OT
31/01/26HKolossos Rhodes96-83
28/01/26HAlba Berlin88-80
21/01/26HAS Karditsas88-73
17/01/26AAS Karditsas79-71
11/01/26HMykonos90-65
03/01/26APromitheas94-86
27/12/25HAris82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %73%67%78%
Points / game83.184.881.9
Allowed / game79.779.879.6
Point differential+3.4+5.0+2.3
Avg total162.7164.7161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %7%0%11%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game83.882.585.1
Allowed / game78.276.580.0
Point differential+5.6+6.0+5.1
Avg total162.1159.0165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos18180100%97.878.8+18.9
2 Panathinaikos1715288%90.676.5+14.2
3 AEK Athens1612475%83.878.2+5.6
4 PAOK1511473%83.179.7+3.4
5 Aris169756%84.282.6+1.7
6 Peristeri178947%78.081.4-3.4
7 Iraklis1771041%80.481.8-1.5
8 Mykonos1771041%77.382.8-5.5
9 Promitheas1761135%85.188.2-3.1
10 Panionios1751229%79.588.3-8.8
11 Kolossos Rhodes1741324%77.783.9-6.2
12 AS Karditsas1741324%77.286.2-9.1
13 Maroussi1731418%86.392.9-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2114201671
AEK Athens1423252688
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