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AEK Athens vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 67-79
12-11 17-20 17-24 21-24
Position#33
Record5-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#13
Record8-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game78.9
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · AEK Athens v Promitheas
20 Mar 2027
AAT v PRO
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
AAT102
PRO85
26 Sep 2025
AAT70
PRO84
19 May 2025
AAT91
PRO67
08 Feb 2025
AAT91
PRO71
29 Jan 2025
AAT97
PRO76
20 Mar 2024
AAT67
PRO79
09 Mar 2024
AAT87
PRO91
03 Dec 2022
AAT73
PRO70
23 May 2022
AAT82
PRO95
04 Dec 2021
AAT81
PRO77
09 Jun 2021
AAT95
PRO72
04 Jun 2021
AAT113
PRO101
16 Jan 2021
AAT75
PRO82
30 Nov 2019
AAT73
PRO68
02 Mar 2019
AAT83
PRO62
28 Apr 2018
AAT75
PRO76
19 Nov 2016
AAT76
PRO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 78
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
80-103
80
103
-23
64avg 78
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 78
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 78
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 78
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 78
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
101avg 78
H05/03
Champions League
Promitheas
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
87avg 78
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 78
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
90avg 78
A16/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
12-23
13-14
17-19
19-27
17-24
19-29
25-23
25-27
14-15
21-20
19-22
16-28
19-20
18-20
16-21
15-20
15-19
18-20
24-20
22-23
22-22
23-16
27-24
18-15
20-21
19-25
20-16
14-17
18-23
29-20
26-31
15-35
29-20
19-24
26-21
24-17
23-20
23-22
20-23
174.0Avg total
83.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.583.3169.7+3.245%
Season at home (5)93.483.6177.0+9.860%
Season away (6)80.783.0163.7-2.333%
Last 10 (10)83.690.4174.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)93.694.0187.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.891.4174.1-8.60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.886.7173.5+0.140%
vs Weaker (11)89.678.1167.7+11.582%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
57-81
57
81
-24
47avg 78
H04/02
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
74-65
74
65
+9
69avg 78
A06/02
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
84-56
84
56
+28
84avg 78
A10/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
88-48
88
48
+40
90avg 78
H16/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 78
A17/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#8
W
70-57
70
57
+13
62avg 78
H02/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 78
H05/03
Champions League
AEK Athens
#9
W
91-87
91
87
+4
79avg 78
A09/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
92-93
92
93
-1
83avg 78
H13/03
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
no box
H16/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
17-18
17-24
12-18
13-17
12-10
25-18
24-20
16-11
20-8
22-18
26-19
30-16
21-13
22-6
15-13
15-23
21-17
19-30
22-21
20-14
17-15
19-12
14-16
13-16
26-20
20-19
20-23
17-14
23-18
20-29
31-26
24-21
10-26
25-26
33-20
14-4
19-19
25-25
17-27
153.1Avg total
79.6Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.978.9162.8+5.062%
Season at home (7)86.177.3163.4+8.971%
Season away (6)81.380.8162.2+0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.673.5153.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)83.278.8162.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.282.0151.2-12.820%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.680.6158.2-3.025%
vs Weaker (17)88.878.0166.8+10.882%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
AEK AthensPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/03
Champions League
Promitheas
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/03
Basket League
82.2Avg total
38.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.482.9-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.041.484.4+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)38.643.281.8-4.635%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.982.2-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.647.885.4-10.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.739.682.3+3.170%-
vs Weaker (11)41.541.583.0+0.155%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H04/02
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A06/02
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A10/02
Basket League
Panionios
#2
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H02/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/03
Champions League
AEK Athens
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H13/03
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H16/03
Basket League
68.0Avg total
35.9Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.877.9+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.934.675.5+6.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.080.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)35.932.168.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.470.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.241.275.4-7.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.639.071.6-6.40%-
vs Weaker (17)45.436.281.6+9.182%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.323.2
53.6%
51.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.7
31.5%
34.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
74.5%16.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.3
53.4%
51.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
75.9%
74.5%14.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLLLWLLLLL
Promitheas
WLWWWLWWWL
#33
League position
#13
-9.0
Net rating
+6.5
108.4
Offensive rating
109.0
117.4
Defensive rating
102.5
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.5%
3-point %
35.4%
57.5%
Assist %
58.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 109.0Defence117.4 · 102.5Shooting51.5% · 53.3%3-point %31.5% · 35.4%Ball care17.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AEK Athens wins
7
Promitheas wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AMaroussi90-82
12/03/24AMurcia89-100
09/03/24HPromitheas87-91
05/03/24HHapoel Holon108-112 OT
02/03/24APAOK94-85
15/02/24APanathinaikos72-79
12/02/24HPanathinaikos69-89
06/02/24HMurcia79-84
03/02/24AKolossos Rhodes80-103
30/01/24AHapoel Holon68-79
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HKolossos Rhodes84-79 OT
13/03/24HHapoel Holon92-93
09/03/24AAEK Athens91-87
05/03/24HMurcia79-78
02/03/24HAris70-57
17/02/24AOlympiacos77-91
16/02/24HPanionios88-48
10/02/24AApollon Patras84-56
06/02/24AHapoel Holon74-65
04/02/24HOlympiacos57-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game86.593.480.7
Allowed / game83.383.683.0
Point differential+3.2+9.8-2.3
Avg total169.7177.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Promitheas
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game83.986.181.3
Allowed / game78.977.380.8
Point differential+5.0+8.9+0.5
Avg total162.8163.4162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja1210283%83.372.0+11.3
2 Murcia119282%86.174.2+11.9
3 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
4 Hapoel Jerusalem128467%83.276.6+6.6
5 Tenerife128467%84.279.5+4.8
6 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
7 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
8 Bonn117464%82.978.0+4.9
9 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
10 Promitheas138562%83.978.9+5.0
11 Strasbourg159660%80.180.5-0.4
12 Ludwigsburg148657%82.878.8+4.0
13 Hapoel Holon148657%78.077.8+0.2
14 Peristeri148657%80.681.4-0.8
15 Cholet1810856%81.783.5-1.8
16 Dijon116555%81.777.7+4.0
17 Galatasaray137654%86.185.5+0.5
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
24 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
25 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
26 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
27 Karsiyaka157847%83.883.7+0.1
28 AEK Athens115645%86.583.3+3.2
29 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
30 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
31 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
32 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
33 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
34 Tofas156940%84.082.6+1.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1217172167
Promitheas1120242479
← all games of the day
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