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AEK Athens vs Promitheas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-84
14-24 23-18 18-19 15-23
Position#3
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceSuper CupSuper Cup - Semi-finals· Kallithea Palais des Sports
Other2025
Meetings · AEK Athens v Promitheas
20 Mar 2027
AAT v PRO
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
AAT102
PRO85
26 Sep 2025
AAT70
PRO84
19 May 2025
AAT91
PRO67
08 Feb 2025
AAT91
PRO71
29 Jan 2025
AAT97
PRO76
20 Mar 2024
AAT67
PRO79
09 Mar 2024
AAT87
PRO91
03 Dec 2022
AAT73
PRO70
23 May 2022
AAT82
PRO95
04 Dec 2021
AAT81
PRO77
09 Jun 2021
AAT95
PRO72
04 Jun 2021
AAT113
PRO101
16 Jan 2021
AAT75
PRO82
30 Nov 2019
AAT73
PRO68
02 Mar 2019
AAT83
PRO62
28 Apr 2018
AAT75
PRO76
19 Nov 2016
AAT76
PRO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 78
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 78
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
62avg 78
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 78
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
84avg 78
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 78
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
63avg 78
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 78
A11/05
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
48avg 78
H15/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
91avg 78
H19/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
19-16
14-19
20-9
17-27
16-14
18-30
18-23
24-15
9-27
19-19
18-21
19-18
29-13
34-9
22-29
21-9
19-16
18-26
20-27
25-24
18-24
15-20
27-19
20-23
11-14
24-13
10-21
11-21
17-18
18-16
31-18
19-27
20-15
11-21
14-27
26-20
23-15
21-12
21-20
157.7Avg total
79.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.078.7157.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.477.6154.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.585.5159.0-12.017%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (20)87.076.2163.2+10.885%
PromitheasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
93avg 73
A16/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
116avg 73
A19/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
92avg 73
H23/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
56-60
56
60
-4
52avg 73
H26/03
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
80-76
80
76
+4
72avg 73
H05/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 73
A12/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
85-65
85
65
+20
86avg 73
H16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
69-101
69
101
-32
61avg 73
A12/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
59-97
59
97
-38
48avg 73
H14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
58avg 73
A19/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
18-20
22-23
16-19
14-19
25-25
21-24
25-17
28-22
12-10
29-23
17-15
19-15
16-10
14-11
7-24
27-19
25-19
13-21
15-17
16-15
17-20
10-22
31-18
23-14
27-21
14-15
21-15
19-29
26-29
13-19
11-24
18-24
20-18
13-31
8-24
20-26
15-23
12-21
20-21
163.9Avg total
79.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.684.3163.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)70.885.8156.6-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.085.8161.8-9.829%
vs Similar (12)83.279.0162.2+4.258%
vs Weaker (1)92.078.0170.0+14.0100%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
AEK AthensPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/04
Basket League
Nanterre
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A11/05
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/05
Basket League
76.7Avg total
38.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.681.8+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.239.183.3+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)39.540.379.8-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.176.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.278.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.543.380.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker (20)44.338.182.4+6.175%-
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A16/03
Basket League
Wurzburg
#19
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H23/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H26/03
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H05/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A12/04
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H16/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A12/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/05
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A19/05
Basket League
81.9Avg total
41.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.680.5+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.336.477.7+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)40.643.283.8-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.381.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.884.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.840.280.0-0.547%-
vs Similar (12)42.538.581.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker (1)43.041.084.0+2.0100%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.3
48.9%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.5
35.6%
-25.5
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
-16.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.9
51.3%
-31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.3
33.7%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws24.418.9
77.5%
-18.9
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWLLWWLLW
Promitheas
LLLWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#2
+1.0
Net rating
-6.5
106.6
Offensive rating
104.5
105.7
Defensive rating
111.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.8%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.6%
3-point %
33.7%
66.8%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEK Athens wins
6
Promitheas wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/25HPromitheas91-67
15/05/25HOlympiacos64-90
11/05/25ATenerife77-73
09/05/25HUnicaja65-71
04/05/25AOlympiacos85-87
27/04/25HPAOK89-85 OT
23/04/25HNanterre104-69
16/04/25ANanterre70-82
12/04/25APAOK69-94
09/04/25HNanterre76-69
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/25AAEK Athens67-91
14/05/25HPanathinaikos59-97
12/05/25APanathinaikos69-101
16/04/25HAS Karditsas85-65
12/04/25AAS Karditsas74-75
05/04/25HAS Karditsas80-76
26/03/25HAEK Athens56-60
23/03/25HPeristeri86-70
19/03/25AWurzburg119-115 OT
16/03/25APanionios101-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Super Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Promitheas
Super Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1423181570
Promitheas2418192384
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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