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AEK Larnaca vs Achilleas K. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-65
23-15 23-12 18-19 21-19
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game73.5
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
Position#10
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game84.4
CyprusDivision ARound 8· Kition Athletic Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.
04 Dec 2026
ALA v ACHI
upcoming
12 Dec 2025
ALA85
ACHI65
21 Dec 2024
ALA99
ACHI61
14 Oct 2023
ALA93
ACHI71
16 Mar 2023
ALA106
ACHI50
22 Dec 2021
ALA94
ACHI49
09 Jan 2011
ALA60
ACHI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 84
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
101-70
101
70
+31
104avg 84
H25/10
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
93-68
93
68
+25
86avg 84
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 84
A01/11
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
89avg 84
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 84
H08/11
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 84
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#7
W
97-83
97
83
+14
96avg 84
A16/11
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
90-83
90
83
+7
87avg 84
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#6
W
96-80
96
80
+16
94avg 84
A08/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
17-14
22-15
23-27
21-18
25-24
30-14
25-14
21-22
30-18
23-18
19-10
25-15
17-11
23-23
17-22
17-26
22-11
20-29
27-23
20-26
22-23
20-17
28-16
14-26
6-25
22-22
16-28
23-13
21-26
26-24
27-20
21-22
32-28
24-6
13-27
34-20
24-21
13-25
25-14
168.2Avg total
87.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.873.5164.2+17.2100%
Season at home (4)88.873.2162.0+15.5100%
Season away (4)92.873.8166.5+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.780.5168.2+7.280%
Last 5 (5)86.285.8172.0+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.889.2165.0-13.525%
vs Similar (7)88.780.4169.1+8.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.873.1161.9+15.794%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
63avg 57
A02/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
55avg 57
H23/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 57
A04/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
L
80-95
80
95
-15
67avg 57
H12/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
68avg 57
A17/10
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
60avg 57
H26/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
56-69
56
69
-13
41avg 57
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
57-115
57
115
-58
35avg 57
A08/11
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 57
H14/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 57
H05/12
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
15-18
18-18
17-31
14-23
18-31
25-19
18-22
17-21
17-12
22-17
16-23
15-24
19-24
29-21
17-26
16-10
26-14
18-31
20-26
20-22
13-14
19-28
14-20
13-23
16-19
11-14
16-13
18-28
13-26
14-30
12-31
20-25
21-24
15-22
17-9
15-12
12-20
22-21
23-25
155.5Avg total
70.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.584.4153.9-14.90%
Season at home (4)72.884.2157.0-11.50%
Season away (4)66.284.5150.8-18.20%
Last 10 (10)70.185.4155.5-15.30%
Last 5 (5)64.885.2150.0-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)67.288.2155.4-21.07%
vs Similar (2)80.088.0168.0-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.6-5.6
AEK LarnacaAchilleas K.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A01/11
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H08/11
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
20-51
20
51
-31
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/11
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A08/12
Division A
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.784.0+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.938.782.6+5.180%-
Last 30 away (15)44.740.785.4+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.089.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.542.075.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (7)49.141.790.9+7.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.238.083.2+7.272%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A04/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H12/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A17/10
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H26/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/11
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H14/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H05/12
Division A
74.5Avg total
33.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.943.576.4-10.713%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.443.075.4-10.613%-
Last 30 away (15)33.344.177.4-10.713%-
Last 10 (10)33.840.774.5-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.242.674.8-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)32.544.176.6-11.611%-
vs Similar (2)38.036.074.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.2
53.2%
51.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.1
39.9%
32.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.811.6
73.4%
71.5%11.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.4
45.4%
51.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.810.6
63.1%
71.5%10.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWLWLWWWW
Achilleas K.
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+5.9
Net rating
-19.4
118.7
Offensive rating
92.4
112.8
Defensive rating
111.8
55.9%
Effective FG%
45.5%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.9%
3-point %
30.4%
65.9%
Assist %
57.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 92.4Defence112.8 · 111.8Shooting55.9% · 45.5%3-point %39.9% · 30.4%Ball care15.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds35.1% · 25.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 0%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Achilleas K.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Larnaca wins
1
Achilleas K. wins
DateGameScore
23/04/25Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca75-95
21/12/24AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.99-61
19/10/24Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca69-93
22/12/23Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca52-83
14/10/23AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.93-71
16/03/23AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.106-50
27/11/22Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca77-74
22/12/21AEK Larnaca v Achilleas K.94-49
11/10/21Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca53-75
02/12/11Achilleas K. v AEK Larnaca0-20
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25AApollon96-80
19/11/25ACorona Brasov90-83
16/11/25AAnorthosis97-83
12/11/25APetkim Spor58-101
08/11/25HParalimni90-82
05/11/25HCSM Oradea86-89
01/11/25AMorphou82-71
29/10/25HCorona Brasov93-68
25/10/25HETHA Engomi101-70
22/10/25HPetkim Spor84-78
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HAEL72-78
14/11/25HApollon73-80
08/11/25AKeravnos57-115
02/11/25AAnorthosis56-69
26/10/25HParalimni66-84
17/10/25AMorphou80-81
12/10/25HETHA Engomi80-95
04/10/25AApoel BC72-73
23/04/25HAEK Larnaca75-95
02/04/25AETHA Engomi70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.888.892.8
Allowed / game73.573.273.8
Point differential+17.2+15.5+19.0
Avg total164.2162.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Achilleas K.
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.572.866.2
Allowed / game84.484.284.5
Point differential-14.9-11.5-18.2
Avg total153.9157.0150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca880100%90.873.5+17.2
2 Keravnos87188%88.071.5+16.5
3 AEL85362%80.180.9-0.8
4 Paralimni95456%81.477.6+3.9
5 Morphou94544%81.185.2-4.1
6 Apoel BC94544%78.884.3-5.6
7 Apollon83538%83.982.5+1.4
8 Anorthosis83538%70.476.6-6.2
9 ETHA Engomi93633%81.987.9-6.0
10 Achilleas K.8080%69.584.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2323182185
Achilleas K.1512191965
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