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AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game69.6
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Apollon
Cyprus
Position#7
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game79.3
CyprusDivision ARound 18· Kition Athletic Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apollon
09 Jan 2027
ALA v APOL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ALA91
APOL77
13 Feb 2026
ALA85
APOL74
25 Jan 2025
ALA115
APOL61
01 Apr 2024
ALA118
APOL73
18 Nov 2023
ALA77
APOL67
21 Jan 2023
ALA73
APOL58
18 Oct 2021
ALA86
APOL53
03 Mar 2021
ALA86
APOL62
09 Jan 2021
ALA88
APOL62
29 Feb 2020
ALA94
APOL77
11 Jan 2020
ALA94
APOL85
27 Feb 2019
ALA84
APOL64
17 Nov 2018
ALA66
APOL56
22 Mar 2018
ALA82
APOL61
14 Jan 2018
ALA87
APOL61
15 Jan 2017
ALA88
APOL57
19 Nov 2016
ALA96
APOL44
12 Apr 2016
ALA97
APOL53
05 Apr 2016
ALA83
APOL76
19 Mar 2016
ALA88
APOL65
02 Jan 2016
ALA76
APOL63
07 Mar 2015
ALA110
APOL49
18 Jan 2015
ALA89
APOL68
22 Feb 2014
ALA76
APOL68
15 Feb 2014
ALA68
APOL61
29 Jan 2014
ALA76
APOL68
16 Nov 2013
ALA87
APOL60
02 Feb 2013
ALA100
APOL93
02 Nov 2012
ALA78
APOL70
28 Dec 2011
ALA80
APOL78
17 Dec 2010
ALA85
APOL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
W
90-56
90
56
+34
92avg 80
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
80-94
80
94
-14
69avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 80
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
99-93
99
93
+6
100avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
65avg 80
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#47
W
85-69
85
69
+16
78avg 80
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
87-61
87
61
+26
94avg 80
H31/10
Division A
Iraklis
#11
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
103-78
103
78
+25
no box
A08/11
Division A
Wurzburg
#13
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
23-12
18-13
23-17
14-29
20-19
31-17
15-29
30-18
19-20
21-23
13-18
32-21
25-30
22-20
20-22
18-16
30-22
15-21
22-15
23-20
26-22
22-11
14-16
27-10
17-16
30-14
13-21
23-21
11-27
11-14
19-19
29-10
25-18
21-33
28-17
24-12
22-23
17-26
13-17
161.5Avg total
85.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.669.6159.2+20.0100%
Season at home (2)85.070.0155.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)92.769.3162.0+23.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.276.3161.5+8.970%
Last 5 (5)83.073.4156.4+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.279.5152.8-6.225%
vs Similar (7)78.076.6154.6+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.276.0164.2+12.289%
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ApollonCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormApollon
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 67
H27/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 67
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
84avg 67
A05/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 67
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
56-90
56
90
-34
36avg 67
H11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
76avg 67
A16/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
61avg 67
H24/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
H02/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A09/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
66-51
66
51
+15
no box
H14/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
29-13
14-27
14-25
19-19
17-24
22-15
17-26
15-15
22-19
20-21
19-21
22-25
13-28
21-21
15-18
14-26
12-23
13-18
17-23
24-21
14-30
17-16
24-12
19-19
18-21
15-32
23-18
20-21
16-22
20-18
8-16
17-15
7-23
23-17
22-25
21-14
19-13
12-15
14-9
155.1Avg total
73.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.079.3149.3-9.333%
Season at home (4)65.277.0142.2-11.825%
Season away (2)79.584.0163.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.082.1155.1-9.130%
Last 5 (5)72.877.2150.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.388.0157.3-18.78%
vs Similar (11)83.784.8168.5-1.136%
vs Weaker (7)92.080.4172.4+11.686%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
AEK LarnacaApollon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H31/10
Division A
Iraklis
#11
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A08/11
Division A
Wurzburg
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.4Avg total
46.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.184.0+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.739.485.1+6.457%-
Last 30 away (16)42.340.783.0+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)46.438.084.4+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.881.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.542.881.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (7)40.339.179.4+1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.939.686.5+7.367%-
This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H27/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A05/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A16/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H02/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A09/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H14/11
Division A
77.3Avg total
35.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.081.2-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.579.8-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.682.7-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.577.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.874.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.247.280.4-13.98%-
vs Similar (11)39.040.679.6-1.636%-
vs Weaker (7)45.439.785.1+5.771%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.7
51.9%
52.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.4
35.2%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.1
76.7%
72.9%16.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.9
47.0%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.6
66.7%
72.9%12.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
LWLWWWWWLW
Apollon
WLLLWLLWLL
#1
League position
#7
+10.3
Net rating
-11.4
99.1
Offensive rating
87.8
88.8
Defensive rating
99.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.3%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.2%
3-point %
33.6%
66.8%
Assist %
54.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 87.8Defence88.8 · 99.2Shooting52.2% · 48.3%3-point %35.2% · 33.6%Ball care12.4% · 13.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Apollon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Apollon wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Apollon v AEK Larnaca56-90
20/03/26AEK Larnaca v Apollon91-77
13/02/26AEK Larnaca v Apollon85-74
08/12/25Apollon v AEK Larnaca80-96
01/04/25Apollon v AEK Larnaca76-85
25/01/25AEK Larnaca v Apollon115-61
09/12/24Apollon v AEK Larnaca80-92
01/04/24AEK Larnaca v Apollon118-73
03/02/24Apollon v AEK Larnaca77-98
18/11/23AEK Larnaca v Apollon77-67
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AWurzburg76-78
08/11/26AMorphou103-78
04/11/26AIraklis64-81
31/10/26HETHA Engomi87-61
27/10/26AMZT Skopje85-69
24/10/26AParalimni85-74
21/10/26HTartu Ulikool99-93
18/10/26HApoel BC83-79
14/10/26ADziki Warszawa80-94
11/10/26AApollon90-56
Apollonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HETHA Engomi66-51
09/11/26AParalimni69-80
02/11/26HApoel BC64-77
24/10/26HKeravnos75-90
16/10/26AAchilleas K.90-88 OT
11/10/26HAEK Larnaca56-90
07/04/26AKeravnos71-92
05/04/26AParalimni87-80 OT
01/04/26AApoel BC75-84
27/03/26HAEL77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.685.092.7
Allowed / game69.670.069.3
Point differential+20.0+15.0+23.3
Avg total159.2155.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apollon
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game70.065.279.5
Allowed / game79.377.084.0
Point differential-9.3-11.8-4.5
Avg total149.3142.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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