AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 84-64

28-14 18-14 21-19 17-17

Position#1

Record13-4

FormWWLWL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game70.8

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Apollon

Position#4

Record9-8

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game78.1

Division ARound 18

Other2018-19

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apollon

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Apollon winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

89-96

-7

H09/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Omonia

83-77

H12/01

Division A

Apoel BC

83-69

+14

H16/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

84-64

+20

H19/01

Division A

Varese

59-74

-15

H23/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Omonia

76-59

+17

H26/01

Division A

Donar Groningen

#16

80-70

+10

A30/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Sassari

81-93

-12

A06/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Apoel BC

75-67

H10/02

Division A

Keravnos

69-70

-1

A14/02

Division A

18-24

22-17

21-28

28-27

27-14

18-20

16-12

22-31

28-17

16-14

20-19

19-19

21-13

23-18

18-16

22-17

22-21

17-14

12-19

8-20

20-19

18-18

20-18

18-4

29-11

14-16

18-20

19-23

21-30

30-20

17-19

13-24

19-19

21-13

15-14

20-21

19-15

14-19

25-10

11-26

151.8Avg total

77.9Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	78.6	70.8	149.4	+7.9	76%
Season at home (9)	75.4	65.9	141.3	+9.6	89%
Season away (8)	82.2	76.2	158.5	+6.0	62%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	73.9	151.8	+4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	71.8	148.0	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	72.5	81.2	153.8	-8.7	38%
vs Similar (3)	76.0	78.3	154.3	-2.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	79.2	69.1	148.4	+10.1	86%

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apollon

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

91-87

A08/12

Division A

Omonia

80-69

+11

H11/12

Division A

Keravnos

82-76

A20/12

Division A

AEL

80-73

H28/12

Division A

AEK Larnaca

85-81

H05/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

73-84

-11

A13/01

Division A

Apoel BC

76-82

-6

H21/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

68-65

H27/01

Division A

AEL

86-93

-7

A02/02

Division A

Paralimni

80-77

H13/02

Division A

23-33

34-20

11-15

23-19

13-7

18-14

22-17

27-31

19-20

27-16

15-19

21-21

22-23

17-22

20-16

21-12

14-24

28-18

18-22

25-17

13-25

18-20

13-12

29-27

22-16

25-21

17-26

12-19

19-19

11-13

12-19

26-14

29-19

17-24

15-31

25-19

20-22

23-17

24-19

13-19

158.8Avg total

80.1Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.7	78.1	154.8	-1.4	53%
Season at home (9)	76.8	77.1	153.9	-0.3	67%
Season away (8)	76.6	79.2	155.9	-2.6	38%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	78.7	158.8	+1.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	80.2	156.8	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	69.5	79.7	149.2	-10.3	20%
vs Similar (15)	79.2	77.8	157.0	+1.4	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaApollon

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	16.7	36.4	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.3	40.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	46%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.1	16.9	37.9	+4.2	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.5	20.7	40.1	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	18.1	35.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	16.9	36.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	11.3	21.3	32.7	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.1	53%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

40-41

-1

H09/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Omonia

45-34

+11

H12/01

Division A

Apoel BC

44-31

+13

H16/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

44-31

+13

H19/01

Division A

Varese

39-35

H23/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Omonia

38-37

H26/01

Division A

Donar Groningen

#16

43-27

+16

A30/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Sassari

51-50

A06/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Apoel BC

40-32

H10/02

Division A

Keravnos

33-34

-1

A14/02

Division A

76.9Avg total

41.7Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.7	75.9	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	34.7	71.9	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	40.6	79.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	35.2	76.9	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	36.0	77.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.4	39.5	78.8	-0.1	46%	-
vs Similar (3)	30.3	41.7	72.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	38.9	35.1	74.0	+3.7	57%	-

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

57-53

A08/12

Division A

Omonia

31-21

+10

H11/12

Division A

Keravnos

46-36

+10

A20/12

Division A

AEL

39-45

-6

H28/12

Division A

AEK Larnaca

42-42

H05/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

31-45

-14

A13/01

Division A

Apoel BC

47-37

+10

H21/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

30-32

-2

H27/01

Division A

AEL

46-43

A02/02

Division A

Paralimni

43-39

H13/02

Division A

80.5Avg total

41.2Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	39.8	77.9	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	38.8	76.6	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	40.7	79.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.3	80.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.9	40.7	76.6	-4.7	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.3	38.9	79.2	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.5	37.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.1	35.3	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.9	38.9	+1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.5	35.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.5	21.7	38.2	-5.2	8%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	13.0	36.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.7	16.6	36.4	+3.1	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.5	40.7	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	20.3	36.0	-4.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.6	36.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.4	37.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.9	21.5	38.5	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.5	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	17.4	35.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.6	35.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.6	20.1	36.7	-3.5	31%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	19.7	36.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.3	16.3	35.6	+3.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.6	17.5	34.1	-0.9	40%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	36.7	73.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.1	35.5	70.5	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	38.0	76.1	+0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	38.7	74.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	35.8	71.0	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	33.2	41.8	74.9	-8.6	15%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.0	32.7	72.7	+7.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.0	32.9	71.9	+6.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	39.0	75.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	38.9	77.5	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.9	39.1	72.9	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	39.4	78.3	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.0	78.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	33.5	39.1	72.6	-5.5	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.9	38.9	77.8	-0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Apollon wins

Date	Game	Score
05/01/19	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	85-81
17/11/18	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	66-56
22/03/18	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	82-61
14/01/18	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	87-61
03/12/17	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	70-79
17/03/17	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	44-98
15/01/17	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	88-57
10/12/16	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	55-60
19/11/16	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	96-44
12/04/16	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	97-53

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/19	A	Keravnos	69-70
10/02/19	H	Apoel BC	75-67
06/02/19	A	Sassari	81-93
30/01/19	A	Donar Groningen	80-70
26/01/19	H	Omonia	76-59
23/01/19	H	Varese	59-74
19/01/19	H	ETHA Engomi	84-64
16/01/19	H	Apoel BC	83-69
12/01/19	H	Omonia	83-77
09/01/19	H	Sassari	89-96

Apollonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/19	H	Paralimni	80-77
02/02/19	A	AEL	86-93
27/01/19	H	ETHA Engomi	68-65
21/01/19	H	Apoel BC	76-82
13/01/19	A	ETHA Engomi	73-84
05/01/19	H	AEK Larnaca	85-81
28/12/18	H	AEL	80-73
20/12/18	A	Keravnos	82-76
11/12/18	H	Omonia	80-69
08/12/18	A	Paralimni	91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	76%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWLL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	76%	89%	62%
Points / game	78.6	75.4	82.2
Allowed / game	70.8	65.9	76.2
Point differential	+7.9	+9.6	+6.0
Avg total	149.4	141.3	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	56%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	-	40% (5)
Overtime %	18%	11%	25%

Apollon

Division A 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	53%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	LWWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	53%	67%	38%
Points / game	76.7	76.8	76.6
Allowed / game	78.1	77.1	79.2
Point differential	-1.4	-0.3	-2.6
Avg total	154.8	153.9	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keravnos	17	13	4	76%	79.2	70.6	+8.6
2	AEK Larnaca	17	13	4	76%	78.6	70.8	+7.9
3	Apoel BC	17	10	7	59%	75.9	72.4	+3.5
4	Apollon	17	9	8	53%	76.7	78.1	-1.4
5	ETHA Engomi	18	8	10	44%	73.3	74.7	-1.4
6	AEL	18	6	12	33%	74.4	77.0	-2.6
7	Omonia	18	6	12	33%	66.9	75.8	-8.9
8	Paralimni	18	5	13	28%	73.5	78.2	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	28	18	21	17	84
Apollon	14	14	19	17	64

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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