AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 73-58

15-17 23-9 20-15 15-17

Position#2

Record9-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game69.6

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Apollon

Position#4

Record8-5

FormWLWWW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game73.5

Division ARound 15

Other2022-23

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apollon

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Apollon winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

65-47

+18

H30/10

Division A

Apollon

67-71

-4

A02/11

Division A

Apoel BC

88-94

-6

H20/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

74-77

-3

A27/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

82-59

+23

H04/12

Division A

Paralimni

60-58 OT

A11/12

Division A

AEL

118-103

118

103

+15

H21/12

Division A

Anorthosis

81-70

+11

A03/01

Division A

Omonia

#11

83-54

+29

H07/01

Division A

Keravnos

78-93

-15

A15/01

Division A

8-18

19-13

15-8

23-8

20-19

11-17

18-19

18-16

22-22

22-31

14-23

30-18

25-20

7-16

25-18

17-23

24-25

25-12

22-7

11-15

15-13

5-5

19-15

12-18

26-30

34-23

33-26

25-24

24-22

28-14

16-21

13-13

19-9

16-21

23-12

25-12

19-28

21-26

19-24

19-15

152.2Avg total

79.6Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.7	69.6	150.3	+11.1	69%
Season at home (6)	85.3	68.2	153.5	+17.2	83%
Season away (7)	76.7	70.9	147.6	+5.9	57%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	72.6	152.2	+7.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	75.6	159.6	+8.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	67.7	72.0	139.7	-4.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	83.1	68.9	152.0	+14.2	77%

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apollon

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

71-67

A29/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

71-67

H02/11

Division A

AEL

66-81

-15

A20/11

Division A

Apop Paphou

80-53

+27

H27/11

Division A

Anorthosis

62-79

-17

A02/12

Division A

Omonia

#11

82-67

+15

H09/12

Division A

Keravnos

63-84

-21

A29/12

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

83-70

+13

H04/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

81-74

A08/01

Division A

Paralimni

83-77 OT

H14/01

Division A

19-10

20-14

12-13

20-30

19-20

17-11

19-18

16-18

13-29

20-14

13-26

20-12

25-5

14-20

23-14

18-14

13-24

8-22

24-21

17-12

20-14

23-13

20-17

19-23

19-25

18-21

12-26

14-12

27-12

27-25

16-13

13-20

26-14

22-26

18-17

15-17

11-23

23-7

18-18

18-22

146.1Avg total

74.2Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	74.4	73.5	147.9	+0.8	62%
Season at home (7)	76.7	73.4	150.1	+3.3	71%
Season away (6)	71.7	73.7	145.3	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.2	71.9	146.1	+2.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	74.4	152.8	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	74.6	84.4	159.0	-9.9	14%
vs Similar (7)	66.4	75.1	141.6	-8.7	29%
vs Weaker (16)	83.4	69.3	152.8	+14.1	88%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaApollon

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.9	38.8	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	12.0	21.0	33.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.1	39.1	+1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.9	23.0	43.9	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.4	22.1	38.6	-5.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.2	15.7	36.9	+5.6	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.1	37.7	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.3	18.3	36.7	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.8	16.8	37.7	+4.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.5	35.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	16.9	34.9	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	18.2	35.9	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.4	19.3	35.7	-2.9	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	14.9	16.9	31.7	-2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	62%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

27-31

-4

H30/10

Division A

Apollon

31-36

-5

A02/11

Division A

Apoel BC

44-53

-9

H20/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

32-36

-4

A27/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

49-37

+12

H04/12

Division A

Paralimni

20-18

A11/12

Division A

AEL

60-53

H21/12

Division A

Anorthosis

52-36

+16

A03/01

Division A

Omonia

#11

35-30

H07/01

Division A

Keravnos

40-54

-14

A15/01

Division A

77.4Avg total

39.0Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	34.9	76.6	+6.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.6	34.9	76.5	+6.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.6	35.0	76.6	+6.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	38.4	77.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.2	79.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	30.3	39.3	69.7	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.8	34.4	77.2	+8.4	69%	-

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

39-24

+15

A29/10

Division A

AEK Larnaca

36-31

H02/11

Division A

AEL

33-43

-10

A20/11

Division A

Apop Paphou

39-25

+14

H27/11

Division A

Anorthosis

21-46

-25

A02/12

Division A

Omonia

#11

43-27

+16

H09/12

Division A

Keravnos

37-46

-9

A29/12

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

54-37

+17

H04/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

48-40

A08/01

Division A

Paralimni

34-30

H14/01

Division A

73.3Avg total

38.4Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	36.4	74.3	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	35.6	73.7	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	37.3	75.0	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	34.9	73.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	36.0	79.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.3	42.3	79.6	-5.0	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	31.3	39.0	70.3	-7.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.1	32.7	73.8	+8.4	69%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	16.9	37.6	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	16.0	37.5	+5.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	18.2	37.6	+1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.3	37.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	16.7	17.0	33.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.3	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	16.8	38.3	+4.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.1	21.4	38.6	-4.3	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.6	16.0	37.6	+5.6	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	15.4	35.1	+4.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	18.5	35.2	-1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	16.2	35.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.7	15.7	36.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	18.2	16.8	34.9	+1.4	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.8	34.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.1	20.7	40.9	-0.6	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.9	18.1	34.0	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	33.6	72.7	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.2	31.4	72.6	+9.9	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	36.6	72.8	-0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	33.5	73.2	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	36.0	76.8	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	37.3	32.7	70.0	+4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	39.5	33.8	73.3	+5.7	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.6	76.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	37.1	77.4	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	38.1	75.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	36.3	70.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	37.0	69.6	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.3	42.1	79.4	-4.9	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.1	36.1	71.3	-1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.6	36.2	77.8	+5.4	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 50.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀64%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	16.0	41.0%	51.8%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	6.0	28.6%	33.2%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	0.0	0.0%	71.9%	0.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Apollontheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.9%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.9%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Apollon wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/22	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	71-67
18/01/22	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	84-87
18/10/21	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	86-53
03/03/21	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	86-62
09/01/21	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	88-62
14/11/20	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	78-75
29/02/20	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	94-77
11/01/20	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	94-85
15/11/19	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	71-82
27/02/19	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	84-64

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/01/23	A	Keravnos	78-93
07/01/23	H	Omonia	83-54
03/01/23	A	Anorthosis	81-70
21/12/22	H	AEL	118-103
11/12/22	A	Paralimni	60-58 OT
04/12/22	H	ETHA Engomi	82-59
27/11/22	A	Achilleas K.	74-77
20/11/22	H	Apoel BC	88-94
02/11/22	A	Apollon	67-71
30/10/22	H	Keravnos	65-47

Apollonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/23	H	Paralimni	83-77 OT
08/01/23	A	ETHA Engomi	81-74
04/01/23	H	Achilleas K.	83-70
29/12/22	A	Keravnos	63-84
09/12/22	H	Omonia	82-67
02/12/22	A	Anorthosis	62-79
27/11/22	H	Apop Paphou	80-53
20/11/22	A	AEL	66-81
02/11/22	H	AEK Larnaca	71-67
29/10/22	A	Paralimni	71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	69%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	LLWWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	69%	83%	57%
Points / game	80.7	85.3	76.7
Allowed / game	69.6	68.2	70.9
Point differential	+11.1	+17.2	+5.9
Avg total	150.3	153.5	147.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	83%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Apollon

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	62%
Home	WWWWW	71%
Away	WLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	62%	71%	50%
Points / game	74.4	76.7	71.7
Allowed / game	73.5	73.4	73.7
Point differential	+0.8	+3.3	-2.0
Avg total	147.9	150.1	145.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	43%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keravnos	13	12	1	92%	85.4	69.2	+16.2
2	Apoel BC	12	10	2	83%	91.3	78.9	+12.4
3	AEK Larnaca	13	9	4	69%	80.7	69.6	+11.1
4	AEL	13	9	4	69%	87.2	80.8	+6.4
5	Apollon	13	8	5	62%	74.4	73.5	+0.8
6	ETHA Engomi	13	6	7	46%	77.6	83.0	-5.4
7	Anorthosis	13	5	8	38%	72.0	79.2	-7.2
8	Achilleas K.	12	4	8	33%	69.7	79.2	-9.6
9	Apop Paphou	12	4	8	33%	63.0	73.3	-10.3
10	Paralimni	13	2	11	15%	68.2	73.2	-5.0
11	Omonia	13	1	12	8%	65.8	75.7	-9.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	15	23	20	15	73
Apollon	17	9	15	17	58

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature