AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Oct 2021

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 86-53

24-16 22-10 27-18 13-9

Position#1

Record2-0

FormLWLWW

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game68.5

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Apollon

Position#6

Record1-1

FormLLWWL

Points / game71.5

Allowed / game69.0

Division ARound 3

Other2021-22

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apollon

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Apollon winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

81-77

A27/03

Division A

Paralimni

88-73

+15

H31/03

Division A

Keravnos

88-86

A07/04

Division A

Keravnos

67-53

+14

H10/04

Division A

Keravnos

67-87

-20

A14/04

Division A

Keravnos

72-75

-3

H17/04

Division A

Keravnos

72-65

A21/04

Division A

Split

#15

50-65

-15

H13/09

Champions League

Keravnos

87-84

A05/10

Division A

Achilleas K.

75-53

+22

A11/10

Division A

26-29

21-9

16-21

18-18

24-20

18-19

26-12

20-22

22-25

24-17

22-26

20-18

19-9

18-17

15-16

15-11

13-26

23-19

15-27

16-15

22-23

18-19

18-15

14-18

20-20

17-18

17-17

18-10

11-13

12-15

16-13

11-24

19-21

24-29

20-25

24-9

29-15

16-13

11-15

19-10

146.5Avg total

74.7Scored

71.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	81.0	68.5	149.5	+12.5	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	81.0	68.5	149.5	+12.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	74.7	71.8	146.5	+2.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	68.4	139.6	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	72.9	75.6	148.4	-2.7	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	85.3	69.8	155.1	+15.5	82%

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Apollon

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

62-88

-26

A09/01

Division A

Keravnos

72-69

H13/01

Division A

Apoel BC

94-100

100

-6

A17/01

Division A

Paralimni

78-84

-6

H10/02

Division A

Apoel BC

71-78

-7

A24/02

Division A

Keravnos

71-85

-14

H28/02

Division A

AEK Larnaca

62-86

-24

A03/03

Division A

Omonia

82-67

+15

H17/03

Division A

ENAD Nicosia

#12

72-58

+14

A02/10

Division A

Keravnos

71-80

-9

H11/10

Division A

17-16

16-24

23-25

6-23

23-16

18-22

17-19

14-12

24-21

33-26

21-28

16-25

22-20

21-24

11-21

24-19

15-19

21-23

15-17

20-19

24-10

10-32

20-27

17-16

6-14

14-27

17-31

25-14

26-19

18-19

19-19

19-10

16-15

17-18

24-18

15-7

12-21

19-21

18-21

22-17

153.0Avg total

73.5Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	71.5	69.0	140.5	+2.5	50%
Season at home (1)	71.0	80.0	151.0	-9.0	0%
Season away (1)	72.0	58.0	130.0	+14.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	79.5	153.0	-6.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	75.2	146.8	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	69.4	82.1	151.5	-12.7	20%
vs Similar (10)	76.8	76.3	153.1	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker (10)	82.1	69.4	151.5	+12.7	90%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaApollon

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.3	17.6	40.0	+4.7	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.4	37.0	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.1	37.6	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	18.8	36.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	15.8	32.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.7	37.6	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	16.8	38.9	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	23.6	42.3	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	23.4	39.0	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.5	22.1	37.6	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	50%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paralimni

47-38

A27/03

Division A

Paralimni

42-39

H31/03

Division A

Keravnos

46-42

A07/04

Division A

Keravnos

37-26

+11

H10/04

Division A

Keravnos

36-45

-9

A14/04

Division A

Keravnos

40-42

-2

H17/04

Division A

Keravnos

37-38

-1

A21/04

Division A

Split

#15

23-28

-5

H13/09

Champions League

Keravnos

43-50

-7

A05/10

Division A

Achilleas K.

45-28

+17

A11/10

Division A

77.2Avg total

39.6Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	35.2	77.2	+6.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	32.8	76.3	+10.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	37.7	78.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	37.6	77.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.2	74.8	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	37.3	39.7	77.0	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.3	34.1	78.4	+10.1	86%	-

This opponent (Apollon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Larnaca

33-40

-7

A09/01

Division A

Keravnos

41-38

H13/01

Division A

Apoel BC

57-47

+10

A17/01

Division A

Paralimni

43-44

-1

H10/02

Division A

Apoel BC

36-42

-6

A24/02

Division A

Keravnos

34-42

-8

H28/02

Division A

AEK Larnaca

20-41

-21

A03/03

Division A

Omonia

44-38

H17/03

Division A

ENAD Nicosia

#12

33-33

A02/10

Division A

Keravnos

31-42

-11

H11/10

Division A

77.9Avg total

37.2Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	37.5	74.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	35.9	73.2	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	39.2	74.9	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	40.7	77.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	39.2	71.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	33.5	40.4	73.9	-6.9	30%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.3	37.7	76.0	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.8	34.3	72.1	+3.5	60%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.9	38.2	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	15.9	38.3	+6.5	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.8	38.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.0	33.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.3	19.9	38.1	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.2	17.5	38.7	+3.8	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.8	39.1	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.9	41.1	-0.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.6	41.1	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.5	18.1	41.6	+5.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.1	36.3	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	15.5	33.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	14.2	31.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.3	16.0	33.3	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	41%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	15.8	35.6	+4.0	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	12.8	32.4	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.2	16.5	36.7	+3.7	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	35.5	74.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	33.0	74.3	+8.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	37.9	74.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	34.2	69.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	31.2	64.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	35.6	35.9	71.4	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.5	35.3	75.8	+5.2	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.9	76.7	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	35.6	74.7	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	38.8	75.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.0	75.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.9	41.7	77.6	-5.8	10%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.9	37.3	74.2	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.7	34.6	78.3	+9.1	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 50.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀64%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game

50%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	16.0	41.0%	51.5%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	6.0	28.6%	33.2%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	0.0	0.0%	71.6%	0.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Apollontheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.5%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.6%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.5%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.6%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Apollon wins

Date	Game	Score
03/03/21	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	86-62
09/01/21	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	88-62
14/11/20	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	78-75
29/02/20	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	94-77
11/01/20	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	94-85
15/11/19	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	71-82
27/02/19	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	84-64
05/01/19	Apollon v AEK Larnaca	85-81
17/11/18	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	66-56
22/03/18	AEK Larnaca v Apollon	82-61

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/21	A	Achilleas K.	75-53
05/10/21	A	Keravnos	87-84
13/09/21	H	Split	50-65
21/04/21	A	Keravnos	72-65
17/04/21	H	Keravnos	72-75
14/04/21	A	Keravnos	67-87
10/04/21	H	Keravnos	67-53
07/04/21	A	Keravnos	88-86
31/03/21	H	Paralimni	88-73
27/03/21	A	Paralimni	81-77

Apollonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/21	H	Keravnos	71-80
02/10/21	A	ENAD Nicosia	72-58
17/03/21	H	Omonia	82-67
03/03/21	A	AEK Larnaca	62-86
28/02/21	H	Keravnos	71-85
24/02/21	A	Apoel BC	71-78
10/02/21	H	Paralimni	78-84
17/01/21	A	Apoel BC	94-100
13/01/21	H	Keravnos	72-69
09/01/21	A	AEK Larnaca	62-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2021-22

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	-	-
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	81.0	-	81.0
Allowed / game	68.5	-	68.5
Point differential	+12.5	-	+12.5
Avg total	149.5	-	149.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	-	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Apollon

Division A 2021-22

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	71.5	71.0	72.0
Allowed / game	69.0	80.0	58.0
Point differential	+2.5	-9.0	+14.0
Avg total	140.5	151.0	130.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	2	2	0	100%	81.0	68.5	+12.5
2	Paralimni	2	2	0	100%	63.5	55.5	+8.0
3	Apoel BC	3	2	1	67%	78.3	72.3	+6.0
4	Anorthosis	3	2	1	67%	76.3	73.3	+3.0
5	Keravnos	3	2	1	67%	78.0	75.3	+2.7
6	Apollon	2	1	1	50%	71.5	69.0	+2.5
7	Omonia	2	1	1	50%	65.5	68.5	-3.0
8	AEL	3	1	2	33%	83.3	83.3	+0.0
9	Apop Paphou	3	1	2	33%	80.3	83.0	-2.7
10	ETHA Engomi	3	1	2	33%	73.0	77.0	-4.0
11	Achilleas K.	3	1	2	33%	64.7	71.0	-6.3
12	ENAD Nicosia	3	0	3	0%	68.0	80.0	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	24	22	27	13	86
Apollon	16	10	18	9	53

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature