PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Larnaca vs Apop Paphou Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-55
14-17 24-10 28-14 24-14
Position#2
Record14-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game72.8
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Apop Paphou
Cyprus
Position#9
Record4-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.6
CyprusDivision ARound 20· Kition Athletic Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou
04 Mar 2024
ALA90
APOP55
21 Mar 2023
ALA92
APOP57
03 Feb 2022
ALA96
APOP40
01 Nov 2020
ALA94
APOP53
05 Feb 2020
ALA93
APOP57
04 Dec 2019
ALA81
APOP56
28 Oct 2017
ALA106
APOP77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Apop Paphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 80
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
90-68
90
68
+22
94avg 80
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
112-71
112
71
+41
120avg 80
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
83-52
83
52
+31
82avg 80
A22/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
72avg 80
H05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 80
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
114-87
114
87
+27
115avg 80
H28/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-77
98
77
+21
99avg 80
A03/02
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
120-80
120
80
+40
121avg 80
H09/02
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 80
A14/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-17
11-19
34-16
27-13
16-18
26-13
21-24
30-23
22-16
31-13
29-19
24-10
17-11
30-15
12-16
20-11
20-16
18-23
20-16
24-24
19-25
17-17
12-16
33-14
28-21
29-25
24-27
25-19
28-19
28-21
17-18
35-25
28-22
34-14
23-19
15-27
24-16
28-17
16-27
167.1Avg total
93.0Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.572.8161.4+15.782%
Season at home (8)93.871.4165.1+22.4100%
Season away (9)83.974.1158.0+9.867%
Last 10 (10)93.074.1167.1+18.980%
Last 5 (5)97.482.6180.0+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (9)78.174.6152.7+3.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.274.7163.9+14.582%
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaphou
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 63
A02/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
50avg 63
H09/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
67-94
67
94
-27
60avg 63
A14/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 63
H21/12
Division A
PAEEK
#6
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
no box
A06/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 63
H13/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
67-66
67
66
+1
58avg 63
A27/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
62avg 63
A11/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-71
60
71
-11
50avg 63
H14/02
Division A
AEL
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
57avg 63
H28/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
22-19
17-22
22-13
13-27
18-16
13-26
24-21
14-32
18-21
17-23
18-18
20-24
21-24
23-19
21-25
16-16
23-14
13-32
25-15
26-23
18-18
16-22
16-20
14-16
15-18
19-12
19-20
18-18
21-30
16-19
16-17
12-16
12-23
22-18
14-14
11-23
17-21
18-17
18-12
157.0Avg total
73.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.282.6156.8-8.424%
Season at home (9)73.478.6152.0-5.133%
Season away (8)75.187.1162.2-12.012%
Last 10 (10)73.483.6157.0-10.210%
Last 5 (5)67.675.4143.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.381.1147.3-14.817%
vs Similar (8)78.879.9158.6-1.138%
vs Weaker (4)80.882.0162.8-1.250%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
AEK LarnacaApop Paphou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A22/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H28/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A03/02
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H09/02
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A14/02
Division A
83.6Avg total
47.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.478.2+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.635.679.2+8.077%-
Last 30 away (17)40.437.177.4+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)47.036.683.6+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)51.842.494.2+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (9)38.437.776.1+0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.934.978.8+9.182%-
This opponent (Apop Paphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Apop PaphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H09/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A14/12
Division A
Apollon
#8
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/12
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/01
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A27/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A11/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H14/02
Division A
AEL
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H28/02
Division A
76.8Avg total
34.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.540.173.6-6.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.937.069.9-4.144%-
Last 30 away (14)34.143.777.9-9.614%-
Last 10 (10)34.342.576.8-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.841.274.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.441.672.9-10.222%-
vs Similar (8)35.037.472.4-2.438%-
vs Weaker (4)40.039.279.2+0.850%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.725.7
58.8%
51.0%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.1
37.5%
32.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.516.5
80.5%
71.2%16.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apop Paphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apop Paphou: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.6
50.1%
51.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.8
28.7%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws13.910.2
73.4%
71.2%10.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
LWWWLWWWWW
Apop Paphou
LLLWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
+25.3
Net rating
-15.1
123.2
Offensive rating
97.1
97.9
Defensive rating
112.2
58.0%
Effective FG%
47.0%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.5%
3-point %
28.7%
60.7%
Assist %
62.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence123.2 · 97.1Defence97.9 · 112.2Shooting58.0% · 47.0%3-point %37.5% · 28.7%Ball care16.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds35.6% · 25.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Apop Paphou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Apop Paphou wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca68-90
21/03/23AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou92-57
09/10/22Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca64-88
03/02/22AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou96-40
07/11/21Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca67-91
19/12/20Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca76-87
01/11/20AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou94-53
05/02/20AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou93-57
29/01/20Apop Paphou v AEK Larnaca67-96
04/12/19AEK Larnaca v Apop Paphou81-56
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24AKeravnos83-87
09/02/24HPAEEK120-80
03/02/24AApollon98-77
28/01/24HETHA Engomi114-87
19/01/24AAnorthosis72-82
05/01/24HApoel BC78-66
22/12/23AAchilleas K.83-52
14/12/23HParalimni112-71
09/12/23AApop Paphou90-68
03/12/23HKeravnos80-71
Apop Paphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24HAEL64-73
14/02/24HApoel BC60-71
11/02/24AAchilleas K.71-84
27/01/24AParalimni67-66
13/01/24HKeravnos76-83
06/01/24APAEEK101-103 OT
21/12/23HApollon85-92
14/12/23AAnorthosis67-94
09/12/23HAEK Larnaca68-90
02/12/23AApoel BC75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game88.593.883.9
Allowed / game72.871.474.1
Point differential+15.7+22.4+9.8
Avg total161.4165.1158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%88%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Apop Paphou
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%33%12%
Points / game74.273.475.1
Allowed / game82.678.687.1
Point differential-8.4-5.1-12.0
Avg total156.8152.0162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1715288%85.869.2+16.6
2 Anorthosis1714382%87.868.6+19.2
3 AEK Larnaca1714382%88.572.8+15.7
4 Apoel BC1813572%76.769.6+7.1
5 AEL1812667%81.271.3+9.9
6 Apollon1871139%76.885.3-8.6
7 ETHA Engomi1861233%76.582.7-6.2
8 PAEEK1961332%80.190.5-10.4
9 Achilleas K.1951426%67.076.9-9.9
10 Apop Paphou1741324%74.282.6-8.4
11 Paralimni1821611%65.987.5-21.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1424282490
Apop Paphou1710141455
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.