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AEK Larnaca vs CSM Oradea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-89
17-26 22-11 20-29 27-23
Position#19
Record2-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game78.3
AEK Larnaca
vs
CSM Oradea 🏆
Position#7
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Kition Athletic Center
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Oradea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
91avg 84
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 84
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 84
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
88-72
88
72
+16
90avg 84
H11/10
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 84
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
96-61
96
61
+35
100avg 84
A19/10
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 84
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
101-70
101
70
+31
104avg 84
H25/10
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
93-68
93
68
+25
86avg 84
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 84
A01/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
22-24
19-23
18-21
19-24
17-24
17-26
16-16
25-18
16-18
17-14
18-19
20-17
25-10
25-23
18-22
21-26
15-18
21-25
18-20
25-17
24-14
26-15
21-15
22-22
17-14
22-15
23-27
21-18
25-24
30-14
25-14
21-22
30-18
23-18
19-10
25-15
17-11
23-23
17-22
162.5Avg total
86.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.078.3162.3+5.767%
Season at home (2)88.573.0161.5+15.5100%
Season away (1)75.089.0164.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)86.376.2162.5+10.180%
Last 5 (5)91.269.6160.8+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.583.5163.0-4.050%
vs Similar (7)85.777.3163.0+8.4100%
vs Weaker (20)87.969.5157.4+18.495%
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOradea
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 79
H19/09
Champions League
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
99-53
99
53
+46
98avg 79
A01/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
96-81
96
81
+15
88avg 79
H08/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 79
H11/10
Divizia A
AEK Larnaca
#19
W
89-75
89
75
+14
82avg 79
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
75avg 79
A18/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 79
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 79
H25/10
Divizia A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
73-84
73
84
-11
62avg 79
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
67-65
67
65
+2
58avg 79
A01/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-11
12-30
22-15
18-12
25-8
27-17
29-16
22-23
28-19
25-23
21-16
22-18
22-20
14-27
27-18
26-21
18-15
25-21
20-18
28-20
19-19
11-19
23-18
21-29
23-20
17-14
29-22
17-17
23-18
11-15
28-20
18-21
15-21
19-21
21-21
19-20
16-14
25-14
7-17
158.1Avg total
83.0Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.081.3165.3+2.767%
Season at home (1)89.075.0164.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)81.584.5166.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)83.075.1158.1+7.980%
Last 5 (5)78.076.0154.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
vs Similar (5)77.277.0154.2+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.975.4162.3+11.587%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
AEK LarnacaCSM Oradea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/05
Division A
Levice
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A21/09
Champions League
Keravnos
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H11/10
Division A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A19/10
Division A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
Division A
Corona Brasov
#34
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A01/11
Division A
80.4Avg total
43.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.137.781.8+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.537.982.4+6.681%-
Last 30 away (14)43.637.481.1+6.264%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.180.4+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.080.4+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.540.077.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (7)46.439.385.7+7.1100%-
vs Weaker (20)44.436.480.8+8.070%-
This opponent (CSM Oradea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM OradeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/09
Champions League
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A01/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/10
Divizia A
AEK Larnaca
#19
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Voluntari
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A18/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#34
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
Divizia A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A01/11
Divizia A
78.6Avg total
41.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.179.0+4.977%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.036.879.8+6.282%-
Last 30 away (13)40.637.478.0+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.978.6+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.879.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.042.075.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (5)40.437.077.4+3.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.937.079.9+5.978%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.4
54.0%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.1
35.5%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
73.4%13.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Oradeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Oradea: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.5
52.3%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.6
37.1%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.114.4
79.6%
73.4%14.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWLWWLW
CSM Oradea
WLWWWWWWWL
#19
League position
#7
+10.9
Net rating
+11.2
118.5
Offensive rating
117.0
107.6
Defensive rating
105.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
38.9%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.5%
3-point %
37.1%
68.4%
Assist %
49.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 117.0Defence107.6 · 105.7Shooting53.7% · 53.6%3-point %35.5% · 37.1%Ball care15.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds38.9% · 37.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ CSM Oradea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
1
CSM Oradea wins
DateGameScore
15/10/25CSM Oradea v AEK Larnaca89-75
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25AMorphou82-71
29/10/25HCorona Brasov93-68
25/10/25HETHA Engomi101-70
22/10/25HPetkim Spor84-78
19/10/25AApoel BC96-61
15/10/25ACSM Oradea75-89
11/10/25HAEL88-72
06/10/25HKeravnos76-69
21/09/25ALevice69-90
20/05/25HKeravnos99-94 OT
CSM Oradealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25AArges Pitesti67-65
29/10/25APetkim Spor73-84
25/10/25HCorona Brasov79-70
22/10/25ACorona Brasov90-85
18/10/25AVoluntari81-76
15/10/25HAEK Larnaca89-75
11/10/25HValcea85-83
08/10/25HPetrolul Ploiesti96-81
01/10/25ACSM Targu Jiu99-53
19/09/25HAntwerp Giants71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.088.575.0
Allowed / game78.373.089.0
Point differential+5.7+15.5-14.0
Avg total162.3161.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSM Oradea
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.089.081.5
Allowed / game81.375.084.5
Point differential+2.7+14.0-3.0
Avg total165.3164.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Peristeri330100%91.074.3+16.7
2 Cedevita Junior330100%95.781.0+14.7
3 Vechta54180%89.680.2+9.4
4 Trefl Sopot43175%92.877.2+15.5
5 Murcia43175%85.071.5+13.5
6 Sassari43175%91.279.8+11.5
7 Basketball Braunschweig43175%83.882.5+1.2
8 Neftchi IK43175%88.587.2+1.2
9 Bilbao32167%99.765.7+34.0
10 Basket Zaragoza32167%95.779.7+16.0
11 Szombathely32167%87.776.3+11.3
12 Rostock32167%90.083.0+7.0
13 AEK Larnaca32167%84.078.3+5.7
14 Petkim Spor32167%82.377.0+5.3
15 CSM Oradea32167%84.081.3+2.7
16 PAOK32167%86.085.0+1.0
17 Cibona64267%83.083.0+0.0
18 FC Porto32167%81.782.7-1.0
19 KK Bosna53260%79.271.4+7.8
20 Reggiana42250%86.276.8+9.5
21 Anwil Wloclawek63350%89.882.5+7.3
22 Sporting CP42250%84.081.2+2.8
23 Dijon42250%80.880.5+0.2
24 Brno63350%74.580.3-5.8
25 Corona Brasov52340%81.080.2+0.8
26 BC Prievidza52340%86.886.2+0.6
27 Anorthosis52340%75.090.6-15.6
28 Antwerp Giants31233%89.782.7+7.0
29 Bakken Bears31233%86.787.7-1.0
30 Lublin31233%85.792.3-6.7
31 Keravnos31233%83.091.0-8.0
32 Pelister31233%84.092.0-8.0
33 Bashkimi62433%76.385.5-9.2
34 BC Kalev/Cramo31233%78.391.0-12.7
35 Tartu Ulikool31233%83.096.0-13.0
36 Rilski Sportist41325%68.880.8-12.0
37 Kutaisi41325%68.893.0-24.2
38 Absheron Lions51420%83.289.2-6.0
39 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
40 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
41 Trepca3030%77.088.7-11.7
42 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
43 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
44 Valcea3030%68.795.7-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1722202786
CSM Oradea2611292389
← all games of the day
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