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AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 89-71
15-19 34-19 23-23 17-10
Position#1
Record19-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game70.0
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Paralimni
Cyprus
Position#6
Record9-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game82.7
CyprusDivision ARound 24· Kition Athletic Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Paralimni
18 Dec 2026
ALA v PARA
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
ALA90
PARA82
28 Mar 2025
ALA89
PARA71
06 Feb 2025
ALA86
PARA82
14 Dec 2023
ALA112
PARA71
10 Feb 2023
ALA77
PARA45
05 May 2022
ALA80
PARA63
28 Apr 2022
ALA87
PARA72
12 Nov 2021
ALA73
PARA75
31 Mar 2021
ALA88
PARA73
24 Mar 2021
ALA102
PARA62
11 Nov 2020
ALA80
PARA77
24 Nov 2019
ALA87
PARA66
29 Dec 2018
ALA71
PARA55
17 Apr 2018
ALA57
PARA54
10 Apr 2018
ALA83
PARA61
09 Dec 2017
ALA102
PARA71
11 Mar 2017
ALA68
PARA57
06 Dec 2016
ALA72
PARA62
20 Nov 2015
ALA80
PARA63
10 Jan 2015
ALA80
PARA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paralimni winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
69-61
69
61
+8
70avg 80
H12/01
Division A
AEL
#3
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 80
A18/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
115-61
115
61
+54
118avg 80
H25/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
94-54
94
54
+40
97avg 80
A31/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 80
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
87avg 80
A12/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
85-82
85
82
+3
88avg 80
H07/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
57-76
57
76
-19
46avg 80
A12/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 80
H16/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 80
A22/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
12-14
26-17
9-11
14-24
22-12
21-14
23-16
28-15
31-19
33-9
23-18
28-14
23-16
18-11
25-13
20-20
22-25
23-19
21-18
27-30
19-13
23-13
19-26
21-20
28-19
19-20
17-23
14-16
19-18
13-20
11-22
20-24
17-24
23-19
29-16
26-17
30-16
15-16
20-20
157.0Avg total
85.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.270.0155.2+15.295%
Season at home (10)87.069.7156.7+17.3100%
Season away (10)83.470.4153.8+13.090%
Last 10 (10)85.471.6157.0+13.890%
Last 5 (5)82.078.4160.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.085.7156.7-14.733%
vs Similar (7)76.975.6152.4+1.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.569.2154.8+16.394%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
L
87-99
87
99
-12
78avg 75
A09/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
104-80
104
80
+24
105avg 75
H12/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
71-98
71
98
-27
71avg 75
A26/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
70-52
70
52
+18
68avg 75
H01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
84avg 75
A06/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
63avg 75
H11/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
65-83
65
83
-18
56avg 75
A28/02
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
98-71
98
71
+27
96avg 75
H12/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
86-71
86
71
+15
84avg 75
A17/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
97avg 75
H23/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
21-24
21-26
22-21
25-10
27-21
27-23
25-26
21-26
22-24
19-22
9-26
23-15
15-14
24-8
8-15
20-20
25-22
19-23
18-21
20-18
16-18
12-24
18-20
16-29
11-21
16-19
22-14
20-13
28-15
29-18
21-25
20-15
19-15
29-21
18-20
17-15
26-17
24-22
13-26
165.4Avg total
83.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.082.7162.7-2.745%
Season at home (10)83.979.0162.9+4.960%
Season away (10)76.186.3162.4-10.230%
Last 10 (10)83.082.4165.4+0.640%
Last 5 (5)83.281.8165.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)66.089.3155.3-23.314%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)86.375.7162.0+10.778%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
AEK LarnacaParalimni
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/01
Division A
AEL
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H25/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A31/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H16/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A22/03
Division A
81.8Avg total
44.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.779.7+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.339.279.5+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.279.9+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.337.581.8+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.483.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.844.583.3-5.717%-
vs Similar (7)37.639.477.0-1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.236.479.6+6.965%-
This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H12/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A06/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A28/02
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H12/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/03
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H23/03
Division A
79.5Avg total
41.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.678.8-4.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.535.574.0+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)36.047.783.7-11.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.079.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.273.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.544.979.3-10.433%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)43.833.977.7+9.989%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.9
55.6%
51.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.3
36.7%
34.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws14.311.2
78.3%
70.5%11.2
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.9
53.1%
51.5%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.7
35.2%
34.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
70.5%13.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WWLWWWWWWW
Paralimni
LWWLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#6
+19.0
Net rating
+0.0
113.0
Offensive rating
103.8
94.0
Defensive rating
103.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.7%
3-point %
35.2%
68.9%
Assist %
66.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 103.8Defence94.0 · 103.8Shooting55.3% · 53.0%3-point %36.7% · 35.2%Ball care18.5% · 20.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 28.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Paralimni
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Larnaca wins
1
Paralimni wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25AEK Larnaca v Paralimni86-82
18/12/24Paralimni v AEK Larnaca70-76
13/03/24Paralimni v AEK Larnaca28-114
14/12/23AEK Larnaca v Paralimni112-71
10/02/23AEK Larnaca v Paralimni77-45
11/12/22Paralimni v AEK Larnaca58-60 OT
05/05/22AEK Larnaca v Paralimni80-63
02/05/22Paralimni v AEK Larnaca71-95
28/04/22AEK Larnaca v Paralimni87-72
07/02/22Paralimni v AEK Larnaca73-69
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AApoel BC91-69
16/03/25HAnorthosis89-83
12/03/25AAEL57-76
07/03/25HKeravnos85-82
12/02/25AAnorthosis88-82
06/02/25HParalimni86-82
31/01/25AETHA Engomi94-54
25/01/25HApollon115-61
18/01/25AAEL80-66
12/01/25HKeravnos69-61
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HAchilleas K.101-104 OT
17/03/25AETHA Engomi86-71
12/03/25HApollon98-71
28/02/25AApoel BC65-83
11/02/25HApoel BC66-80
06/02/25AAEK Larnaca82-86
01/02/25HAchilleas K.70-52
26/01/25AAnorthosis71-98
12/01/25HETHA Engomi104-80
09/01/25AApollon87-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game85.287.083.4
Allowed / game70.069.770.4
Point differential+15.2+17.3+13.0
Avg total155.2156.7153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paralimni
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game80.083.976.1
Allowed / game82.779.086.3
Point differential-2.6+4.9-10.2
Avg total162.7162.9162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca2019195%85.270.0+15.2
2 Keravnos2016480%95.280.3+14.9
3 AEL2014670%87.674.3+13.2
4 Anorthosis2112957%88.482.0+6.3
5 Apoel BC2112957%82.179.8+2.4
6 Paralimni2091145%80.082.7-2.6
7 Apollon2061430%83.893.3-9.6
8 ETHA Engomi2121910%74.088.8-14.8
9 Achilleas K.2121910%66.690.2-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1534231789
Paralimni1919231071
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