PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game69.8
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Paralimni
Cyprus
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game79.2
CyprusDivision ARound 11· Kition Athletic Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Paralimni
18 Dec 2026
ALA v PARA
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
ALA90
PARA82
28 Mar 2025
ALA89
PARA71
06 Feb 2025
ALA86
PARA82
14 Dec 2023
ALA112
PARA71
10 Feb 2023
ALA77
PARA45
05 May 2022
ALA80
PARA63
28 Apr 2022
ALA87
PARA72
12 Nov 2021
ALA73
PARA75
31 Mar 2021
ALA88
PARA73
24 Mar 2021
ALA102
PARA62
11 Nov 2020
ALA80
PARA77
24 Nov 2019
ALA87
PARA66
29 Dec 2018
ALA71
PARA55
17 Apr 2018
ALA57
PARA54
10 Apr 2018
ALA83
PARA61
09 Dec 2017
ALA102
PARA71
11 Mar 2017
ALA68
PARA57
06 Dec 2016
ALA72
PARA62
20 Nov 2015
ALA80
PARA63
10 Jan 2015
ALA80
PARA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paralimni win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
80-94
80
94
-14
69avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 80
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
99-93
99
93
+6
100avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
65avg 80
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#47
W
85-69
85
69
+16
78avg 80
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
87-61
87
61
+26
94avg 80
H31/10
Division A
Iraklis
#11
L
64-81
64
81
-17
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
103-78
103
78
+25
no box
A08/11
Division A
Wurzburg
#13
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#10
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H15/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
20-19
31-17
15-29
30-18
19-20
21-23
13-18
32-21
25-30
22-20
20-22
18-16
30-22
15-21
22-15
23-20
26-22
22-11
14-16
27-10
17-16
30-14
13-21
23-21
11-27
11-14
19-19
29-10
25-18
21-33
28-17
24-12
22-23
17-26
13-17
29-19
18-20
23-15
21-17
163.1Avg total
85.3Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.869.8159.7+20.0100%
Season at home (3)87.070.3157.3+16.7100%
Season away (3)92.769.3162.0+23.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.377.8163.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)84.273.8158.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.279.5152.8-6.225%
vs Similar (7)78.076.6154.6+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.174.9163.1+13.289%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
66avg 73
H26/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
82-99
82
99
-17
72avg 73
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
62avg 73
H05/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
71avg 73
A08/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
85avg 73
H11/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 73
A17/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
67avg 73
H24/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
96-82
96
82
+14
96avg 73
A01/11
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H09/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
A13/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
27-30
18-26
10-19
22-31
24-19
23-24
13-25
15-15
19-22
21-20
21-19
23-24
18-26
26-15
19-20
19-16
26-19
24-18
23-26
22-20
22-22
20-24
13-23
16-18
22-30
21-15
15-22
26-30
29-15
24-20
17-17
15-17
23-7
17-23
25-22
34-16
17-20
21-15
17-20
166.6Avg total
83.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.779.2163.8+5.567%
Season at home (3)82.077.7159.7+4.367%
Season away (3)87.380.7168.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)83.083.6166.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.279.2162.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.086.4161.4-11.40%
vs Similar (13)81.881.6163.5+0.238%
vs Weaker (9)89.679.2168.8+10.389%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.3+7.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.3+7.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
AEK LarnacaParalimni
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H31/10
Division A
Iraklis
#11
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A08/11
Division A
Wurzburg
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/11
Division A
85.5Avg total
46.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.083.9+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.839.385.1+6.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.782.7+1.240%-
Last 10 (10)46.239.385.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.280.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.542.881.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (7)40.339.179.4+1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.839.686.4+7.367%-
This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H26/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A08/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A17/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A01/11
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H09/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A13/11
Division A
85.0Avg total
43.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.583.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.640.681.2-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)44.640.485.0+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.084.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.245.186.4-3.950%-
vs Similar (13)41.639.280.8+2.554%-
vs Weaker (9)44.738.483.1+6.267%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.7
51.9%
52.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.4
35.2%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.1
76.7%
72.9%16.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.9
52.5%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.9
28.4%
34.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws25.218.5
73.4%
72.9%18.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WLWLWWWWWL
Paralimni
WWWLLWWLLL
#1
League position
#4
+10.3
Net rating
-6.3
99.1
Offensive rating
93.4
88.8
Defensive rating
99.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
12.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.2%
3-point %
28.4%
66.8%
Assist %
56.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 93.4Defence88.8 · 99.8Shooting52.2% · 48.8%3-point %35.2% · 28.4%Ball care12.4% · 13.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Paralimni
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Paralimni wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26Paralimni v AEK Larnaca74-85
26/03/26Paralimni v AEK Larnaca74-90
23/01/26Paralimni v AEK Larnaca70-78
08/11/25AEK Larnaca v Paralimni90-82
28/03/25AEK Larnaca v Paralimni89-71
06/02/25AEK Larnaca v Paralimni86-82
18/12/24Paralimni v AEK Larnaca70-76
13/03/24Paralimni v AEK Larnaca28-114
14/12/23AEK Larnaca v Paralimni112-71
10/02/23AEK Larnaca v Paralimni77-45
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HAnorthosis91-71
11/11/26AWurzburg76-78
08/11/26AMorphou103-78
04/11/26AIraklis64-81
31/10/26HETHA Engomi87-61
27/10/26AMZT Skopje85-69
24/10/26AParalimni85-74
21/10/26HTartu Ulikool99-93
18/10/26HApoel BC83-79
14/10/26ADziki Warszawa80-94
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AApoel BC89-71
09/11/26HApollon80-69
01/11/26AAchilleas K.96-82
24/10/26HAEK Larnaca74-85
17/10/26AAEL77-89
11/10/26HAnorthosis92-79
08/04/26AApoel BC86-85
05/04/26HApollon80-87 OT
31/03/26AAEL82-99
26/03/26HAEK Larnaca74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.887.092.7
Allowed / game69.870.369.3
Point differential+20.0+16.7+23.3
Avg total159.7157.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paralimni
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.782.087.3
Allowed / game79.277.780.7
Point differential+5.5+4.3+6.7
Avg total163.8159.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca660100%89.869.8+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou61517%71.282.8-11.7
9 Achilleas K.61517%75.789.2-13.5
10 Anorthosis6060%74.383.7-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.