AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 77-45

19-9 21-24 16-8 21-4

Position#2

Record11-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game69.1

AEK Larnaca 🏆

Paralimni

Position#9

Record4-12

FormLLLWW

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game73.8

Division ARound 19

Other2022-23

Meetings · AEK Larnaca v Paralimni

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paralimni winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Larnaca Cyprus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apoel BC

88-94

-6

H20/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

74-77

-3

A27/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

82-59

+23

H04/12

Division A

Paralimni

60-58 OT

A11/12

Division A

AEL

118-103

118

103

+15

H21/12

Division A

Anorthosis

81-70

+11

A03/01

Division A

Omonia

#11

83-54

+29

H07/01

Division A

Keravnos

78-93

-15

A15/01

Division A

Apollon

73-58

+15

H21/01

Division A

Apoel BC

77-73

A29/01

Division A

22-22

22-31

14-23

30-18

25-20

7-16

25-18

17-23

24-25

25-12

22-7

11-15

15-13

5-5

19-15

12-18

26-30

34-23

33-26

25-24

24-22

28-14

16-21

13-13

19-9

16-21

23-12

25-12

19-28

21-26

19-24

19-15

15-17

23-9

20-15

15-17

18-23

19-20

20-19

20-11

155.3Avg total

81.4Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	79.9	69.1	149.0	+10.9	73%
Season at home (7)	83.6	66.7	150.3	+16.9	86%
Season away (8)	76.8	71.1	147.9	+5.6	62%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	73.9	155.3	+7.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	69.6	148.0	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	67.7	72.0	139.7	-4.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	82.2	69.2	151.3	+13.0	77%

This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paralimni

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ETHA Engomi

87-103

103

-16

A26/11

Division A

AEK Larnaca

58-60 OT

-2

H11/12

Division A

AEL

78-92

-14

A16/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

69-46

+23

H22/12

Division A

Omonia

#11

73-80

-7

A03/01

Division A

Keravnos

57-62

-5

H07/01

Division A

Apollon

77-83 OT

-6

A14/01

Division A

Apoel BC

81-82

-1

H22/01

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

81-61

+20

A29/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

95-86 OT

H02/02

Division A

17-23

16-25

25-26

29-29

13-15

5-5

15-19

18-12

19-21

26-18

14-30

19-23

15-12

25-12

15-4

14-18

20-19

17-25

11-15

25-21

25-17

12-23

12-9

8-13

23-11

7-23

18-18

22-18

20-25

18-21

21-20

22-16

22-8

17-13

21-17

21-23

20-19

24-23

14-23

17-10

151.1Avg total

75.6Scored

75.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	71.4	73.8	145.2	-2.3	25%
Season at home (8)	67.8	64.9	132.6	+2.9	38%
Season away (8)	75.1	82.6	157.8	-7.5	12%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	75.5	151.1	+0.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	74.8	153.0	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	68.5	77.1	145.6	-8.7	13%
vs Similar (6)	66.7	67.2	133.8	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker (9)	78.4	70.6	149.0	+7.9	78%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaParalimni

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.7	38.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	17.5	37.4	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	12.0	21.0	33.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.8	17.4	39.2	+4.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	17.0	33.9	-0.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.0	15.5	31.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.3	17.9	34.1	-1.6	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.0	17.7	33.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.6	15.2	33.8	+3.3	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.3	18.3	36.7	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.5	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.8	35.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	20.8	36.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.8	35.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.6	36.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	14.5	19.6	34.1	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	18.2	35.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.7	17.8	38.4	+2.9	56%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apoel BC

44-53

-9

H20/11

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

32-36

-4

A27/11

Division A

ETHA Engomi

49-37

+12

H04/12

Division A

Paralimni

20-18

A11/12

Division A

AEL

60-53

H21/12

Division A

Anorthosis

52-36

+16

A03/01

Division A

Omonia

#11

35-30

H07/01

Division A

Keravnos

40-54

-14

A15/01

Division A

Apollon

38-26

+12

H21/01

Division A

Apoel BC

37-43

-6

A29/01

Division A

79.3Avg total

40.7Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	35.0	76.3	+6.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.1	34.6	75.7	+6.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.6	35.5	77.2	+6.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.6	79.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.8	78.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	30.3	39.3	69.7	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.5	34.5	76.9	+8.0	65%	-

This opponent (Paralimni) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

ETHA Engomi

33-48

-15

A26/11

Division A

AEK Larnaca

18-20

-2

H11/12

Division A

AEL

45-39

A16/12

Division A

Apop Paphou

40-24

+16

H22/12

Division A

Omonia

#11

37-44

-7

A03/01

Division A

Keravnos

37-40

-3

H07/01

Division A

Apollon

30-34

-4

A14/01

Division A

Apoel BC

38-46

-8

H22/01

Division A

Achilleas K.

#10

39-21

+18

A29/01

Division A

ETHA Engomi

44-42

H02/02

Division A

71.9Avg total

36.1Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.8	35.8	69.6	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.8	32.3	66.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.8	39.3	73.1	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	35.8	71.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	36.6	74.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	30.7	37.5	68.2	-6.7	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.3	35.8	69.2	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.2	33.0	72.2	+6.2	67%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	15.7	36.9	+5.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	16.7	17.0	33.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.1	17.3	38.4	+3.8	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	16.5	33.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.1	34.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.4	34.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	14.7	15.7	30.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.0	15.8	34.8	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.1	17.8	34.8	-0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	13.6	32.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.7	15.7	36.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	17.8	16.7	34.5	+1.2	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	15.6	33.1	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	17.1	35.8	+1.5	60%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	15.7	34.3	+3.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.3	22%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	33.8	72.3	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.2	31.5	71.6	+8.7	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.5	36.8	73.2	-0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	34.6	74.4	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	31.8	69.8	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	37.3	32.7	70.0	+4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	39.0	34.0	72.9	+5.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	36.3	72.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.2	32.1	66.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	40.4	78.5	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	36.4	72.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	33.4	68.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.8	38.2	75.0	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.3	31.3	64.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	37.0	36.3	73.3	+0.7	44%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 50.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀64%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws0.0 pts a game · 0% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	16.0	41.0%	51.8%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	6.0	28.6%	33.2%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	2.0	0.0	0.0%	71.9%	0.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.9%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	14.0	35.9%	51.8%	28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	33.2%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	14.0	82.4%	71.9%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Paralimni wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/22	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	58-60 OT
05/05/22	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	80-63
02/05/22	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	71-95
28/04/22	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	87-72
07/02/22	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	73-69
12/11/21	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	73-75
31/03/21	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	88-73
27/03/21	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	77-81
24/03/21	AEK Larnaca v Paralimni	102-62
17/03/21	Paralimni v AEK Larnaca	78-70

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/23	A	Apoel BC	77-73
21/01/23	H	Apollon	73-58
15/01/23	A	Keravnos	78-93
07/01/23	H	Omonia	83-54
03/01/23	A	Anorthosis	81-70
21/12/22	H	AEL	118-103
11/12/22	A	Paralimni	60-58 OT
04/12/22	H	ETHA Engomi	82-59
27/11/22	A	Achilleas K.	74-77
20/11/22	H	Apoel BC	88-94

Paralimnilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/23	H	ETHA Engomi	95-86 OT
29/01/23	A	Achilleas K.	81-61
22/01/23	H	Apoel BC	81-82
14/01/23	A	Apollon	77-83 OT
07/01/23	H	Keravnos	57-62
03/01/23	A	Omonia	73-80
22/12/22	H	Apop Paphou	69-46
16/12/22	A	AEL	78-92
11/12/22	H	AEK Larnaca	58-60 OT
26/11/22	A	ETHA Engomi	87-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	73%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	LWWLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	73%	86%	62%
Points / game	79.9	83.6	76.8
Allowed / game	69.1	66.7	71.1
Point differential	+10.9	+16.9	+5.6
Avg total	149.0	150.3	147.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	86%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	12%

Paralimni

Division A 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	25%
Home	LWLLW	38%
Away	LLLLW	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	25%	38%	12%
Points / game	71.4	67.8	75.1
Allowed / game	73.8	64.9	82.6
Point differential	-2.3	+2.9	-7.5
Avg total	145.2	132.6	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	25%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	19%	25%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Keravnos	14	13	1	93%	86.8	68.9	+17.9
2	Apoel BC	16	13	3	81%	89.3	79.1	+10.2
3	AEK Larnaca	15	11	4	73%	79.9	69.1	+10.9
4	Apollon	18	12	6	67%	75.8	73.5	+2.3
5	AEL	16	9	7	56%	84.6	82.9	+1.7
6	ETHA Engomi	15	7	8	47%	79.4	84.3	-4.9
7	Anorthosis	15	6	9	40%	73.4	78.9	-5.5
8	Achilleas K.	15	5	10	33%	71.7	79.7	-8.0
9	Paralimni	16	4	12	25%	71.4	73.8	-2.3
10	Apop Paphou	16	4	12	25%	64.4	76.0	-11.6
11	Omonia	16	2	14	12%	67.1	76.4	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	19	21	16	21	77
Paralimni	9	24	8	4	45

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Paralimni Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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