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AEK Larnaca vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-65
22-17 18-23 15-19 18-6
Position#25
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AEK Larnaca 🏆
vs
Wurzburg
Position#13
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1· Kition Athletic Center
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 81
A21/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 81
H24/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
85avg 81
A28/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
85-71
85
71
+14
83avg 81
H01/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
54avg 81
H09/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 81
A13/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 81
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
65avg 81
A21/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 81
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
75avg 81
A16/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
17-23
18-14
32-23
29-21
19-17
21-17
20-17
21-14
23-30
21-23
22-28
22-14
25-25
23-20
15-12
13-16
19-24
18-14
18-21
14-25
27-19
25-15
20-22
22-27
18-17
13-17
23-14
15-16
24-27
19-25
22-26
18-18
16-16
21-11
13-19
18-31
19-13
24-32
26-19
160.9Avg total
80.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.580.4160.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)79.481.8161.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)58.0101.0159.0-43.00%
vs Similar (8)79.577.4156.9+2.162%
vs Weaker (20)87.674.3161.9+13.290%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
75-58
75
58
+17
70avg 72
H10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
69-54
69
54
+15
57avg 72
A16/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
65avg 72
A18/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 72
H22/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 72
H24/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
63-66
63
66
-3
52avg 72
A27/05
BBL
Manchester Basketball
#31
L
73-74
73
74
-1
62avg 72
H14/09
Champions League
Oldenburg
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
70avg 72
H25/09
BBL
Ulm
#12
W
90-67
90
67
+23
75avg 72
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 72
H02/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
18-15
11-15
23-18
14-23
16-7
24-15
15-9
24-20
19-21
17-24
21-23
22-17
22-19
7-19
25-25
20-12
16-19
25-17
21-22
19-15
11-7
16-27
17-17
19-18
18-24
15-22
21-10
12-21
21-19
21-13
14-24
16-24
25-9
21-22
28-12
21-17
15-19
21-19
26-21
147.0Avg total
76.0Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.071.0147.0+5.050%
Last 5 (5)75.472.0147.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.983.1163.0-3.329%
vs Similar (14)80.475.9156.3+4.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.075.8153.8+2.262%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
AEK LarnacaWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A21/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H24/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/09
Champions League
80.6Avg total
39.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.883.1+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.437.181.6+7.364%-
Last 30 away (16)42.442.184.4+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.580.6-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.880.0-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)20.051.071.0-31.00%-
vs Similar (8)41.940.582.4+1.438%-
vs Weaker (20)45.438.784.1+6.770%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A16/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A27/05
BBL
Manchester Basketball
#31
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/09
Champions League
Oldenburg
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H25/09
BBL
Ulm
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A27/09
BBL
Bonn
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/10
BBL
70.7Avg total
37.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.677.7+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.138.778.8+1.459%-
Last 30 away (13)37.838.576.2-0.746%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.670.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.670.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.142.183.3-1.043%-
vs Similar (14)39.937.477.3+2.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.037.273.2-1.250%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.4
51.8%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.3
26.7%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.015.8
75.2%
72.8%15.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.0
47.3%
53.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.5
32.1%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.8
73.6%
72.8%14.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
LWLWWLWLWL
Wurzburg
WWLLLWLLWW
#25
League position
#13
+0.6
Net rating
+5.7
94.0
Offensive rating
90.5
93.4
Defensive rating
84.9
47.2%
Effective FG%
47.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
11.8%
Turnover %
12.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.7%
3-point %
32.1%
65.2%
Assist %
58.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 90.5Defence93.4 · 84.9Shooting47.2% · 47.7%3-point %26.7% · 32.1%Ball care11.8% · 12.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Wurzburg wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/09/26ACSM Oradea87-95
25/05/26HKeravnos68-64
21/05/26AKeravnos80-94
17/05/26HKeravnos76-75
13/05/26AKeravnos86-81
09/05/26HKeravnos68-75
01/05/26HApoel BC85-71
28/04/26AApoel BC87-95
24/04/26HApoel BC89-72
21/04/26AApoel BC79-82
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26HBonn83-76
27/09/26AUlm90-67
25/09/26HOldenburg68-77
14/09/26HManchester Basketball73-74
27/05/26ABonn63-66
24/05/26HBonn82-70
22/05/26HBonn76-80
18/05/26ABonn81-88
16/05/26ABonn69-54
10/05/26HLudwigsburg75-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Wurzburg
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dziki Warszawa110100%103.076.0+27.0
2 Geneva Lions110100%105.083.0+22.0
3 Mykonos110100%78.058.0+20.0
4 Denizli Basket110100%83.069.0+14.0
5 Basquet Girona110100%87.075.0+12.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes110100%77.065.0+12.0
7 Zielona Gora110100%90.080.0+10.0
8 Oostende110100%76.069.0+7.0
9 Iraklis110100%64.059.0+5.0
10 Nancy110100%66.065.0+1.0
11 Dinamo Bucharest32167%92.076.0+16.0
12 BC Prievidza32167%90.077.0+13.0
13 Parnu21150%70.070.5-0.5
14 Neftchi IK31233%66.372.7-6.3
15 Vienna Basket1010%65.066.0-1.0
16 MZT Skopje1010%59.064.0-5.0
17 Levice1010%69.076.0-7.0
18 Szolnoki Olaj1010%80.090.0-10.0
19 SCM Craiova1010%65.077.0-12.0
20 Absheron Lions1010%83.0105.0-22.0
21 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
22 Tartu Ulikool1010%76.0103.0-27.0
23 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 23 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca2218151873
Wurzburg172319665
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