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Bonn vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 54-69
23-14 7-16 15-24 9-15
Position#4
Record21-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#5
Record20-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game80.2
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals· Telekom Dome
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bonn v Wurzburg
12 Apr 2027
BON v WUR
upcoming
27 May 2026
BON66
WUR63
18 May 2026
BON88
WUR81
16 May 2026
BON54
WUR69
27 Sep 2025
BON61
WUR72
26 Dec 2024
BON81
WUR90
05 May 2024
BON91
WUR100
11 Mar 2023
BON94
WUR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 74
A14/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 74
A23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
70avg 74
H27/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
94-82
94
82
+12
88avg 74
H02/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 74
A04/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
96-85
96
85
+11
88avg 74
H12/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
75-91
75
91
-16
63avg 74
A20/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
104-72
104
72
+32
103avg 74
A01/05
BBL
Trier
#12
W
102-77
102
77
+25
96avg 74
H08/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
69avg 74
A10/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
24-19
21-27
24-19
20-19
20-20
21-19
16-26
19-17
19-23
17-13
24-28
24-26
21-12
21-20
28-24
14-17
16-25
20-13
26-20
20-30
29-11
27-21
20-23
18-32
16-20
17-22
24-17
28-16
21-25
21-12
34-19
21-20
35-15
23-18
23-24
18-26
23-18
24-25
18-33
170.3Avg total
87.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.980.3164.2+3.662%
Season at home (17)83.078.3161.3+4.771%
Season away (17)84.882.4167.2+2.553%
Last 10 (10)87.383.0170.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)92.085.4177.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.383.3153.7-13.017%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.082.1166.1+1.967%
vs Weaker (12)93.879.2173.1+14.683%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 74
A22/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
90-102
90
102
-12
79avg 74
A01/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 74
H04/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 74
A11/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 74
H17/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 74
H23/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
52-83
52
83
-31
40avg 74
A26/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 74
H02/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
90-73
90
73
+17
87avg 74
A07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
75-58
75
58
+17
70avg 74
H10/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
21-25
23-18
23-16
17-21
22-24
25-37
26-20
17-27
30-21
14-26
25-29
24-16
19-12
24-20
20-21
17-26
20-9
23-14
20-17
14-21
32-16
20-29
15-24
11-27
8-17
19-21
14-18
23-26
26-22
30-15
19-21
22-14
26-21
20-21
22-17
23-10
18-15
11-15
23-18
163.1Avg total
82.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.880.2162.0+1.659%
Season at home (17)84.980.1165.0+4.971%
Season away (17)78.680.4158.9-1.847%
Last 10 (10)82.480.7163.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)79.277.6156.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.787.3168.0-6.711%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.580.2164.7+4.262%
vs Weaker (8)80.977.1158.0+3.875%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
BonnWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A23/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A04/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H12/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A01/05
BBL
Trier
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H08/05
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/05
BBL
83.1Avg total
42.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.781.2+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.081.1+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.940.381.3+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.783.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.842.688.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.340.072.3-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.242.283.4-0.950%-
vs Weaker (12)46.337.083.3+9.383%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/03
BBL
Trier
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/04
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A11/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H23/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
19-44
19
44
-25
A26/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A07/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H10/05
BBL
79.8Avg total
40.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.480.3-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.979.5+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.081.0-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.079.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.878.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.743.984.6-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.540.480.9+0.254%-
vs Weaker (8)37.836.674.4+1.162%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.4
56.2%
53.8%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.87.5
27.0%
34.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.916.0
69.9%
73.5%16.0
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.1
53.2%
53.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.815.9
72.9%
73.5%15.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LWWLWWWLLW
Wurzburg
WWWLLWWLLW
#4
League position
#5
+4.8
Net rating
+1.5
98.0
Offensive rating
95.9
93.2
Defensive rating
94.4
50.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
13.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.0%
3-point %
34.7%
57.1%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 95.9Defence93.2 · 94.4Shooting50.1% · 52.7%3-point %27.0% · 34.7%Ball care13.0% · 16.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Bonn   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bonn wins
5
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Wurzburg v Bonn81-87
27/09/25Bonn v Wurzburg61-72
26/04/25Wurzburg v Bonn83-75
26/12/24Bonn v Wurzburg81-90
05/05/24Bonn v Wurzburg91-100
16/12/23Wurzburg v Bonn97-78
11/03/23Bonn v Wurzburg94-73
01/10/22Wurzburg v Bonn71-96
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26ABamberg83-102
08/05/26HTrier102-77
01/05/26AFrankfurt104-72
20/04/26AAlba Berlin75-91
12/04/26HBasketball Braunschweig96-85
04/04/26AChemnitz76-75
02/04/26HHeidelberg94-82
27/03/26HLudwigsburg79-81
23/03/26AUlm77-84
14/03/26AWurzburg87-81
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26HLudwigsburg75-58
07/05/26AHamburg90-73
02/05/26HUlm98-84
26/04/26ASyntainics MBC52-83
23/04/26HBayern81-90
17/04/26HFrankfurt80-66
11/04/26AJena87-69
04/04/26HVechta86-103
01/04/26ATrier90-102
22/03/26AOldenburg85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%71%53%
Points / game83.983.084.8
Allowed / game80.378.382.4
Point differential+3.6+4.7+2.5
Avg total164.2161.3167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game81.884.978.6
Allowed / game80.280.180.4
Point differential+1.6+4.9-1.8
Avg total162.0165.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3429585%87.674.4+13.2
2 Bamberg35251071%89.681.5+8.1
3 Alba Berlin34241071%85.877.9+7.9
4 Bonn34211362%83.980.3+3.6
5 Wurzburg34201459%81.880.2+1.6
6 Ulm35191654%82.678.4+4.2
7 Vechta35181751%90.788.3+2.4
8 Rostock36181850%83.681.8+1.8
9 Trier36181850%89.893.1-3.3
10 Ludwigsburg35171849%82.183.9-1.9
11 Oldenburg34161847%83.184.3-1.2
12 Chemnitz34161847%83.585.7-2.2
13 Syntainics MBC34132138%84.587.2-2.7
14 Hamburg34132138%84.788.4-3.6
15 Frankfurt34122235%80.986.1-5.2
16 Jena34122235%81.188.9-7.9
17 Basketball Braunschweig34102429%83.090.3-7.3
18 Heidelberg3492526%78.786.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn23715954
Wurzburg1416241569
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