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Afyon Belediye vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 May 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 57-115
10-36 15-31 21-28 11-20
Position#16
Record4-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game96.8
vs
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
Position#9
Record15-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 30
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Afyon Belediye v Tofas
06 May 2022
ABE57
TOF115
11 Oct 2020
ABE75
TOF89
10 Nov 2019
ABE73
TOF84
20 Oct 2018
ABE96
TOF85
17 May 2016
ABE78
TOF93
05 Mar 2016
ABE55
TOF90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelediye
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
93avg 59
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 59
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
66-86
66
86
-20
55avg 59
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
67-94
67
94
-27
56avg 59
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
L
87-109
87
109
-22
72avg 59
A24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
77-105
77
105
-28
54avg 59
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
H01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
61avg 59
A10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
61-95
61
95
-34
54avg 59
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
59-94
59
94
-35
46avg 59
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
24-14
22-22
21-23
21-25
18-23
17-14
17-17
18-26
15-16
14-26
19-18
19-19
15-32
21-20
12-23
26-30
23-26
14-22
24-31
20-34
23-25
16-20
18-26
12-22
17-23
17-21
15-33
13-30
23-15
20-23
12-22
16-22
9-19
21-21
15-33
11-29
13-14
17-33
18-18
164.5Avg total
71.1Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.696.8167.4-26.114%
Season at home (14)71.196.0167.1-24.921%
Season away (15)70.297.5167.7-27.37%
Last 10 (10)71.193.4164.5-22.310%
Last 5 (5)65.296.6161.8-31.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)70.696.8167.4-26.114%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)91.0114.0205.0-23.00%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
58avg 78
A22/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-66
98
66
+32
100avg 78
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
92-108
92
108
-16
89avg 78
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 78
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 78
A06/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 78
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 78
H12/04
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 78
H16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
no box
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
17-24
24-15
16-13
9-19
18-20
24-20
19-26
24-14
24-19
22-12
28-21
22-30
25-28
19-25
26-25
24-21
19-24
20-18
18-17
17-31
16-16
24-19
20-12
16-15
19-27
20-16
23-21
16-21
14-22
20-18
23-13
26-21
17-24
20-11
15-26
24-13
16-19
20-20
18-26
161.9Avg total
81.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.482.5167.9+2.952%
Season at home (15)87.981.9169.8+5.953%
Season away (14)82.883.1165.9-0.450%
Last 10 (10)81.180.8161.9+0.330%
Last 5 (5)79.080.6159.6-1.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
vs Similar (19)80.180.3160.3-0.237%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)93.275.0168.2+18.288%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -7.3-7.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -7.3-7.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Afyon BelediyeTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H20/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#13
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H01/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#6
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.9Avg total
36.1Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.349.284.5-13.910%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.648.382.9-13.720%-
Last 30 away (15)35.950.186.0-14.10%-
Last 10 (10)36.146.882.9-10.710%-
Last 5 (5)31.446.678.0-15.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)34.849.083.8-14.210%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)49.054.0103.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#3
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A26/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/04
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.3Avg total
38.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.582.1-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.242.384.5-0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.779.7-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.878.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.044.583.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (19)38.842.781.6-3.932%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.238.482.6+5.938%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Afyon Belediyetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Afyon Belediye: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.2
44.9%
53.2%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
36.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
75.6%14.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
48%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.5
53.2%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.7
36.7%
36.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.3
74.5%
75.6%12.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Afyon Belediye
LLLLLLLLLW
Tofas
LLLLLWLWLW
#16
League position
#9
-30.5
Net rating
-0.4
97.4
Offensive rating
111.8
127.9
Defensive rating
112.3
46.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
36.7%
59.0%
Assist %
59.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 111.8Defence127.9 · 112.3Shooting46.7% · 53.8%3-point %33.2% · 36.7%Ball care17.9% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 33.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Afyon Belediye   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Afyon Belediye wins
8
Tofas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/22ABursaspor59-94
17/04/22HGalatasaray61-95
10/04/22AAnadolu Efes68-90
01/04/22HFenerbahce61-99
27/03/22ABahcesehir Kol.77-105
24/03/22APetkim Spor87-109
20/03/22HKarsiyaka67-94
05/03/22HBesiktas66-86
12/02/22ADarussafaka73-79
05/02/22HMerkezefendi92-83
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/22AGalatasaray89-90 OT
16/04/22HFenerbahce78-82
12/04/22HTenerife73-74
09/04/22AKarsiyaka78-79
06/04/22ATenerife77-78
02/04/22HBesiktas81-80
30/03/22AGaziantep92-108
26/03/22AMerkezefendi98-66
22/03/22AManresa70-85
19/03/22HYalovaspor75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Afyon Belediye
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL21%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %14%21%7%
Points / game70.671.170.2
Allowed / game96.896.097.5
Point differential-26.1-24.9-27.3
Avg total167.4167.1167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game85.487.982.8
Allowed / game82.581.983.1
Point differential+2.9+5.9-0.4
Avg total167.9169.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2923679%83.873.1+10.7
2 Anadolu Efes2922776%89.979.9+9.9
3 Galatasaray29191066%86.680.0+6.6
4 Darussafaka29191066%79.073.6+5.4
5 Gaziantep29191066%80.475.6+4.9
6 Bursaspor29171259%83.977.6+6.3
7 Bahcesehir Kol.29171259%85.981.5+4.4
8 Karsiyaka29171259%80.076.6+3.4
9 Tofas29151452%85.482.5+2.9
10 Besiktas29151452%76.875.7+1.0
11 Turk Telekom29121741%75.776.4-0.7
12 Buyukcekmece29101934%79.686.1-6.4
13 Petkim Spor2982128%77.684.4-6.9
14 Merkezefendi2982128%76.385.1-8.9
15 Yalovaspor2972224%74.481.0-6.6
16 Afyon Belediye2942514%70.696.8-26.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Afyon Belediye1015211157
Tofas36312820115
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