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Agrigento vs Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-66
25-18 17-15 17-20 24-13
Position#19
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#24
Record4-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.2
ItalySerie A2Round 15· PalaMoncada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Agrigento v Monferrato
17 Dec 2023
AGRI83
MONF66
18 Dec 2022
AGRI88
MONF72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Agrigento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 68
H22/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
70-62
70
62
+8
70avg 68
H29/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
72-105
72
105
-33
67avg 68
A01/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 68
H05/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 68
A12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 68
A19/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
88-77
88
77
+11
81avg 68
H26/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
84-85
84
85
-1
72avg 68
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
63-65
63
65
-2
56avg 68
H06/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 68
A10/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
18-19
14-13
19-26
20-13
18-13
12-20
20-16
19-28
20-29
17-24
16-24
34-21
17-24
22-19
23-14
18-18
28-20
10-22
15-25
20-33
16-17
26-17
20-34
21-26
15-8
28-21
24-22
19-16
14-26
18-16
33-27
13-14
18-12
16-22
16-17
19-20
13-16
25-22
20-30
159.4Avg total
77.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.679.9155.5-4.429%
Season at home (7)74.772.9147.6+1.943%
Season away (7)76.487.0163.4-10.614%
Last 10 (10)77.282.2159.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)78.883.2162.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.184.3161.4-7.218%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.781.8164.6+0.956%
vs Weaker (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 70
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
79-88
79
88
-9
64avg 70
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 70
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-112
98
112
-14
81avg 70
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
63avg 70
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 70
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
97-83
97
83
+14
92avg 70
H25/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 70
A02/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 70
H06/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
86-61
86
61
+25
85avg 70
H10/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
19-26
23-19
33-30
15-16
22-24
20-17
22-31
17-16
15-20
14-9
20-29
25-32
19-28
27-19
27-33
17-28
10-21
28-16
16-21
19-26
12-23
16-14
27-27
21-12
22-25
25-25
29-21
18-22
17-22
24-17
15-18
14-26
20-23
12-15
21-14
18-14
23-14
19-13
26-20
165.2Avg total
80.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.483.2163.6-2.929%
Season at home (8)79.878.4158.1+1.450%
Season away (6)81.289.7170.8-8.50%
Last 10 (10)80.984.3165.2-3.430%
Last 5 (5)79.678.2157.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.789.2172.8-5.533%
vs Similar ◀ (24)79.677.6157.2+2.046%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
AgrigentoMonferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H22/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H29/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A01/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H26/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H06/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A10/12
Serie A2
76.9Avg total
37.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.278.9+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.477.8+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.140.779.8-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.176.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.671.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.841.278.0-4.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.138.380.4+3.878%-
vs Weaker (1)28.032.060.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H21/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H10/12
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
36.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.977.7-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.137.875.9+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.179.7-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)36.543.580.0-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.478.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.347.587.8-7.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)38.436.875.1+1.658%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.6
49.6%
50.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.816.3
74.8%
74.2%16.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.615.8
47.0%
50.3%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.6
35.8%
34.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
74.2%14.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Agrigento
LLLWLLWLWL
Monferrato
WLLWLLLLLW
#19
League position
#24
-6.5
Net rating
-3.9
102.8
Offensive rating
104.9
109.3
Defensive rating
108.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.0%
3-point %
35.8%
61.4%
Assist %
53.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 104.9Defence109.3 · 108.8Shooting48.9% · 50.3%3-point %32.0% · 35.8%Ball care19.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 22.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Agrigento   ■ Monferrato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Agrigento wins
2
Monferrato wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Monferrato v Agrigento76-74
26/03/23Monferrato v Agrigento88-77
18/12/22Agrigento v Monferrato88-72
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ABasket Torino77-88
06/12/23HUrania Milano63-65
03/12/23ASebastiani Rieti84-85
26/11/23HLatina88-77
19/11/23AJuVi Cremona82-101
12/11/23AVigevano71-85
05/11/23HCantu96-78
01/11/23ATrapani72-105
29/10/23HLuiss Roma70-62
22/10/23HTreviglio69-76
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HVigevano86-61
06/12/23HTrapani67-78
02/12/23ALuiss Roma74-79
25/11/23HUrania Milano97-83
19/11/23ACantu74-90
12/11/23HLatina71-86
05/11/23ABasket Torino98-112
01/11/23HJuVi Cremona66-74
29/10/23ATreviglio79-88
21/10/23HSebastiani Rieti97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWWWL43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game75.674.776.4
Allowed / game79.972.987.0
Point differential-4.4+1.9-10.6
Avg total155.5147.6163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game80.479.881.2
Allowed / game83.278.489.7
Point differential-2.9+1.4-8.5
Avg total163.6158.1170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1514193%92.977.9+15.0
2 Cantu1512380%89.982.0+7.9
3 Forli1411379%81.575.7+5.8
4 Fortitudo Bologna1411379%79.173.5+5.6
5 Trieste1310377%79.674.3+5.3
6 Udine1410471%80.471.1+9.4
7 Basket Torino1410471%85.380.6+4.7
8 Verona1510567%76.673.1+3.5
9 Sebastiani Rieti159660%82.979.6+3.3
10 Urania Milano159660%83.784.5-0.7
11 Treviglio148657%83.683.0+0.6
12 Assigeco Piacenza158753%79.876.5+3.3
13 JuVi Cremona158753%87.885.1+2.7
14 Nardo147750%79.585.3-5.8
15 Cento145936%73.878.7-4.9
16 Monferrato1441029%80.483.2-2.9
17 Agrigento1441029%75.679.9-4.4
18 Rimini1541127%76.078.9-2.9
19 Cividale1541127%72.875.9-3.1
20 Vigevano1541127%77.584.4-6.9
21 Luiss Roma1541127%77.387.1-9.7
22 Orzinuovi1431121%70.777.6-6.9
23 Chiusi1321115%64.574.2-9.6
24 Latina1521313%77.787.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Agrigento2517172483
Monferrato1815201366
← all games of the day
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