Aguada vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2018

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 67-65

19-11 9-8 20-22 19-24

Position#1

Record11-6

FormLWLWW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game74.0

Aguada 🏆

Defensor

Position#8

Record10-8

FormWLLWL

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game85.7

Liga UruguayaRound 20

Other2017-18

Meetings · Aguada v Defensor

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Defensor winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aguada

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

57-76

-19

A14/11

South American League

Guaros de Lara

67-80

-13

H15/11

South American League

Cimarrones del Choco

104-103

104

103

H16/11

South American League

Olimpia Kings

#10

88-73

+15

A01/12

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

89-87

A05/12

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

64-74

-10

A08/12

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#12

83-73

+10

H15/12

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

73-80

-7

A19/12

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

79-72

H06/01

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

81-64

+17

A10/01

Liga Uruguaya

12-24

14-13

14-20

17-19

11-18

24-20

15-17

17-25

27-24

21-19

26-31

30-29

25-13

18-18

26-20

19-22

21-20

13-18

29-24

26-25

18-17

12-13

22-19

12-25

27-22

15-19

20-17

21-15

12-21

20-11

13-23

28-25

21-22

20-24

18-15

20-11

16-15

23-20

19-15

23-14

156.7Avg total

78.5Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	77.5	74.0	151.5	+3.5	65%
Season at home (7)	79.4	68.4	147.9	+11.0	100%
Season away (10)	76.1	77.9	154.0	-1.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	78.2	156.7	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	72.6	148.6	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.0	79.5	148.5	-10.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	80.0	84.2	164.2	-4.2	53%
vs Weaker (9)	81.0	67.1	148.1	+13.9	78%

This opponent (Defensor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Defensor

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bigua

91-64

+27

H02/11

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

82-102

102

-20

A11/11

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

89-98

-9

H02/12

Liga Uruguaya

Bohemios

#13

105-85

105

+20

A05/12

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

93-95

-2

A08/12

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

90-89

H14/12

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#10

86-90

-4

A18/12

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

79-89

-10

H22/12

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#12

110-82

110

+28

A28/12

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

83-100

100

-17

H10/01

Liga Uruguaya

28-15

13-16

28-12

22-21

21-28

22-22

19-21

20-31

22-32

27-21

23-27

17-18

18-29

23-10

34-23

30-23

25-19

20-19

28-23

20-34

18-26

25-24

20-24

27-15

19-23

20-20

26-17

21-30

23-17

20-19

15-20

21-33

32-21

19-13

32-22

27-26

26-22

14-26

22-27

21-25

180.2Avg total

90.8Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	88.9	85.7	174.6	+3.2	56%
Season at home (9)	87.8	84.3	172.1	+3.4	67%
Season away (9)	90.0	87.0	177.0	+3.0	44%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	89.4	180.2	+1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	90.0	179.6	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	86.1	87.2	173.2	-1.1	45%
vs Weaker (10)	91.7	77.3	169.0	+14.4	80%

This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AguadaDefensor

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	20.9	38.0	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	11.8	23.2	35.0	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.1	21.6	40.7	-2.5	35%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	17.3	39.2	+4.6	78%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.9	41.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.1	42.9	+0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.8	45.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.1	21.5	41.5	-1.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.7	18.5	43.2	+6.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	16.9	34.3	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	15.3	34.4	+3.9	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	18.2	34.2	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	16.7	13.6	30.2	+3.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.4	16.0	34.4	+2.4	60%	-

AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

26-37

-11

A14/11

South American League

Guaros de Lara

35-38

-3

H15/11

South American League

Cimarrones del Choco

48-43

H16/11

South American League

Olimpia Kings

#10

43-31

+12

A01/12

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

34-38

-4

A05/12

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

30-30

A08/12

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#12

42-41

H15/12

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

32-32

A19/12

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

41-46

-5

H06/01

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

39-35

A10/01

Liga Uruguaya

74.1Avg total

37.0Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	37.4	73.8	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	35.4	75.6	+4.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.1	39.1	72.2	-6.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	37.1	74.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	36.8	73.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.2	40.2	70.5	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	36.7	40.2	76.9	-3.5	41%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.6	30.9	69.4	+7.7	78%	-

This opponent (Defensor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bigua

41-31

+10

H02/11

Liga Uruguaya

Welcome

43-50

-7

A11/11

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

49-53

-4

H02/12

Liga Uruguaya

Bohemios

#13

41-39

A05/12

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

45-38

A08/12

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

43-50

-7

H14/12

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

#10

39-43

-4

A18/12

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

#11

43-36

H22/12

Liga Uruguaya

Larre Borges

#12

51-34

+17

A28/12

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

40-48

-8

H10/01

Liga Uruguaya

85.7Avg total

43.5Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	39.5	81.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	39.5	80.7	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.6	39.5	82.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	42.2	85.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	42.2	85.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.1	34.5	77.6	+8.6	90%	-

This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	18.5	36.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	20.3	43.9	+3.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	21.6	46.3	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	25.7	18.6	44.3	+7.1	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	20.8	41.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	24.0	46.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	23.2	45.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.0	24.9	47.9	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	25.6	48.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	25.8	49.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.6	23.9	46.6	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	24.2	47.1	-1.3	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	40.5	82.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.3	39.5	82.8	+3.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	41.3	81.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	41.1	82.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.8	75.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	42.3	43.0	85.3	-0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.4	36.2	78.7	+6.2	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	44.4	90.5	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.6	43.6	89.2	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.6	45.1	91.7	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	47.2	94.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	47.8	94.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	44.9	45.1	90.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	48.6	42.8	91.4	+5.8	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aguada wins

Defensor wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/17	Defensor v Aguada	86-75
28/04/17	Defensor v Aguada	92-108
24/04/17	Aguada v Defensor	79-95
20/04/17	Defensor v Aguada	78-88
17/04/17	Aguada v Defensor	84-80
21/02/17	Aguada v Defensor	91-103
07/02/17	Defensor v Aguada	89-96
14/10/16	Aguada v Defensor	89-75
22/11/15	Defensor v Aguada	75-71
23/01/15	Defensor v Aguada	93-89

Aguadalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/18	A	Bigua	81-64
06/01/18	H	Malvin	79-72
19/12/17	A	Goes	73-80
15/12/17	H	Larre Borges	83-73
08/12/17	A	Urunday	64-74
05/12/17	A	Trouville	89-87
01/12/17	A	Olimpia Kings	88-73
16/11/17	H	Cimarrones del Choco	104-103
15/11/17	H	Guaros de Lara	67-80
14/11/17	A	Quilmes	57-76

Defensorlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/18	H	Goes	83-100
28/12/17	A	Larre Borges	110-82
22/12/17	H	Urunday	79-89
18/12/17	A	Olimpia Kings	86-90
14/12/17	H	Nacional	90-89
08/12/17	A	Trouville	93-95
05/12/17	A	Bohemios	105-85
02/12/17	H	Hebraica y Macabi	89-98
11/11/17	A	Welcome	82-102
02/11/17	H	Bigua	91-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada

Liga Uruguaya 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	65%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	7	10
Win %	65%	100%	40%
Points / game	77.5	79.4	76.1
Allowed / game	74.0	68.4	77.9
Point differential	+3.5	+11.0	-1.8
Avg total	151.5	147.9	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	43%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Defensor

Liga Uruguaya 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	56%
Home	WLWLL	67%
Away	LWLLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	56%	67%	44%
Points / game	88.9	87.8	90.0
Allowed / game	85.7	84.3	87.0
Point differential	+3.2	+3.4	+3.0
Avg total	174.6	172.1	177.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	33%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Welcome	18	12	6	67%	86.3	81.3	+5.0
2	Hebraica y Macabi	17	11	6	65%	84.1	80.5	+3.6
3	Aguada	17	11	6	65%	77.5	74.0	+3.5
4	Urunday	19	12	7	63%	80.1	80.1	+0.1
5	Nacional	18	10	8	56%	79.5	75.6	+3.9
6	Defensor	18	10	8	56%	88.9	85.7	+3.2
7	Malvin	17	9	8	53%	74.2	73.5	+0.7
8	Trouville	18	9	9	50%	79.4	75.8	+3.6
9	Olimpia Kings	19	8	11	42%	77.3	78.3	-1.1
10	Goes	17	7	10	41%	77.6	77.3	+0.3
11	Bigua	18	7	11	39%	71.8	76.8	-4.9
12	Larre Borges	18	6	12	33%	73.3	78.9	-5.7
13	Bohemios	18	4	14	22%	72.8	84.5	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aguada	19	9	20	19	67
Defensor	11	8	22	24	65

← all games of the day

Aguada vs Defensor Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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