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Aguada vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 83-75
19-23 22-31 25-11 17-10
Position#2
Record21-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game80.7
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#5
Record12-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game81.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aguada v Defensor
19 Mar 2026
AGUA97
DEFE81
24 Jan 2026
AGUA90
DEFE76
30 Mar 2025
AGUA83
DEFE75
05 Nov 2024
AGUA96
DEFE84
04 Mar 2024
AGUA82
DEFE77
14 Dec 2023
AGUA92
DEFE77
21 Oct 2022
AGUA90
DEFE82
08 Nov 2021
AGUA76
DEFE67
17 Jan 2020
AGUA95
DEFE78
02 Apr 2019
AGUA70
DEFE67
25 Mar 2019
AGUA74
DEFE86
21 Dec 2018
AGUA77
DEFE76
13 Jan 2018
AGUA67
DEFE65
24 Apr 2017
AGUA79
DEFE95
17 Apr 2017
AGUA84
DEFE80
21 Feb 2017
AGUA91
DEFE103
14 Oct 2016
AGUA89
DEFE75
19 Dec 2014
AGUA101
DEFE79
13 Apr 2014
AGUA66
DEFE67
05 Apr 2014
AGUA68
DEFE74
11 Jan 2014
AGUA91
DEFE85
26 Sep 2013
AGUA64
DEFE59
03 May 2013
AGUA91
DEFE74
26 Apr 2013
AGUA92
DEFE96
19 Apr 2013
AGUA73
DEFE77
26 Oct 2012
AGUA80
DEFE88
09 Dec 2011
AGUA73
DEFE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 87
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
98avg 87
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 87
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
94-91
94
91
+3
90avg 87
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 87
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
101-72
101
72
+29
100avg 87
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
80avg 87
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 87
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 87
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
109-94
109
94
+15
119avg 87
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
31-28
13-15
27-23
34-26
16-24
24-20
21-16
27-20
13-16
17-14
14-20
22-19
36-20
15-26
21-26
22-15
19-12
13-17
23-31
25-21
34-19
28-17
14-15
24-23
29-27
18-19
14-21
29-13
26-24
24-28
20-16
26-16
21-23
20-23
18-16
31-25
28-30
24-20
26-19
173.7Avg total
91.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.480.7171.2+9.781%
Season at home (14)92.380.6172.9+11.686%
Season away (12)88.280.8169.1+7.475%
Last 10 (10)91.482.3173.7+9.190%
Last 5 (5)95.883.0178.8+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.787.3181.0+6.367%
vs Similar (7)84.380.4164.7+3.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.580.2171.8+11.385%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
80avg 76
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 76
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
112-77
112
77
+35
113avg 76
H08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 76
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 76
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
92-94
92
94
-2
78avg 76
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 76
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 76
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
55-71
55
71
-16
38avg 76
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 76
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
15-18
22-23
18-23
14-15
26-26
17-21
30-18
29-17
23-23
30-22
30-15
24-21
22-22
28-19
19-22
26-26
14-25
21-20
23-14
19-22
20-26
28-24
25-22
28-29
22-19
26-10
12-20
26-27
22-12
10-16
16-25
18-23
11-16
12-23
14-9
15-15
19-18
21-15
14-33
166.0Avg total
84.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.281.9167.1+3.246%
Season at home (12)90.178.8168.9+11.267%
Season away (14)80.984.6165.5-3.629%
Last 10 (10)84.082.0166.0+2.040%
Last 5 (5)75.680.8156.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.184.3160.4-8.217%
vs Similar (5)79.279.0158.2+0.260%
vs Weaker (13)92.280.8173.0+11.569%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
AguadaDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#8
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
94.1Avg total
52.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.740.888.5+6.987%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.142.692.7+7.494%-
Last 30 away (14)45.138.783.8+6.479%-
Last 10 (10)52.042.194.1+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)54.644.298.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.338.092.3+16.3100%-
vs Similar (7)44.741.386.0+3.486%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.841.088.8+6.885%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
83.4Avg total
41.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.783.8+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.339.684.9+5.750%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.782.8-0.656%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.683.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.481.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.741.780.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (5)42.244.286.4-2.040%-
vs Weaker (13)47.538.585.9+9.077%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.0
55.9%
51.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.1
36.0%
33.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
71.7%16.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.3
51.7%
51.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.1
31.1%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.113.6
79.5%
71.7%13.6
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWWLWWWWWW
Defensor
LLLWLLWWWL
#2
League position
#5
+12.7
Net rating
+2.6
116.0
Offensive rating
107.4
103.3
Defensive rating
104.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
49.6%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.0%
3-point %
31.1%
66.4%
Assist %
57.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 107.4Defence103.3 · 104.8Shooting55.0% · 49.6%3-point %36.0% · 31.1%Ball care16.1% · 14.3%Off. rebounds31.5% · 27.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Aguada   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Aguada wins
3
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Defensor v Aguada85-89
05/11/24Aguada v Defensor96-84
24/04/24Defensor v Aguada91-85
05/03/24Aguada v Defensor82-77
15/12/23Aguada v Defensor92-77
02/11/23Defensor v Aguada85-70
21/12/22Defensor v Aguada69-81
21/10/22Aguada v Defensor90-82
08/02/22Defensor v Aguada86-81
09/11/21Aguada v Defensor76-67
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HCordon109-94
17/03/25APenarol85-78
13/03/25HNacional99-81
11/03/25HMalvin85-90
04/03/25HWelcome101-72
27/02/25ATrouville77-75
13/02/25ANacional94-91
07/02/25HMalvin71-70
04/02/25HHebraica y Macabi95-86
31/01/25HUrunday98-86
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25ANacional69-81
17/03/25AMalvin55-71
13/03/25APenarol74-80
10/03/25HCordon88-78
04/03/25AUrupan92-94
01/03/25HPenarol84-85
12/02/25ATrouville93-84
08/02/25HWelcome112-77
04/02/25HMalvin87-80
31/01/25HHebraica y Macabi86-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %81%86%75%
Points / game90.492.388.2
Allowed / game80.780.680.8
Point differential+9.7+11.6+7.4
Avg total171.2172.9169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game85.290.180.9
Allowed / game81.978.884.6
Point differential+3.2+11.2-3.6
Avg total167.1168.9165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %8%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2623388%92.878.6+14.2
2 Aguada2621581%90.480.7+9.7
3 Penarol2619773%83.674.8+8.8
4 Malvin26161062%80.276.5+3.7
5 Bigua29141548%86.884.8+2.0
6 Defensor26121446%85.281.9+3.2
7 Hebraica y Macabi26111542%84.887.1-2.3
8 Cordon26111542%83.286.2-3.0
9 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
10 Urupan26101638%81.486.9-5.5
11 Welcome2781930%79.993.7-13.8
12 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
13 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1922251783
Defensor2331111075
← all games of the day
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