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Aguada vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 97-81
22-18 26-24 21-14 28-25
Position#3
Record17-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game85.9
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#7
Record12-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game85.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aguada v Defensor
19 Mar 2026
AGUA97
DEFE81
24 Jan 2026
AGUA90
DEFE76
30 Mar 2025
AGUA83
DEFE75
05 Nov 2024
AGUA96
DEFE84
04 Mar 2024
AGUA82
DEFE77
14 Dec 2023
AGUA92
DEFE77
21 Oct 2022
AGUA90
DEFE82
08 Nov 2021
AGUA76
DEFE67
17 Jan 2020
AGUA95
DEFE78
02 Apr 2019
AGUA70
DEFE67
25 Mar 2019
AGUA74
DEFE86
21 Dec 2018
AGUA77
DEFE76
13 Jan 2018
AGUA67
DEFE65
24 Apr 2017
AGUA79
DEFE95
17 Apr 2017
AGUA84
DEFE80
21 Feb 2017
AGUA91
DEFE103
14 Oct 2016
AGUA89
DEFE75
19 Dec 2014
AGUA101
DEFE79
13 Apr 2014
AGUA66
DEFE67
05 Apr 2014
AGUA68
DEFE74
11 Jan 2014
AGUA91
DEFE85
26 Sep 2013
AGUA64
DEFE59
03 May 2013
AGUA91
DEFE74
26 Apr 2013
AGUA92
DEFE96
19 Apr 2013
AGUA73
DEFE77
26 Oct 2012
AGUA80
DEFE88
09 Dec 2011
AGUA73
DEFE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
W
91-80
91
80
+11
87avg 84
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 84
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#5
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 84
A04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
54-101
54
101
-47
53avg 84
H05/02
Champions League Americas
Goes
#10
W
70-64
70
64
+6
63avg 84
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 84
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 84
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
80avg 84
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 84
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 84
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-21
20-19
25-20
26-16
15-24
17-24
16-22
25-30
16-20
8-24
13-20
11-28
14-26
21-26
8-21
11-10
18-21
26-9
15-24
25-16
19-20
25-15
21-25
27-22
24-23
14-19
20-16
29-35
27-23
17-22
19-18
22-20
30-19
14-25
20-16
24-26
22-15
20-21
31-15
163.7Avg total
80.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)91.985.9177.8+6.071%
Season at home (12)94.782.7177.3+12.0100%
Season away (12)89.189.1178.2+0.042%
Last 10 (10)80.183.6163.7-3.560%
Last 5 (5)90.082.2172.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.888.9167.7-10.136%
vs Similar (6)98.293.5191.7+4.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.281.6171.8+8.669%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 77
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 77
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 77
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 77
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
91-77
91
77
+14
74avg 77
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 77
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
98-92
98
92
+6
95avg 77
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
75avg 77
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 77
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 77
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
13-22
28-18
10-18
27-21
17-18
18-27
14-24
27-19
24-25
18-18
21-22
24-24
18-24
13-22
26-14
28-23
23-20
23-13
17-21
38-24
15-14
16-18
13-17
35-29
23-27
22-17
18-19
16-33
22-17
27-25
22-15
25-20
20-23
18-20
17-25
18-22
19-24
30-21
16-18
169.2Avg total
84.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.185.4171.4+0.748%
Season at home (12)91.385.6176.9+5.867%
Season away (13)81.285.2166.4-3.931%
Last 10 (10)84.484.8169.2-0.440%
Last 5 (5)86.085.6171.6+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.784.9163.6-6.233%
vs Similar (12)85.685.4171.0+0.242%
vs Weaker (6)95.886.2182.0+9.783%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
AguadaDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
25-54
25
54
-29
H05/02
Champions League Americas
Goes
#10
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
86.6Avg total
43.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.490.6+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.443.189.5+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)46.045.791.7+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.586.6-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.893.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.745.488.1-2.645%-
vs Similar (6)49.744.093.7+5.783%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.543.891.4+3.769%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
91.3Avg total
45.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.790.6-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.446.193.5+1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.845.388.1-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.745.691.3+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.246.692.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.544.888.2-1.250%-
vs Similar (12)43.146.489.5-3.333%-
vs Weaker (6)51.346.297.5+5.2100%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
53.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.5%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.4%
70.9%15.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.7
53.4%
53.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.713.8
70.1%
70.9%13.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWLWWWLLLW
Defensor
LLLWWWLWLL
#3
League position
#7
-3.7
Net rating
-1.3
90.0
Offensive rating
94.2
93.7
Defensive rating
95.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
33.1%
61.3%
Assist %
50.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 94.2Defence93.7 · 95.4Shooting50.9% · 51.8%3-point %32.5% · 33.1%Ball care16.4% · 14.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Aguada   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Aguada wins
3
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
19/02/26Defensor v Aguada98-92
25/01/26Aguada v Defensor90-76
30/03/25Aguada v Defensor83-75
11/01/25Defensor v Aguada85-89
05/11/24Aguada v Defensor96-84
24/04/24Defensor v Aguada91-85
05/03/24Aguada v Defensor82-77
15/12/23Aguada v Defensor92-77
02/11/23Defensor v Aguada85-70
21/12/22Defensor v Aguada69-81
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26AHebraica y Macabi97-77
10/03/26HPenarol86-80
19/02/26ADefensor92-98
16/02/26HHebraica y Macabi85-80
13/02/26HUnion Atletica90-76
10/02/26HGoes70-64
05/02/26HBoca Juniors54-101
04/02/26AMinas62-94
30/01/26AWelcome74-86
27/01/26HPenarol91-80
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26AMalvin83-85
13/03/26APenarol80-88
09/03/26HHebraica y Macabi87-90
19/02/26HAguada98-92
12/02/26HNacional82-73
09/02/26AWelcome91-77
04/02/26HPenarol81-84
29/01/26ACordon90-84
25/01/26AAguada76-90
20/01/26AMalvin76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%100%42%
Points / game91.994.789.1
Allowed / game85.982.789.1
Point differential+6.0+12.0+0.0
Avg total177.8177.3178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%58%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%67%31%
Points / game86.191.381.2
Allowed / game85.485.685.2
Point differential+0.7+5.8-3.9
Avg total171.4176.9166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2521484%87.973.8+14.1
2 Aguada2417771%91.985.9+6.0
3 Nacional2315865%93.183.0+10.2
4 Malvin2516964%81.681.4+0.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi26151158%84.084.0+0.0
6 Bigua26141254%89.287.7+1.5
7 Union Atletica26131350%83.383.2+0.2
8 Defensor25121348%86.185.4+0.7
9 Urunday25111444%89.485.5+3.9
10 Goes2581732%82.989.4-6.5
11 Cordon2652119%81.194.6-13.5
12 Welcome2642215%80.895.7-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2226212897
Defensor1824142581
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