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Aguada vs Trouville Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 83-65
19-20 19-12 22-18 23-15
Position#2
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game80.9
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game83.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aguada v Trouville
17 Dec 2024
AGUA83
TROU65
04 Nov 2023
AGUA81
TROU69
05 Dec 2022
AGUA108
TROU96
22 Mar 2022
AGUA75
TROU85
26 Mar 2021
AGUA95
TROU93
26 Feb 2021
AGUA90
TROU84
22 Feb 2021
AGUA96
TROU94
22 Oct 2019
AGUA75
TROU76
04 Feb 2019
AGUA84
TROU77
19 Nov 2018
AGUA70
TROU80
29 Jan 2018
AGUA78
TROU80
04 Jan 2017
AGUA89
TROU73
21 Oct 2016
AGUA76
TROU59
06 Oct 2015
AGUA50
TROU63
09 Jan 2015
AGUA88
TROU78
18 Jan 2014
AGUA107
TROU101
05 Oct 2013
AGUA81
TROU79
06 Mar 2013
AGUA84
TROU77
25 Jan 2013
AGUA86
TROU71
13 Oct 2012
AGUA102
TROU85
23 Sep 2011
AGUA78
TROU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trouville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
79avg 87
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
57avg 87
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 87
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 87
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
115avg 87
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
89avg 87
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
95avg 87
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
102avg 87
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 87
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
76avg 87
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
35-22
16-19
27-12
10-24
24-20
14-20
23-7
13-12
21-30
18-26
19-13
23-31
26-11
24-16
23-26
28-24
30-33
24-25
29-15
31-14
13-21
22-12
22-20
23-21
26-15
28-20
19-17
29-23
24-20
21-24
28-16
20-16
23-10
21-18
17-23
27-14
23-24
24-23
14-29
169.7Avg total
89.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)90.080.9170.9+9.167%
Season at home (4)95.884.5180.2+11.275%
Season away (5)85.478.0163.4+7.460%
Last 10 (10)89.879.9169.7+9.970%
Last 5 (5)91.076.0167.0+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.090.0178.0-2.00%
vs Similar (14)88.384.6172.9+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)92.580.5173.1+12.080%
This opponent (Trouville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrouvilleUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrouville
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
L
64-92
64
92
-28
48avg 68
H04/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 68
A07/05
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 68
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 68
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 68
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 68
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 68
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 68
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
62-88
62
88
-26
45avg 68
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
59-90
59
90
-31
44avg 68
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-29
12-17
20-25
19-21
25-28
18-23
20-17
14-19
15-23
25-17
19-15
21-17
21-25
15-19
18-26
23-15
16-26
8-26
21-14
26-19
11-26
18-26
24-13
17-21
21-25
23-25
19-20
19-17
16-18
19-21
26-19
22-19
25-24
5-26
17-11
15-27
6-28
15-26
14-18
24-18
157.4Avg total
72.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.083.8156.8-10.825%
Season at home (4)74.284.5158.8-10.225%
Season away (4)71.883.0154.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)72.584.9157.4-12.420%
Last 5 (5)71.285.6156.8-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.883.1158.9-7.333%
vs Similar (6)53.756.0109.7-2.350%
vs Weaker (3)67.349.7117.0+17.7100%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -8.3-8.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
AguadaTrouville
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
86.2Avg total
45.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.742.088.6+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.043.493.4+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)43.840.884.5+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)45.940.386.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.835.683.4+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.038.088.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (14)44.843.688.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.240.788.9+7.580%-
This opponent (Trouville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrouvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H04/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A07/05
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
80.5Avg total
32.7Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.044.181.0-7.122%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.544.278.8-9.78%-
Last 30 away (14)39.243.983.1-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)32.747.880.5-15.10%-
Last 5 (5)31.849.080.8-17.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.445.381.7-8.919%-
vs Similar (4)35.543.078.5-7.525%-
vs Weaker (2)45.533.579.0+12.050%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.0
57.7%
51.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.3
31.9%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
71.7%13.8
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trouvilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trouville: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.1
45.7%
51.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.5
29.7%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.09.2
65.7%
71.7%9.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
LWWWWWWLLW
Trouville
LLWLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#13
+12.2
Net rating
-15.8
112.8
Offensive rating
94.6
100.6
Defensive rating
110.4
53.2%
Effective FG%
45.2%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
31.9%
3-point %
29.7%
62.5%
Assist %
58.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 94.6Defence100.6 · 110.4Shooting53.2% · 45.2%3-point %31.9% · 29.7%Ball care16.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Aguada   ■ Trouville
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Aguada wins
2
Trouville wins
DateGameScore
19/12/23Trouville v Aguada82-90
05/11/23Aguada v Trouville81-69
11/02/23Trouville v Aguada65-76
05/12/22Aguada v Trouville108-96
23/03/22Aguada v Trouville75-85
08/01/22Trouville v Aguada81-91
27/03/21Aguada v Trouville95-93 OT
27/02/21Aguada v Trouville90-84
25/02/21Trouville v Aguada87-78
23/02/21Aguada v Trouville96-94
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HNacional88-90
05/12/24AMalvin81-67
03/12/24AHebraica y Macabi102-83
17/11/24AUrupan96-73
11/11/24HBigua88-67
08/11/24HCordon111-97
05/11/24HDefensor96-84
31/10/24AUrunday71-81
28/10/24APenarol77-86 OT
18/06/24APenarol88-71
Trouvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24ADefensor59-90
07/12/24HUrupan62-88
02/12/24HWelcome83-77
15/11/24HBigua82-87
07/11/24HNacional70-86
01/11/24AMalvin71-85
29/10/24AHebraica y Macabi77-85
25/10/24AUrunday80-72
07/05/24APenarol77-87
04/05/24HPenarol64-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game90.095.885.4
Allowed / game80.984.578.0
Point differential+9.1+11.2+7.4
Avg total170.9180.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%20%
Trouville
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game73.074.271.8
Allowed / game83.884.583.0
Point differential-10.8-10.2-11.2
Avg total156.8158.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional880100%91.875.9+15.9
2 Malvin97278%80.074.7+5.3
3 Aguada96367%90.080.9+9.1
4 Hebraica y Macabi96367%88.685.0+3.6
5 Penarol85362%80.873.6+7.1
6 Defensor84450%88.682.6+6.0
7 Urunday84450%77.680.1-2.5
8 Cordon94544%86.087.4-1.4
9 Bigua83538%81.284.8-3.5
10 Trouville82625%73.083.8-10.8
11 Urupan92722%78.483.9-5.4
12 Welcome9090%74.496.4-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1919222383
Trouville2012181565
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