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Malvin vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 67-81
16-20 10-23 18-21 23-17
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game81.6
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Malvin v Aguada
02 May 2026
MALV84
AGUA94
07 Jan 2026
MALV89
AGUA72
08 May 2025
MALV76
AGUA83
29 Apr 2025
MALV87
AGUA83
05 Dec 2024
MALV67
AGUA81
02 May 2024
MALV81
AGUA83
30 Jan 2024
MALV77
AGUA87
18 Nov 2022
MALV73
AGUA68
26 Oct 2021
MALV71
AGUA83
23 Mar 2021
MALV95
AGUA71
08 Oct 2019
MALV62
AGUA90
20 May 2019
MALV80
AGUA69
10 May 2019
MALV80
AGUA83
09 Nov 2018
MALV73
AGUA94
24 May 2018
MALV69
AGUA86
18 May 2018
MALV70
AGUA75
11 May 2018
MALV73
AGUA64
09 Mar 2018
MALV76
AGUA81
03 Nov 2017
MALV69
AGUA62
10 Jan 2017
MALV77
AGUA85
31 Oct 2015
MALV101
AGUA91
13 Jan 2015
MALV82
AGUA69
21 Jan 2014
MALV92
AGUA98
06 Apr 2013
MALV87
AGUA77
27 Mar 2013
MALV85
AGUA86
18 Jan 2013
MALV99
AGUA84
08 Dec 2012
MALV74
AGUA82
09 Jan 2012
MALV78
AGUA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 75
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 75
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
79avg 75
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
88avg 75
A08/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 75
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
85-71
85
71
+14
84avg 75
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
58avg 75
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 75
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
86-60
86
60
+26
87avg 75
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 75
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-11
13-19
22-19
25-17
13-28
18-29
11-17
21-21
15-19
27-24
18-19
27-31
15-32
29-18
24-19
24-13
20-15
20-28
22-17
26-16
26-8
14-21
19-26
18-27
15-17
15-26
19-14
15-17
7-28
25-10
28-18
23-11
28-10
22-12
13-27
21-20
26-20
23-27
22-16
159.7Avg total
81.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.874.0155.8+7.883%
Season at home (3)84.075.7159.7+8.3100%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)81.178.6159.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)81.074.2155.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.287.8162.0-13.70%
vs Similar (7)85.082.4167.4+2.657%
vs Weaker (17)77.668.1145.6+9.588%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
L
78-95
78
95
-17
73avg 87
A11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 87
H15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
79avg 87
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
57avg 87
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 87
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 87
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
115avg 87
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
89avg 87
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
95avg 87
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
102avg 87
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
19-23
18-24
12-25
25-21
26-19
14-19
23-15
10-18
35-22
16-19
27-12
10-24
24-20
14-20
23-7
13-12
21-30
18-26
19-13
23-31
26-11
24-16
23-26
28-24
30-33
24-25
29-15
31-14
13-21
22-12
22-20
23-21
26-15
28-20
19-17
29-23
24-20
21-24
28-16
170.6Avg total
89.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.681.6173.1+10.071%
Season at home (3)98.382.7181.0+15.7100%
Season away (4)86.580.8167.2+5.850%
Last 10 (10)89.581.1170.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)98.680.8179.4+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)88.384.6172.9+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.581.4174.9+12.181%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +5.9+5.9
MalvinAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A08/05
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A24/10
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H07/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
78.7Avg total
40.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.540.883.3+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.983.4+3.543%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.783.3-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.078.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.875.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.750.088.7-11.30%-
vs Similar (7)40.443.083.4-2.629%-
vs Weaker (15)45.036.181.1+8.967%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
89.0Avg total
46.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.042.589.5+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.343.293.5+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)43.841.785.5+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)46.542.589.0+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)50.642.693.2+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)44.843.688.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)49.041.490.4+7.681%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.1
51.8%
51.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.0
35.7%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
71.7%13.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.0
34.5%
33.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
71.7%14.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
WWWLWWLLLW
Aguada
WWWWWLLWWL
#4
League position
#2
+3.3
Net rating
+10.5
107.3
Offensive rating
115.0
103.9
Defensive rating
104.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.5%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
34.5%
54.6%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 115.0Defence103.9 · 104.5Shooting52.5% · 55.5%3-point %35.7% · 34.5%Ball care15.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds25.9% · 29.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Malvin   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Malvin wins
7
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
08/05/24Aguada v Malvin100-95
02/05/24Malvin v Aguada81-83
30/04/24Aguada v Malvin91-67
30/01/24Malvin v Aguada77-87
24/11/23Aguada v Malvin87-85
21/01/23Aguada v Malvin74-85
18/11/22Malvin v Aguada73-68
22/01/22Aguada v Malvin88-79
27/10/21Malvin v Aguada71-83
23/03/21Malvin v Aguada95-71
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HHebraica y Macabi92-83
10/11/24AWelcome86-60
07/11/24HPenarol75-73
05/11/24ANacional67-84
01/11/24HTrouville85-71
24/10/24ABigua86-73
08/05/24AAguada95-100
02/05/24HAguada81-83
30/04/24AAguada67-91
21/04/24HUrupan77-68
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24AHebraica y Macabi102-83
17/11/24AUrupan96-73
11/11/24HBigua88-67
08/11/24HCordon111-97
05/11/24HDefensor96-84
31/10/24AUrunday71-81
28/10/24APenarol77-86 OT
18/06/24APenarol88-71
15/06/24HPenarol88-74
11/06/24APenarol78-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game81.884.079.7
Allowed / game74.075.772.3
Point differential+7.8+8.3+7.3
Avg total155.8159.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game91.698.386.5
Allowed / game81.682.780.8
Point differential+10.0+15.7+5.8
Avg total173.1181.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional440100%91.269.8+21.5
2 Malvin65183%81.874.0+7.8
3 Aguada75271%91.681.6+10.0
4 Hebraica y Macabi64267%90.788.3+2.3
5 Cordon74357%87.784.6+3.1
6 Defensor42250%87.081.0+6.0
7 Penarol63350%79.875.0+4.8
8 Urunday63350%79.081.5-2.5
9 Bigua73443%82.486.0-3.6
10 Trouville62433%77.282.0-4.8
11 Urupan61517%78.288.0-9.8
12 Welcome7070%70.493.9-23.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin1610182367
Aguada2023211781
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