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Penarol vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 86-77 (OT)
24-10 20-24 20-14 7-23 15-6
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game78.0
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Aguada
19 Jun 2026
PENA80
AGUA71
09 Jun 2026
PENA89
AGUA84
03 Jun 2026
PENA99
AGUA82
17 Apr 2026
PENA103
AGUA95
07 Nov 2025
PENA103
AGUA89
17 Mar 2025
PENA78
AGUA85
28 Oct 2024
PENA86
AGUA77
17 Jun 2024
PENA71
AGUA88
10 Jun 2024
PENA95
AGUA78
02 Jun 2024
PENA65
AGUA66
18 Mar 2024
PENA81
AGUA82
15 Jan 2024
PENA88
AGUA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
L
68-87
68
87
-19
55avg 74
A17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
63avg 74
H22/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
80-61
80
61
+19
80avg 74
A24/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
103-66
103
66
+37
110avg 74
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 74
H03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
79avg 74
A07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
85avg 74
H11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
65avg 74
A15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
58avg 74
H18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 74
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-17
16-33
12-14
20-28
25-18
11-20
20-14
23-18
18-18
15-12
24-13
30-14
21-20
24-23
28-9
26-17
11-9
16-28
12-12
23-32
25-21
24-18
18-26
23-29
23-19
24-18
25-12
21-25
19-26
19-14
15-23
18-10
22-35
19-16
12-27
12-22
22-20
25-15
12-21
158.2Avg total
79.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.378.9158.2+0.430%
Last 5 (5)80.285.8166.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.880.5158.3-2.730%
vs Weaker (20)82.373.5155.8+8.870%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
W
100-95
100
95
+5
98avg 86
H08/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
115-101
115
101
+14
112avg 86
H15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
84avg 86
A18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 86
H21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 86
A25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
66-65
66
65
+1
58avg 86
A03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
97-90
97
90
+7
99avg 86
H07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
78-95
78
95
-17
73avg 86
A11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 86
H15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
79avg 86
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
32-15
18-29
19-24
26-25
29-20
32-19
28-37
26-27
22-22
22-25
19-24
25-15
26-29
22-16
19-27
26-28
25-18
26-17
20-19
17-26
9-11
28-16
12-12
32-23
21-25
18-24
26-18
29-23
19-23
18-24
12-25
25-21
26-19
14-19
23-15
10-18
35-22
16-19
27-12
176.8Avg total
91.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.085.8176.8+5.280%
Last 5 (5)83.479.0162.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.186.5176.5+3.667%
vs Weaker (15)93.780.8174.5+12.987%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
PenarolAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/05
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/10
Liga Uruguaya
84.3Avg total
42.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.481.4+2.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.838.680.4+3.241%-
Last 30 away (13)42.440.482.8+2.054%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.184.3+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.889.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.441.280.6-1.830%-
vs Weaker (20)43.438.581.8+4.955%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H08/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H15/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
92.8Avg total
49.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.242.490.6+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.442.693.0+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)46.242.388.5+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)49.143.792.8+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.286.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.144.390.3+1.853%-
vs Weaker (15)50.340.690.9+9.780%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.6
52.5%
51.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.6
30.7%
33.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.012.7
70.6%
71.7%12.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.8
57.4%
51.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.5
37.4%
33.0%37.5
🏀 Free throws21.516.9
78.6%
71.7%16.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LLLWLLWWLL
Aguada
WWLWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+1.1
Net rating
+6.7
106.7
Offensive rating
119.8
105.6
Defensive rating
113.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
56.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.7%
3-point %
37.4%
56.0%
Assist %
65.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 119.8Defence105.6 · 113.2Shooting49.5% · 56.8%3-point %30.7% · 37.4%Ball care15.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 30.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Penarol   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penarol wins
6
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
18/06/24Penarol v Aguada71-88
15/06/24Aguada v Penarol88-74
11/06/24Penarol v Aguada95-78
07/06/24Aguada v Penarol97-90
03/06/24Penarol v Aguada65-66
13/04/24Aguada v Penarol77-82
19/03/24Penarol v Aguada81-82
16/01/24Penarol v Aguada88-87
28/10/23Aguada v Penarol77-76
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24HUrupan71-78
18/06/24HAguada71-88
15/06/24AAguada74-88
11/06/24HAguada95-78
07/06/24AAguada90-97
03/06/24HAguada65-66
28/05/24HDefensor103-66
24/05/24ADefensor80-61
22/05/24HDefensor76-80
17/05/24ADefensor68-87
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/06/24APenarol88-71
15/06/24HPenarol88-74
11/06/24APenarol78-95
07/06/24HPenarol97-90
03/06/24APenarol66-65
25/05/24ANacional97-82
21/05/24HNacional92-87
18/05/24ANacional89-98
15/05/24HNacional115-101
08/05/24HMalvin100-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game71.071.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cordon110100%95.075.0+20.0
2 Malvin110100%86.073.0+13.0
3 Trouville110100%80.072.0+8.0
4 Urupan110100%78.071.0+7.0
5 Penarol1010%71.078.0-7.0
6 Urunday1010%72.080.0-8.0
7 Bigua1010%73.086.0-13.0
8 Welcome1010%75.095.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Penarol24202071586
Aguada10241423677
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