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Urupan vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 73-96
21-23 15-26 20-28 17-19
Position#10
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game83.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urupan
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urupan v Aguada
16 Nov 2024
URUP73
AGUA96
08 Feb 2024
URUP74
AGUA111
24 Nov 2022
URUP79
AGUA66
16 Dec 2021
URUP98
AGUA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Remeros Mercedes
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
81avg 72
A10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Remeros Mercedes
#14
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 72
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
70avg 72
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
99-74
99
74
+25
97avg 72
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
68-77
68
77
-9
65avg 72
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 72
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 72
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 72
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
72avg 72
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 72
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
19-12
26-27
24-25
20-18
26-23
15-14
20-19
20-21
21-20
20-22
21-19
31-21
20-20
20-23
28-10
19-24
11-18
19-13
19-22
22-12
20-22
15-25
21-12
18-17
18-15
15-31
14-24
27-17
18-15
15-26
13-17
26-24
21-28
17-21
21-22
21-26
25-23
24-26
25-29
164.6Avg total
82.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.286.4165.6-7.220%
Season at home (2)90.099.5189.5-9.50%
Season away (3)72.077.7149.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)82.082.6164.6-0.640%
Last 5 (5)79.286.4165.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.885.2163.0-7.325%
vs Similar (13)75.576.2151.7-0.838%
vs Weaker (5)72.665.4138.0+7.280%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
66-65
66
65
+1
58avg 87
A03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
97-90
97
90
+7
99avg 87
H07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
78-95
78
95
-17
73avg 87
A11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 87
H15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
79avg 87
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
57avg 87
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 87
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 87
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
115avg 87
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
89avg 87
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
9-11
28-16
12-12
32-23
21-25
18-24
26-18
29-23
19-23
18-24
12-25
25-21
26-19
14-19
23-15
10-18
35-22
16-19
27-12
10-24
24-20
14-20
23-7
13-12
21-30
18-26
19-13
23-31
26-11
24-16
23-26
28-24
30-33
24-25
29-15
31-14
13-21
22-12
22-20
167.0Avg total
86.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.683.0171.6+5.660%
Season at home (3)98.382.7181.0+15.7100%
Season away (2)74.083.5157.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)86.081.0167.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)88.683.0171.6+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)88.384.6172.9+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.181.7175.8+12.481%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
UrupanAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Remeros Mercedes
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A10/04
Liga Uruguaya
Remeros Mercedes
#14
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A25/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
81.7Avg total
42.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.842.882.5-3.036%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.946.687.5-5.725%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.978.8-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.381.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.143.882.9-4.833%-
vs Similar (12)39.242.381.5-3.233%-
vs Weaker (4)43.840.884.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
87.3Avg total
44.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.342.389.6+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.142.993.0+7.181%-
Last 30 away (14)44.141.685.8+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.187.3+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.087.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)44.843.688.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)49.541.290.7+8.381%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.921.9
47.7%
51.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.1
33.1%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
71.7%12.9
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.6
55.0%
51.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.5
33.5%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.116.3
77.3%
71.7%16.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
LLLLWLWLWW
Aguada
WWWLLWWLWW
#10
League position
#2
-1.5
Net rating
+6.6
102.9
Offensive rating
112.4
104.4
Defensive rating
105.8
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.1%
3-point %
33.5%
59.0%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 112.4Defence104.4 · 105.8Shooting48.4% · 52.8%3-point %33.1% · 33.5%Ball care17.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Urupan   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Urupan wins
4
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
09/02/24Urupan v Aguada74-111
01/12/23Aguada v Urupan91-58
27/01/23Aguada v Urupan92-84
24/11/22Urupan v Aguada79-66
16/03/22Aguada v Urupan76-71
17/12/21Urupan v Aguada98-94
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/24HHebraica y Macabi95-104
06/11/24HUrunday85-95
31/10/24ABigua73-75
28/10/24ACordon65-87
25/10/24APenarol78-71
21/04/24AMalvin68-77
19/04/24HMalvin99-74
17/04/24AMalvin86-88 OT
12/04/24HRemeros Mercedes81-74
10/04/24ARemeros Mercedes90-81
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/24HBigua88-67
08/11/24HCordon111-97
05/11/24HDefensor96-84
31/10/24AUrunday71-81
28/10/24APenarol77-86 OT
18/06/24APenarol88-71
15/06/24HPenarol88-74
11/06/24APenarol78-95
07/06/24HPenarol97-90
03/06/24APenarol66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game79.290.072.0
Allowed / game86.499.577.7
Point differential-7.2-9.5-5.7
Avg total165.6189.5149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game88.698.374.0
Allowed / game83.082.783.5
Point differential+5.6+15.7-9.5
Avg total171.6181.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional440100%91.269.8+21.5
2 Malvin65183%81.874.0+7.8
3 Hebraica y Macabi54180%92.285.6+6.6
4 Aguada53260%88.683.0+5.6
5 Urunday53260%81.479.0+2.4
6 Defensor42250%87.081.0+6.0
7 Cordon63350%85.082.5+2.5
8 Bigua63350%80.083.0-3.0
9 Penarol52340%77.076.6+0.4
10 Trouville51420%76.083.0-7.0
11 Urupan51420%79.286.4-7.2
12 Welcome6060%69.395.7-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan2115201773
Aguada2326281996
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