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AIK Basket vs Djurgarden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-73
15-15 22-19 16-18 15-21
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#3
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game78.6
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · AIK Basket v Djurgarden
13 Mar 2027
AIK v DJUR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
AIK 68
DJUR73
09 Mar 2025
AIK 61
DJUR86
22 Nov 2023
AIK 87
DJUR73
27 Nov 2018
AIK 73
DJUR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
72avg 71
A30/03
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 71
A03/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
67avg 71
A27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 71
H04/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 71
H11/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
81-92
81
92
-11
64avg 71
A19/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
81-82
81
82
-1
70avg 71
A25/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
66-63
66
63
+3
63avg 71
H29/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 71
H09/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 71
H22/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
23-20
20-17
23-30
26-28
12-25
26-14
18-22
17-23
20-15
16-33
22-21
16-12
22-15
13-23
22-29
19-25
23-23
13-15
20-16
9-14
21-27
28-29
23-22
22-22
14-20
22-18
23-22
20-18
14-23
12-14
20-8
14-17
22-9
18-22
17-22
20-16
20-16
24-9
29-22
156.8Avg total
77.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.977.5154.4-0.638%
Season at home (5)75.670.8146.4+4.860%
Season away (3)79.088.7167.7-9.70%
Last 10 (10)77.779.1156.8-1.430%
Last 5 (5)78.474.0152.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.491.1170.5-11.614%
vs Similar (14)79.281.0160.2-1.836%
vs Weaker (2)79.574.5154.0+5.050%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
Blackeberg
#14
W
97-60
97
60
+37
87avg 76
A20/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 76
H27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
81-94
81
94
-13
80avg 76
H04/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
W
95-88
95
88
+7
99avg 76
H08/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
68-70
68
70
-2
48avg 76
A11/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
89-94
89
94
-5
80avg 76
A25/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
no box
H09/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A15/11
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
no box
H22/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
80avg 76
A26/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
19-12
22-19
29-13
23-17
15-20
33-16
21-22
16-22
16-24
34-25
15-23
27-17
23-24
27-23
18-24
16-20
16-14
25-13
11-23
16-28
19-17
23-19
31-30
21-21
11-17
16-17
24-10
–
–
–
–
26-21
13-24
26-17
8-25
23-15
22-17
26-18
12-21
160.7Avg total
82.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.178.6160.7+3.550%
Season at home (5)82.681.8164.4+0.860%
Season away (5)81.675.4157.0+6.240%
Last 10 (10)82.178.6160.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)77.679.8157.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.691.8170.4-13.20%
vs Similar (7)77.084.0161.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.275.3160.5+9.972%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
AIK BasketDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/03
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H04/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H11/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H29/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H09/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/11
Superettan
75.1Avg total
36.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.380.6-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.240.178.3-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)38.344.983.2-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.375.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.471.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.245.182.3-7.929%-
vs Similar (14)38.839.578.3-0.743%-
vs Weaker (2)42.043.085.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blackeberg
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A20/09
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H08/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A25/10
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H09/11
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H22/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A26/11
Superettan
77.2Avg total
38.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.741.181.8-0.448%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.383.6-3.140%-
Last 30 away (14)41.138.779.8+2.457%-
Last 10 (9)38.838.477.2+0.344%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.875.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.045.084.0-6.020%-
vs Similar (7)39.344.383.6-5.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.738.680.4+3.165%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.2
47.8%
50.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.8
28.2%
30.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.114.9
64.5%
67.0%14.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.0
53.1%
50.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
30.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.4
77.4%
67.0%14.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWWLLLLLLL
Djurgarden
WLLWLLWLWW
#9
League position
#3
-2.0
Net rating
+4.2
97.6
Offensive rating
109.6
99.6
Defensive rating
105.4
45.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.2%
3-point %
33.3%
65.6%
Assist %
54.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 109.6Defence99.6 · 105.4Shooting45.5% · 51.8%3-point %28.2% · 33.3%Ball care18.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds33.3% · 28.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AIK Basket wins
6
Djurgarden wins
DateGameScore
27/09/25Djurgarden v AIK Basket92-75
09/03/25AIK Basket v Djurgarden61-86
24/01/25Djurgarden v AIK Basket90-69
01/03/24Djurgarden v AIK Basket83-86
22/11/23AIK Basket v Djurgarden87-73
22/03/19Djurgarden v AIK Basket105-84
27/11/18AIK Basket v Djurgarden73-99
29/09/18Djurgarden v AIK Basket116-113 OT
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HAlvik93-63
09/11/25HIK Eos71-70
29/10/25HSollentuna66-63
25/10/25AHuddinge81-82
19/10/25AEskilstuna81-92
11/10/25HWetterbygden Stars75-79
04/10/25HEskilstuna73-79
27/09/25ADjurgarden75-92
03/04/25AKFUM Fryshuset82-89
30/03/25ASloga Uppsala80-82
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25AAlvik83-71
22/11/25HMalbas73-87
15/11/25ASollentuna71-82
09/11/25HTrelleborg72-65
25/10/25ATrelleborg89-94
11/10/25AOckelbo68-70
08/10/25HHuddinge95-88
04/10/25HSollentuna81-94
27/09/25HAIK Basket92-75
20/09/25ABlackeberg97-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game76.975.679.0
Allowed / game77.570.888.7
Point differential-0.6+4.8-9.7
Avg total154.4146.4167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game82.182.681.6
Allowed / game78.681.875.4
Point differential+3.5+0.8+6.2
Avg total160.7164.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket1312192%89.578.2+11.4
2 Wetterbygden Stars107370%79.078.2+0.8
3 Sollentuna117464%78.672.2+6.5
4 Eskilstuna116555%85.885.3+0.5
5 Huddinge116555%84.285.2-1.0
6 Alvik116555%76.178.6-2.5
7 Malbas84450%83.078.9+4.1
8 Djurgarden105550%82.178.6+3.5
9 IK Eos125742%80.478.6+1.8
10 Trelleborg125742%80.283.0-2.8
11 Ockelbo104640%76.180.4-4.3
12 AIK Basket83538%76.977.5-0.6
13 Aros Basket113827%78.583.6-5.1
14 Blackeberg101910%74.689.3-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket1522161568
Djurgarden1519182173
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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