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AIK Basket vs Djurgarden Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record4-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game86.0
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · AIK Basket v Djurgarden
13 Mar 2027
AIK v DJUR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
AIK 68
DJUR73
09 Mar 2025
AIK 61
DJUR86
22 Nov 2023
AIK 87
DJUR73
27 Nov 2018
AIK 73
DJUR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Djurgarden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 76
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
57avg 76
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
81avg 76
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
77avg 76
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
95avg 76
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
67-90
67
90
-23
54avg 76
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 76
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
68avg 76
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
72avg 76
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
93-61
93
61
+32
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
25-28
25-26
19-20
32-20
18-19
18-22
15-24
16-25
27-9
24-13
14-20
19-16
31-9
19-16
20-13
12-28
18-14
10-22
26-9
19-11
25-17
31-17
15-12
22-15
161.2Avg total
86.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.769.6154.3+15.186%
Season at home (3)86.361.7148.0+24.7100%
Season away (4)83.575.5159.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)86.374.9161.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)79.866.2146.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.588.0167.5-8.525%
vs Similar (14)82.680.8163.4+1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.568.2152.7+16.383%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
53avg 74
H21/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
76-101
76
101
-25
60avg 74
A26/09
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
63avg 74
A04/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
83-71
83
71
+12
71avg 74
H11/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
62avg 74
A21/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 74
H24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
H01/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
no box
A08/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H15/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
15-15
9-18
19-31
24-27
18-36
14-21
20-17
19-25
19-24
15-17
25-21
21-15
23-17
17-21
22-18
16-23
25-14
14-26
13-24
28-20
26-23
16-19
20-24
15-13
29-29
22-30
18-28
19-31
13-20
30-23
26-17
13-20
25-20
23-19
13-15
19-18
14-23
20-16
23-10
164.8Avg total
78.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.886.0164.8-7.240%
Season at home (5)79.083.4162.4-4.460%
Season away (5)78.688.6167.2-10.020%
Last 10 (10)78.886.0164.8-7.240%
Last 5 (5)84.284.2168.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.889.0166.8-11.225%
vs Similar (3)92.389.0181.3+3.367%
vs Weaker (19)85.977.3163.2+8.674%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
AIK BasketDjurgarden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H14/11
Superettan
81.1Avg total
44.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.379.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.734.976.6+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.282.3-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.081.1+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.231.675.8+12.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.545.888.2-3.250%-
vs Similar (14)39.638.878.4+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.135.278.3+7.867%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H21/09
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A26/09
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A04/10
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A08/11
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H15/11
Superettan
84.2Avg total
40.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.782.4-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.780.5+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)40.643.784.3-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.284.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.483.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.846.286.0-6.538%-
vs Similar (3)40.746.086.7-5.333%-
vs Weaker (19)41.139.280.2+1.947%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.1
51.9%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.2
30.3%
29.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.216.9
64.5%
65.7%16.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.1
48.5%
50.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.3
30.4%
29.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.115.0
62.2%
65.7%15.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWWWLWWLWW
Djurgarden
WWLLWLWLLL
#1
League position
#11
+8.3
Net rating
-5.1
87.9
Offensive rating
84.5
79.6
Defensive rating
89.6
48.7%
Effective FG%
47.5%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.3%
3-point %
30.4%
65.0%
Assist %
50.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 84.5Defence79.6 · 89.6Shooting48.7% · 47.5%3-point %30.3% · 30.4%Ball care14.4% · 16.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Djurgarden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket wins
7
Djurgarden wins
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCross Over93-61
01/11/26AEskilstuna73-56
24/10/26HMalbas82-66
11/10/26HHuddinge84-58
03/10/26AFryshuset Basket67-90
27/09/26AAlvik101-94
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HIK Eos76-67
08/11/26AMalbas83-77 OT
07/11/26AIK Eos88-91
01/11/26HSollentuna84-100
24/10/26HFryshuset Basket90-86
21/10/26AAlvik68-87
11/10/26HCross Over83-71
04/10/26ANorrort78-87
26/09/26AEskilstuna76-101
21/09/26HAIK Basket62-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game84.786.383.5
Allowed / game69.661.775.5
Point differential+15.1+24.7+8.0
Avg total154.3148.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Djurgarden
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game78.879.078.6
Allowed / game86.083.488.6
Point differential-7.2-4.4-10.0
Avg total164.8162.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik108280%95.674.5+21.1
4 IK Eos85362%88.174.8+13.4
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden104640%78.886.0-7.2
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over110110%69.395.7-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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