PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AIK Basket W vs Alvik W Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game84.2
AIK Basket W
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Alvik W
Sweden
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game69.2
SwedenBasketligan WRound 12
Women2026-27
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Alvik W
06 Jan 2027
AIK v ALVI
upcoming
17 Dec 2025
AIK 78
ALVI70
11 Jan 2025
AIK 94
ALVI59
23 Mar 2024
AIK 67
ALVI85
30 Oct 2017
AIK 46
ALVI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
58avg 61
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
66avg 61
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 61
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
55avg 61
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
56avg 61
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
56-80
56
80
-24
43avg 61
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
64avg 61
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
59-89
59
89
-30
40avg 61
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
66-97
66
97
-31
59avg 61
H31/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
56-89
56
89
-33
no box
H07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
13-15
10-17
20-20
25-25
14-23
25-19
22-19
15-26
12-16
10-21
18-22
16-21
19-17
11-23
26-12
15-11
17-23
19-18
13-26
10-22
17-22
16-20
18-31
15-24
16-25
11-22
13-20
16-22
144.3Avg total
65.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.084.2148.2-20.217%
Season at home (3)64.383.0147.3-18.733%
Season away (3)63.785.3149.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)65.079.3144.3-14.330%
Last 5 (5)61.683.6145.2-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.285.2150.4-20.010%
vs Similar (9)75.975.9151.8+0.067%
vs Weaker (11)79.168.8147.9+10.373%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
L
58-91
58
91
-33
44avg 65
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
61-94
61
94
-33
49avg 65
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
42-74
42
74
-32
28avg 65
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 65
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
68avg 65
H04/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 65
A10/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
86-53
86
53
+33
78avg 65
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 65
A24/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H04/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A07/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
12-25
14-29
17-16
16-20
13-24
13-32
19-18
4-30
10-14
11-10
17-20
18-22
20-19
18-24
17-20
23-14
19-25
19-22
26-15
16-18
31-8
19-23
12-18
18-16
30-9
18-19
20-9
30-24
18-14
15-17
18-12
21-24
12-17
25-13
22-19
25-17
15-21
13-21
16-20
147.4Avg total
71.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.269.2149.3+11.083%
Season at home (2)83.574.5158.0+9.0100%
Season away (4)78.566.5145.0+12.075%
Last 10 (10)71.575.9147.4-4.450%
Last 5 (5)78.867.8146.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.683.6149.1-18.07%
vs Similar (4)81.285.5166.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.459.9140.3+20.592%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
AIK Basket WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H31/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H07/11
Basketligan W
71.1Avg total
31.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.575.5+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.237.173.2-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.078.1+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)31.639.571.1-7.90%-
Last 5 (5)29.641.471.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.041.175.1-7.130%-
vs Similar (9)38.838.977.7-0.144%-
vs Weaker (11)41.033.174.1+7.964%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H21/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
14-44
14
44
-30
A05/03
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A10/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A18/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A07/11
Basketligan W
74.8Avg total
36.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.972.2-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.636.970.4-3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)36.936.973.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.274.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.233.676.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.941.272.1-10.414%-
vs Similar (4)36.242.278.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.330.070.3+10.375%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.3
44.5%
46.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.4
28.2%
30.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
71.1%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.615.7
45.4%
46.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.17.8
27.8%
30.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.111.6
76.8%
71.1%11.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LLLWLLLLWW
Alvik W
LWWWWWLLLL
#9
League position
#4
-4.3
Net rating
-9.1
77.8
Offensive rating
74.6
82.0
Defensive rating
83.7
43.7%
Effective FG%
43.7%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
21.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.2%
3-point %
27.8%
64.0%
Assist %
75.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence77.8 · 74.6Defence82.0 · 83.7Shooting43.7% · 43.7%3-point %28.2% · 27.8%Ball care19.3% · 21.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket W wins
6
Alvik W wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Alvik W v AIK Basket W87-76
10/01/26Alvik W v AIK Basket W67-83
17/12/25AIK Basket W v Alvik W78-70
11/01/25AIK Basket W v Alvik W94-59
05/10/24Alvik W v AIK Basket W95-89
23/03/24AIK Basket W v Alvik W67-85
06/01/24Alvik W v AIK Basket W106-76
22/01/18Alvik W v AIK Basket W79-64
30/10/17AIK Basket W v Alvik W46-71
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HLulea W56-89
31/10/26HOstersund W66-97
24/10/26AUppsala W59-89
19/10/26HLund W71-63
09/10/26ASodertalje W56-80
04/10/26AAlvik W76-87
29/03/26HOstersund W68-77
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AOstersund W69-79
04/11/26HUppsala W80-73
24/10/26ASodertalje W81-67
18/10/26ABrahe W86-53
10/10/26AHogsbo W78-67
04/10/26HAIK Basket W87-76
21/03/26HLund W73-85
05/03/26AUppsala W42-74
01/03/26AHogsbo W61-94
21/02/26HNorrkoping W58-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game64.064.363.7
Allowed / game84.283.085.3
Point differential-20.2-18.7-21.7
Avg total148.2147.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game80.283.578.5
Allowed / game69.274.566.5
Point differential+11.0+9.0+12.0
Avg total149.3158.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W65183%97.556.2+41.3
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Alvik W65183%80.269.2+11.0
5 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
6 Ostersund W64267%79.877.5+2.3
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W61517%64.084.2-20.2
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.