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AIK Basket W vs Lulea W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 62-90
Projected total 152.1
Final 56-89
16-25 11-22 13-20 16-22
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game83.2
AIK Basket W
Sweden
Vs
99%
■ AIK 1%■ LULE 99%
Pythia win probability
Lulea W 🏆
Sweden
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game56.2
SwedenBasketligan WRound 6· Vasalundshallen
Women2026-27
Meetings · AIK Basket W v Lulea W
07 Nov 2026
AIK 56
LULE89
04 Jan 2026
AIK 64
LULE80
25 Jan 2025
AIK 63
LULE98
24 Jan 2024
AIK 60
LULE90
17 Nov 2017
AIK 53
LULE83
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

AIK Basket W will host Lulea W on 7 November 2026 in the Basketligan W, with the model rating Lulea W as the clear favourite because their 4-1 record and 99.2 points per game contrast sharply with AIK's 1-4 record and 65.6 points per game; the 56.2 points allowed per game by Lulea also outpaces AIK's 83.2. AIK has struggled all season, winning only one of five games, scoring 65.6 and conceding 83.2, while at home they are 1-1, averaging 68.5 and allowing 80.0; their last five games include a win over Lund 71-63 at home but losses to Ostersund 66-97 and Uppsala 59-89. Lulea, meanwhile, has won four of five, scoring 99.2 and allowing 56.2, and on the road they are undefeated 1-0, 88.0 to 51.0; their recent results include a 108-43 home win over Hogsbo, an 88-51 away win over Lund, and a narrow 63-64 loss to Sodertalje. In head-to-head history Lulea has won all eight meetings, most recently 80-61 on 20 February 2026. Pythia gives Lulea a 99% chance of victory, AIK 1%, projects a 62-90 score for a 152.1 total, and a 54% probability that the over 150.5 will be hit, with no chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket W winLost
1.0%fair 96.10
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lulea W winWon
99.0%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-55
105
55
+50
102avg 61
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
69-66
69
66
+3
58avg 61
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
66avg 61
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
43avg 61
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
55avg 61
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
56avg 61
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
56-80
56
80
-24
43avg 61
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
64avg 61
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
59-89
59
89
-30
40avg 61
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
66-97
66
97
-31
59avg 61
H31/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
33-15
25-18
17-8
9-20
20-14
20-15
20-17
28-20
13-21
16-10
11-15
21-18
15-21
11-24
14-16
13-15
10-17
20-20
25-25
14-23
25-19
22-19
15-26
12-16
10-21
18-22
16-21
19-17
11-23
26-12
15-11
17-23
19-18
13-26
10-22
17-22
16-20
18-31
15-24
145.8Avg total
69.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)65.683.2148.8-17.620%
Season at home (2)68.580.0148.5-11.550%
Season away (3)63.785.3149.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)69.975.9145.8-6.040%
Last 5 (5)65.683.2148.8-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.383.8153.1-14.520%
vs Similar (9)75.975.9151.8+0.067%
vs Weaker (11)79.168.8147.9+10.373%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
66avg 86
H12/04
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
98-68
98
68
+30
105avg 86
A15/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
95-57
95
57
+38
90avg 86
H21/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
73-64
73
64
+9
70avg 86
A24/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
94-64
94
64
+30
92avg 86
H26/04
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
105-74
105
74
+31
108avg 86
H03/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
132-49
132
49
+83
128avg 86
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
63-64
63
64
-1
49avg 86
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
88-51
88
51
+37
78avg 86
A25/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
108-43
108
43
+65
105avg 86
H30/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
23-16
17-14
18-20
31-15
27-17
30-18
10-18
20-14
21-13
26-12
28-18
18-16
25-16
17-23
13-9
25-8
18-21
29-18
22-17
25-18
26-14
35-13
19-29
32-12
33-18
28-13
39-6
11-16
9-14
23-16
20-18
17-20
25-7
19-11
27-13
32-13
28-11
18-4
30-15
153.4Avg total
93.3Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)99.256.2155.4+43.080%
Season at home (4)102.057.5159.5+44.575%
Season away (1)88.051.0139.0+37.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.360.1153.4+33.290%
Last 5 (5)99.256.2155.4+43.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)90.562.1152.6+28.590%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145.5Actual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
66.0%
@ 1.61+11.7pp
Under 145.5
34.0%
@ 1.91-11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.61
Under
1xBet
1.91
Over/Under 150.5 · main lineActual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
54.0%
@ 1.87+4.9pp
Under 150.5
46.0%
@ 1.83-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.71
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
41.6%
Under 155.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

AIK Basket W total 52.5Actual: AIK Basket W over 52.5
Over 52.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
Under 52.5
no forecast
@ 2.61
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Under
1xBet
2.61
AIK Basket W total 57 · main lineActual: AIK Basket W under 57
Over 57
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 57
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.74
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.70
AIK Basket W total 61Actual: AIK Basket W under 61
Over 61
52.9%
Under 61
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lulea W total 89Push
Over 89
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under 89
no forecast
@ 1.84
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
1.84
Lulea W total 93 · main lineActual: Lulea W under 93
Over 93
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 93
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.74
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.70
Lulea W total 96.5Actual: Lulea W under 96.5
Over 96.5
no forecast
@ 2.31
Under 96.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.31
Under
1xBet
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread AIK Basket W +32.5Actual: Lulea W -32.5
AIK +32.5
no forecast
@ 2.33
LULE -32.5
no forecast
@ 1.43
Best 5 market prices
AIK
1xBet
2.33
LULE
1xBet
1.43
Spread AIK Basket W +35.5 · main lineActual: AIK Basket W +35.5
AIK +35.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
LULE -35.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Best 5 market prices
AIK
BetVictor
1.91
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.81
LULE
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.78
1xBet
1.72
Spread AIK Basket W +38.5Actual: AIK Basket W +38.5
AIK +38.5
no forecast
@ 1.49
LULE -38.5
no forecast
@ 2.17
Best 5 market prices
AIK
1xBet
1.49
LULE
1xBet
2.17

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +8.8+8.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +10.0+10.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +6.3+6.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +8.8+8.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +10.0+10.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +6.3+6.3
AIK Basket WLulea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
63-29
63
29
+34
A21/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H29/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A09/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H31/10
Basketligan W
72.9Avg total
35.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.75
Last 30 (30)38.737.275.8+1.550%53%
Last 30 at home (15)36.836.473.2+0.453%40%
Last 30 away (15)40.537.978.5+2.647%67%
Last 10 (10)35.237.772.9-2.510%40%
Last 5 (5)32.040.472.4-8.40%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.040.176.1-4.140%60%
vs Similar (9)38.838.977.7-0.144%56%
vs Weaker (11)41.033.174.1+7.964%45%
This opponent (Lulea W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/04
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A15/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H21/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A24/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H26/04
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H03/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
65-30
65
30
+35
H11/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
20-30
20
30
-10
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A25/10
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
60-24
60
24
+36
H30/10
Basketligan W
76.1Avg total
46.5Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.75
Last 30 (30)47.030.977.9+16.180%60%
Last 30 at home (18)47.828.676.3+19.278%56%
Last 30 away (12)45.834.480.2+11.383%67%
Last 10 (10)46.529.676.1+16.990%40%
Last 5 (5)47.628.676.2+19.080%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)47.030.977.9+16.180%60%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Lulea W win
AIK win
no forecast
@ 11.00
LULE win
no forecast
@ 1.02
1st half Spread AIK Basket W +20 · main linePush
AIK +20
no forecast
@ 1.83
LULE -20
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 75.75 · main lineActual: Under 75.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
AIK Basket W 1st half total 28 · main lineActual: AIK Basket W under 28
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Lulea W 1st half total 48 · main lineActual: Lulea W under 48
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: AIK + total 75.5
AIK & over
no forecast
@ 21.00
AIK & under
no forecast
@ 23.00
1st half: Draw + total 75.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 51.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 61.00
1st half: LULE + total 75.5
LULE & over
no forecast
@ 1.83
LULE & under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Over 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.77
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread AIK Basket W +18.5Actual: Lulea W -18.5
AIK +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.97
LULE -18.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread AIK Basket W +21.5Actual: AIK Basket W +21.5
AIK +21.5
no forecast
@ 1.59
LULE -21.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half Spread AIK Basket W +17.5Actual: Lulea W -17.5
AIK +17.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
LULE -17.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread AIK Basket W +22.5Actual: AIK Basket W +22.5
AIK +22.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
LULE -22.5
no forecast
@ 2.16
1st half Spread AIK Basket W +16.5Actual: Lulea W -16.5
AIK +16.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
LULE -16.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread AIK Basket W +23.5Actual: AIK Basket W +23.5
AIK +23.5
no forecast
@ 1.41
LULE -23.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Lulea W (regulation)
AIK
no forecast
@ 12.00
Draw
no forecast
@ 29.00
LULE
no forecast
@ 1.03

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Half-time / full-time: AIK leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LULE leads at half
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (AIK :LULE): split
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (AIK :LULE): AIK wins more
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (AIK :LULE): LULE wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.3
44.5%
46.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.4
28.2%
30.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
71.1%13.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lulea W: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.5
56.0%
46.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.812.9
36.0%
30.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws19.315.6
80.8%
71.1%15.6
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket W
LLWLLLLWWW
Lulea W
WWLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-4.3
Net rating
+41.7
77.8
Offensive rating
104.3
82.0
Defensive rating
62.6
43.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
38.4%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.2%
3-point %
36.0%
64.0%
Assist %
63.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence77.8 · 104.3Defence82.0 · 62.6Shooting43.7% · 55.0%3-point %28.2% · 36.0%Ball care19.3% · 14.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ AIK Basket W   ■ Lulea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AIK Basket W wins
8
Lulea W wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26Lulea W v AIK Basket W80-61
04/01/26AIK Basket W v Lulea W64-80
25/01/25AIK Basket W v Lulea W63-98
18/10/24Lulea W v AIK Basket W83-64
24/01/24AIK Basket W v Lulea W60-90
13/10/23Lulea W v AIK Basket W92-43
02/02/18Lulea W v AIK Basket W95-58
17/11/17AIK Basket W v Lulea W53-83
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HOstersund W66-97
24/10/26AUppsala W59-89
19/10/26HLund W71-63
09/10/26ASodertalje W56-80
04/10/26AAlvik W76-87
29/03/26HOstersund W68-77
27/03/26AOstersund W61-79
21/03/26HSodertalje W68-66
07/03/26HMalbas Malmo W69-66
21/02/26ARIG Lulea W105-55
Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HHogsbo W108-43
25/10/26ALund W88-51
18/10/26HSodertalje W63-64
11/10/26HBrahe W132-49
03/10/26HVisby W105-74
26/04/26HSodertalje W94-64
24/04/26ASodertalje W73-64
21/04/26HSodertalje W95-57
15/04/26AOstersund W98-68
12/04/26HOstersund W77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game65.668.563.7
Allowed / game83.280.085.3
Point differential-17.6-11.5-21.7
Avg total148.8148.5149.0
Over 150.540%50%33%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lulea W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game99.2102.088.0
Allowed / game56.257.551.0
Point differential+43.0+44.5+37.0
Avg total155.4159.5139.0
Over 150.560%75%0%
Win by 10+80%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvik W550100%82.467.2+15.2
2 Onsala W65183%88.264.0+24.2
3 Norrkoping W65183%76.563.5+13.0
4 Sodertalje W65183%73.066.5+6.5
5 Lulea W54180%99.256.2+43.0
6 Ostersund W53260%80.079.2+0.8
7 Uppsala W63350%76.271.0+5.2
8 Visby W62433%71.375.7-4.3
9 AIK Basket W51420%65.683.2-17.6
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W6060%59.578.3-18.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket W1611131656
Lulea W2522202289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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