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Air Force vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 65-77
28-44 37-33
Position#251
Record9-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game63.0
vs
Position#41
Record12-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Air Force v Utah State
06 Jan 2026
AIR 62
UTAH99
25 Jan 2025
AIR 58
UTAH87
02 Jan 2024
AIR 60
UTAH88
03 Jan 2023
AIR 65
UTAH77
29 Dec 2021
AIR 49
UTAH47
02 Jan 2021
AIR 53
UTAH72
31 Dec 2020
AIR 48
UTAH83
07 Jan 2020
AIR 79
UTAH60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H01/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H10/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A29/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-19
34-32
24-23
35-33
41-23
40-30
29-30
35-38
39-21
40-37
44-27
36-28
37-38
44-29
31-31
36-34
23-36
32-35
25-36
44-39
131.8Avg total
69.9Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.063.0132.0+6.060%
Season at home (11)71.961.7133.6+10.273%
Season away (4)61.066.5127.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)69.961.9131.8+8.070%
Last 5 (5)70.466.6137.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)60.173.0133.1-12.912%
vs Similar (12)67.360.8128.2+6.567%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#9
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H02/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A11/12
NCAA
Westminster UT
#513
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H22/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H24/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A25/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-40
46-45
36-36
50-45
44-30
38-34
36-39
43-28
43-31
63-37
43-29
29-46
36-24
48-32
32-40
42-37
42-29
40-44
33-26
34-28
152.7Avg total
82.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.870.2154.0+13.686%
Season at home (10)83.969.0152.9+14.980%
Season away (4)83.573.2156.8+10.2100%
Last 10 (10)82.770.0152.7+12.780%
Last 5 (5)75.867.0142.8+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (10)67.865.4133.2+2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.165.8146.8+15.383%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +5.7+5.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +5.7+5.7
Air ForceUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H23/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A03/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H10/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H31/12
NCAA
60.7Avg total
32.3Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.830.760.5-0.933%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.229.460.6+1.844%-
Last 30 away (12)27.832.860.5-5.017%-
Last 10 (10)32.328.460.7+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.665.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)26.933.960.9-7.012%-
vs Similar (12)32.828.261.1+4.650%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Westminster UT
#513
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H22/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A25/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H31/12
NCAA
71.8Avg total
39.4Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.168.0+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.730.768.4+7.085%-
Last 30 away (10)35.431.867.2+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)39.432.471.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.229.666.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (10)34.131.966.0+2.270%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.830.067.8+7.878%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Air Force wins
5
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
09/03/22Utah State v Air Force83-56
02/02/22Utah State v Air Force73-46
29/12/21Air Force v Utah State49-47
02/01/21Air Force v Utah State53-72
31/12/20Air Force v Utah State48-83
22/01/20Utah State v Air Force72-47
08/01/20Air Force v Utah State79-60
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HNevada69-75
29/12/22ASan Diego State55-71
21/12/22ANorthern Colorado67-65
18/12/22HTarleton81-67
10/12/22HArkansas State80-55
06/12/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes79-58
03/12/22APortland State64-68
01/12/22HArkansas-Pine Bluff81-53
27/11/22HMontana59-56
23/11/22HMiss. Valley St.64-51
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HFresno State67-54
25/12/22AWashington State82-73
24/12/22HSMU Mustangs74-77
22/12/22HSeattle84-56
20/12/22HWeber State72-75
16/12/22HWestminster UT106-68
11/12/22ALoyola Marymount79-67
05/12/22ASan Francisco82-64
02/12/22HUtah Tech86-81
23/11/22HOral Roberts95-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %60%73%25%
Points / game69.071.961.0
Allowed / game63.061.766.5
Point differential+6.0+10.2-5.5
Avg total132.0133.6127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%9%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW86%
HomeWLWLW80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game83.883.983.5
Allowed / game70.269.073.2
Point differential+13.6+14.9+10.2
Avg total154.0152.9156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico14140100%84.168.4+15.8
2 Utah State1412286%83.870.2+13.6
3 Nevada1512380%73.265.1+8.1
4 UNLV1411379%76.964.5+12.4
5 San Diego State1411379%75.264.8+10.4
6 San Jose State1511473%69.865.5+4.3
7 Boise State1410471%70.759.4+11.3
8 Grand Canyon139469%68.760.8+7.9
9 Air Force159660%69.063.0+6.0
10 Colorado State158753%75.369.8+5.5
11 Fresno State135838%60.761.5-0.8
12 Wyoming145936%70.969.0+1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force283765
Utah State443377
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