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Utah State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-54
33-26 34-28
Position#41
Record11-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#295
Record5-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game61.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Utah State v Fresno State
10 Feb 2026
UTAH91
FRES78
14 Jan 2026
UTAH v FRES
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
UTAH89
FRES83
14 Mar 2024
UTAH87
FRES75
20 Jan 2024
UTAH83
FRES62
31 Dec 2022
UTAH67
FRES54
07 Dec 2019
UTAH77
FRES70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H02/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
82-64
82
64
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A11/12
NCAA
Westminster UT
#513
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H22/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H24/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A25/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
48-47
49-40
46-45
36-36
50-45
44-30
38-34
36-39
43-28
43-31
63-37
43-29
29-46
36-24
48-32
32-40
42-37
42-29
40-44
158.6Avg total
85.1Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.171.5156.5+13.685%
Season at home (9)85.870.7156.4+15.178%
Season away (4)83.573.2156.8+10.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.173.5158.6+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.669.8153.4+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (11)66.565.0131.5+1.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.966.5148.4+15.482%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#126
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H17/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
34-38
28-31
24-30
28-27
29-35
26-31
33-36
47-41
33-25
29-30
36-26
29-38
43-38
23-24
30-35
27-27
29-21
38-25
20-28
122.7Avg total
61.2Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.261.0122.2+0.242%
Season at home (5)61.058.2119.2+2.860%
Season away (7)61.463.0124.4-1.629%
Last 10 (10)61.261.5122.7-0.340%
Last 5 (5)60.858.4119.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)61.563.8125.2-2.225%
vs Similar (17)58.961.4120.3-2.529%
vs Weaker (8)71.058.8129.8+12.288%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
Utah StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#298
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A18/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A05/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Westminster UT
#513
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H22/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A25/12
NCAA
72.0Avg total
39.1Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.930.967.8+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.930.968.9+7.084%-
Last 30 away (11)35.030.865.8+4.264%-
Last 10 (10)39.132.972.0+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.669.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (11)33.830.964.7+2.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.130.268.4+7.976%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#126
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H17/11
NCAA
North Texas
#19
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A19/11
NCAA
Washington
#212
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A25/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H29/12
NCAA
60.4Avg total
30.1Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.528.257.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.328.657.9+0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)29.727.857.5+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)30.130.360.4-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)29.228.858.0+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.531.061.5-0.525%-
vs Similar (17)26.928.255.1-1.429%-
vs Weaker (8)34.126.160.2+8.0100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah State wins
1
Fresno State wins
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/22AWashington State82-73
24/12/22HSMU Mustangs74-77
22/12/22HSeattle84-56
20/12/22HWeber State72-75
16/12/22HWestminster UT106-68
11/12/22ALoyola Marymount79-67
05/12/22ASan Francisco82-64
02/12/22HUtah Tech86-81
23/11/22HOral Roberts95-85
18/11/22ASan Diego Toreros91-89 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HWyoming58-53
21/12/22ACSU Bakersfield56-48
18/12/22HSacramento State53-59
10/12/22APacific72-76
08/12/22HCS Northridge65-56
04/12/22AUC Irvine80-66
25/11/22AVanderbilt59-67
24/11/22AWashington57-62
19/11/22ANorth Texas52-61
17/11/22HSan Francisco60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW85%
HomeWWLWL78%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %85%78%100%
Points / game85.185.883.5
Allowed / game71.570.773.2
Point differential+13.6+15.1+10.2
Avg total156.5156.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%25%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW42%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game61.261.061.4
Allowed / game61.058.263.0
Point differential+0.2+2.8-1.6
Avg total122.2119.2124.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico13130100%84.867.8+16.9
2 UNLV1311285%77.763.6+14.1
3 Utah State1311285%85.171.5+13.6
4 Nevada1411379%73.164.8+8.3
5 San Diego State1310377%75.264.6+10.5
6 Boise State1410471%70.759.4+11.3
7 San Jose State1410471%69.265.2+4.0
8 Grand Canyon139469%68.760.8+7.9
9 Air Force149564%69.062.1+6.9
10 Colorado State148657%75.769.2+6.5
11 Fresno State125742%61.261.0+0.2
12 Wyoming135838%70.568.5+2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State333467
Fresno State262854
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