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Akranes IA vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 97-96
31-27 14-28 29-22 23-19
Position#12
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game100.1
vs
Position#5
Record10-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game91.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 18· AvAir Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akranes IA v Keflavik
19 Feb 2026
AKRA97
KEFL96
14 Dec 2025
AKRA71
KEFL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akranes IA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Akranes IAIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIA
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 76
A05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
85-115
85
115
-30
66avg 76
H11/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
71-102
71
102
-31
62avg 76
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 76
A19/12
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
75-105
75
105
-30
61avg 76
A03/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
91-94
91
94
-3
79avg 76
H08/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
69avg 76
A22/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
98-120
98
120
-22
92avg 76
H29/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
85-102
85
102
-17
76avg 76
A12/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
15-25
26-28
19-19
19-36
24-31
20-26
22-22
18-29
18-20
21-22
14-31
15-27
22-28
26-25
20-22
20-26
21-32
19-23
15-24
23-25
26-20
21-21
21-28
17-19
19-25
17-25
18-15
28-22
12-19
25-27
18-21
20-29
27-28
23-26
28-37
17-21
28-24
17-26
23-31
184.4Avg total
82.9Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.9100.1187.1-13.218%
Season at home (8)93.599.6193.1-6.138%
Season away (9)81.1100.6181.7-19.40%
Last 10 (10)82.9101.5184.4-18.60%
Last 5 (5)85.697.8183.4-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)87.2100.0187.2-12.819%
vs Similar (1)83.0102.0185.0-19.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Akranes IA
#15
W
102-71
102
71
+31
108avg 87
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
84avg 87
H18/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 87
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
94avg 87
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
98-116
98
116
-18
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 87
H22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
95avg 87
H26/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
98-78
98
78
+20
95avg 87
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
96avg 87
H03/02
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#1
L
99-105
99
105
-6
100avg 87
H13/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
20-18
22-21
31-14
15-14
27-30
21-17
30-22
24-29
21-25
25-25
16-10
23-27
25-21
23-25
23-20
15-36
35-33
21-27
27-20
19-28
24-27
28-24
22-23
26-9
21-28
28-24
23-20
24-29
18-22
23-12
33-15
24-27
21-20
29-27
21-21
24-23
18-36
30-26
27-20
189.6Avg total
96.8Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)94.591.0185.5+3.559%
Season at home (10)95.485.4180.8+10.080%
Season away (7)93.399.0192.3-5.729%
Last 10 (10)96.892.8189.6+4.050%
Last 5 (5)99.095.2194.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.596.4183.9-8.930%
vs Similar (11)97.598.7196.2-1.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)95.286.9182.1+8.475%
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +6.8+6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +6.8+6.8
Akranes IAKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Akranes IALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H11/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A19/12
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A03/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H08/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A22/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H29/01
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A12/02
Premier league
93.2Avg total
41.6Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)41.850.191.9-8.217%-
Last 30 at home (9)44.149.293.3-5.133%-
Last 30 away (9)39.650.990.4-11.30%-
Last 10 (10)41.651.693.2-10.010%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.489.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.549.892.3-7.319%-
vs Similar (1)37.055.092.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akranes IA
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A15/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H26/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H03/02
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H13/02
Premier league
95.3Avg total
45.3Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.749.095.7-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.645.492.0+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)46.852.599.3-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)45.350.095.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)43.849.893.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.750.795.4-6.040%-
vs Similar (11)47.450.597.8-3.118%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.046.494.4+1.662%-
This opponent (Akranes IA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akranes IAtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akranes IA: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.2
52.2%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.69.5
27.5%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.415.3
71.5%
74.2%15.3
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.3
53.5%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws26.121.4
82.0%
74.2%21.4
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akranes IA
LLLLLLLLLL
Keflavik
LLWWLLWLWW
#12
League position
#5
-22.7
Net rating
+4.0
92.9
Offensive rating
107.1
115.7
Defensive rating
103.0
46.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.4%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
27.5%
3-point %
34.7%
61.3%
Assist %
67.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 107.1Defence115.7 · 103.0Shooting46.8% · 52.9%3-point %27.5% · 34.7%Ball care15.1% · 14.4%Off. rebounds21.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Akranes IA   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Akranes IA wins
2
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Akranes IA v Keflavik71-102
13/11/25Keflavik v Akranes IA96-72
Akranes IAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AValur85-102
29/01/26HKR Basket98-120
22/01/26AAlftanes83-89
16/01/26ANjardvik71-84
08/01/26HGrindavik91-94
03/01/26AThorl75-105
19/12/25AArmann83-102
14/12/25HKeflavik71-102
11/12/25HStjarnan85-115
05/12/25ATindastoll87-102
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HGrindavik99-105
03/02/26HStjarnan107-110 OT
30/01/26AThorl98-78
26/01/26HTindastoll98-81
22/01/26HArmann93-102
15/01/26AStjarnan98-116
12/01/26AValur94-93
04/01/26AIR Reykjavik86-89
18/12/25HNjardvik93-83
14/12/25AAkranes IA102-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akranes IA
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%38%0%
Points / game86.993.581.1
Allowed / game100.199.6100.6
Point differential-13.2-6.1-19.4
Avg total187.1193.1181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL59%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %59%80%29%
Points / game94.595.493.3
Allowed / game91.085.499.0
Point differential+3.5+10.0-5.7
Avg total185.5180.8192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1715288%93.487.6+5.7
2 Tindastoll1712571%101.891.0+10.8
3 Stjarnan1712571%104.894.9+9.9
4 Valur1711665%90.889.1+1.8
5 KR Basket1710759%99.694.8+4.8
6 Keflavik1710759%94.591.0+3.5
7 Alftanes1771041%90.889.1+1.7
8 IR Reykjavik1771041%90.491.2-0.8
9 Njardvik1761135%96.297.8-1.5
10 Thorl1751229%89.496.5-7.2
11 Armann1741324%86.4101.9-15.5
12 Akranes IA1731418%86.9100.1-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akranes IA3114292397
Keflavik2728221996
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