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IR Reykjavik vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-86
29-24 25-21 25-25 10-16
Position#7
Record4-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Position#5
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game88.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 12· IR-Vollur
Other2025-26
Meetings · IR Reykjavik v Keflavik
05 Nov 2026
IR R90
KEFL100
04 Jan 2026
IR R89
KEFL86
08 Nov 2024
IR R79
KEFL91
23 Mar 2023
IR R92
KEFL85
21 Oct 2021
IR R73
KEFL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IR Reykjavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
67-113
67
113
-46
50avg 81
H17/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
93-91
93
91
+2
90avg 81
A24/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
89avg 81
H31/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
98-100
98
100
-2
96avg 81
A06/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 81
H13/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
A21/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
97-86
97
86
+11
99avg 81
H05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
96-102
96
102
-6
83avg 81
A11/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 81
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 81
H18/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
13-28
13-25
16-32
17-25
27-21
26-18
23-27
19-25
28-25
27-14
22-19
18-23
31-29
23-22
26-26
28-26
15-19
11-21
24-21
15-22
15-27
16-22
43-25
26-23
18-19
20-24
33-20
25-27
14-25
24-15
33-35
26-25
18-22
16-20
9-18
19-19
27-22
16-27
20-17
179.3Avg total
86.5Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.294.1183.3-4.936%
Season at home (5)84.090.8174.8-6.840%
Season away (6)93.596.8190.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)86.592.8179.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)86.690.8177.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)86.694.1180.6-7.529%
vs Similar (10)90.189.3179.4+0.880%
vs Weaker (5)93.491.0184.4+2.440%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
W
92-71
92
71
+21
93avg 85
H17/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
107-94
107
94
+13
106avg 85
A23/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
75avg 85
H30/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
92-104
92
104
-12
77avg 85
A07/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
96-72
96
72
+24
94avg 85
H13/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
101-90
101
90
+11
no box
H21/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
104avg 85
H05/12
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
91-111
91
111
-20
88avg 85
A11/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#15
W
102-71
102
71
+31
108avg 85
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
93-83
93
83
+10
84avg 85
H18/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
27-16
18-19
26-13
27-22
30-26
26-17
24-29
18-26
28-17
13-21
27-18
25-27
22-26
26-22
19-29
22-21
29-13
32-26
13-12
28-20
27-25
27-19
19-26
25-22
26-19
24-20
29-24
24-30
20-25
24-32
23-24
29-18
20-18
22-21
31-14
15-14
27-30
21-17
30-22
182.7Avg total
96.4Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)94.188.7182.8+5.473%
Season at home (7)94.980.9175.7+14.0100%
Season away (4)92.8102.5195.2-9.825%
Last 10 (10)96.486.3182.7+10.180%
Last 5 (5)98.288.0186.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)87.896.3184.1-8.527%
vs Similar (12)93.994.2188.2-0.342%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)99.587.3186.8+12.2100%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
IR ReykjavikKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H17/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H31/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A06/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A21/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H18/12
Premier league
90.4Avg total
42.4Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.446.890.3-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.346.588.8-4.229%-
Last 30 away (16)44.447.191.6-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.448.090.4-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.286.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.948.891.7-5.97%-
vs Similar (10)43.543.386.8+0.270%-
vs Weaker (5)44.648.493.0-3.820%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A23/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H13/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H21/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/12
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A11/12
Premier league
Akranes IA
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/12
Premier league
92.8Avg total
49.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.148.196.2+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.444.693.0+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)47.852.199.9-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)49.043.892.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.292.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)45.450.295.5-4.827%-
vs Similar (12)48.549.297.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)52.344.096.3+8.3100%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.3
54.5%
54.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.0
32.9%
34.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.611.8
67.0%
74.2%11.8
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.3
54.8%
54.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
34.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws27.721.1
76.2%
74.2%21.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
IR Reykjavik
LLLWLLLWWL
Keflavik
WWLWWWLWWW
#7
League position
#5
-6.4
Net rating
+8.9
106.8
Offensive rating
113.7
113.1
Defensive rating
104.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.9%
3-point %
33.8%
65.9%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 113.7Defence113.1 · 104.9Shooting52.1% · 53.0%3-point %32.9% · 33.8%Ball care15.7% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ IR Reykjavik   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
IR Reykjavik wins
4
Keflavik wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HValur82-85
15/12/25AValur69-85
11/12/25AKR Basket96-102
05/12/25HAlftanes97-86
21/11/25AAkranes IA89-96
13/11/25HGrindavik78-87
06/11/25AThorl98-100
31/10/25HArmann96-83
24/10/25AStjarnan93-91
17/10/25HTindastoll67-113
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HNjardvik93-83
14/12/25AAkranes IA102-71
11/12/25AValur91-111
05/12/25HKR Basket104-85
21/11/25HAlftanes101-90
13/11/25HAkranes IA96-72
07/11/25AGrindavik92-104
30/10/25HThorl86-82
23/10/25AArmann107-94
17/10/25HStjarnan92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game89.284.093.5
Allowed / game94.190.896.8
Point differential-4.9-6.8-3.3
Avg total183.3174.8190.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%100%25%
Points / game94.194.992.8
Allowed / game88.780.9102.5
Point differential+5.4+14.0-9.8
Avg total182.8175.7195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1110191%93.885.4+8.5
2 Tindastoll129375%103.088.8+14.2
3 Valur129375%93.090.1+2.9
4 Keflavik118373%94.188.7+5.4
5 Stjarnan127558%100.392.8+7.5
6 KR Basket125742%97.295.6+1.6
7 Alftanes125742%91.990.4+1.5
8 Njardvik114736%97.696.5+1.2
9 IR Reykjavik114736%89.294.1-4.9
10 Thorl124833%91.297.1-5.9
11 Akranes IA123925%87.5101.1-13.6
12 Armann1221017%85.8103.2-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
IR Reykjavik2925251089
Keflavik2421251686
← all games of the day
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