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Akron vs Toledo Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 23 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akron v Toledo
14 Mar 2026
AKRO79
TOLE76
27 Jan 2026
AKRO91
TOLE81
14 Mar 2025
AKRO100
TOLE90
14 Jan 2025
AKRO85
TOLE78
02 Feb 2024
AKRO77
TOLE70
07 Feb 2023
AKRO74
TOLE84
16 Jan 2021
AKRO95
TOLE94
18 Jan 2020
AKRO89
TOLE99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akron win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A18/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A20/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A04/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
53-34
0-0
37-39
0-0
40-36
0-0
38-29
0-0
39-35
0-0
60-50
0-0
47-37
0-0
45-33
0-0
39-33
0-0
38-31
0-0
47-27
0-0
47-28
0-0
42-29
0-0
31-41
0-0
42-28
0-0
33-40
0-0
30-42
0-0
49-34
0-0
35-40
0-0
36-51
154.5Avg total
82.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.871.7154.5+11.190%
Last 5 (5)78.472.0150.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)83.586.5170.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (27)85.973.7159.6+12.289%
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H08/03
Segunda FEB
Bowling Green
#143
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H12/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A15/03
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A28/03
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A12/04
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-15
26-15
16-17
0-0
37-38
0-0
40-38
0-0
43-34
0-0
34-33
0-0
42-30
0-0
34-49
17-25
13-15
22-11
15-14
24-19
16-17
10-23
24-16
16-16
23-24
14-20
21-18
17-17
24-19
19-14
15-20
18-19
15-6
20-23
13-16
21-24
22-18
18-14
14-21
146.5Avg total
74.6Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.671.9146.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)72.872.8145.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.878.7153.5-3.833%
vs Similar (13)77.175.8152.9+1.246%
vs Weaker (11)79.570.6150.2+8.973%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
AkronToledo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#325
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A18/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H12/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H13/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/03
NCAA
75.5Avg total
41.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.235.077.2+7.280%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.336.780.0+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)40.832.773.5+8.185%-
Last 10 (10)41.434.175.5+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.272.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)36.539.576.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (27)42.435.077.4+7.481%-
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H08/03
Segunda FEB
Bowling Green
#143
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/03
NCAA
Logrono
#24
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/03
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A12/04
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/04
Segunda FEB
74.8Avg total
39.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.574.0+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.734.273.9+5.587%-
Last 30 away (15)37.236.974.1+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.774.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.537.376.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (13)36.235.171.3+1.269%-
vs Weaker (11)40.535.175.5+5.464%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Akron wins
3
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Akron v Toledo79-76
28/01/26Akron v Toledo91-81
14/03/25Akron v Toledo100-90
05/03/25Toledo v Akron87-96
15/01/25Akron v Toledo85-78
21/02/24Toledo v Akron72-64
03/02/24Akron v Toledo77-70
22/02/23Toledo v Akron84-63
08/02/23Akron v Toledo74-84
11/03/22Toledo v Akron62-70
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26ATexas Tech71-91
15/03/26HToledo79-76
13/03/26HKent State75-68
12/03/26HBuffalo73-70
06/03/26HNorthern Illinois94-55
04/03/26ACentral Michigan77-64
28/02/26AKent State92-70
25/02/26HBuffalo99-85
20/02/26ABall State78-65
18/02/26AWestern Michigan90-73
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HCaceres75-77
12/04/26ACordoba66-64
05/04/26HClavijo75-70
28/03/26AGijon74-78
22/03/26HMoron74-75
15/03/26ALogrono67-65
15/03/26AAkron76-79
13/03/26HUMass77-67
12/03/26HBowling Green77-76
08/03/26HIraurgi SB85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akron
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Toledo
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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