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Akron vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-78
30-42 55-36
Position#21
Record10-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game73.3
Akron 🏆
USA
vs
Position#167
Record9-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Akron v Toledo
14 Mar 2026
AKRO79
TOLE76
27 Jan 2026
AKRO91
TOLE81
14 Mar 2025
AKRO100
TOLE90
14 Jan 2025
AKRO85
TOLE78
02 Feb 2024
AKRO77
TOLE70
07 Feb 2023
AKRO74
TOLE84
16 Jan 2021
AKRO95
TOLE94
18 Jan 2020
AKRO89
TOLE99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#156
W
97-78
97
78
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H04/12
NCAA
SUNY-Brockport
#636
W
101-48
101
48
+53
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A15/12
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A22/12
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
105-81
105
81
+24
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-41
47-37
46-36
40-37
56-24
45-24
45-58
36-42
25-27
33-47
30-29
38-21
41-30
34-46
30-32
41-36
41-38
46-33
54-38
51-43
154.8Avg total
82.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.173.3155.3+8.867%
Season at home (7)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
Season away (8)75.177.0152.1-1.938%
Last 10 (10)82.971.9154.8+11.070%
Last 5 (5)81.269.2150.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.073.0132.0-14.00%
vs Similar (11)69.175.2144.3-6.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.868.4148.2+11.481%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
45-80
45
80
-35
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
111-49
111
49
+62
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
49-78
49
78
-29
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
48-39
25-34
20-46
23-34
29-51
55-23
56-26
39-44
48-49
22-39
27-39
28-39
36-44
35-33
41-37
46-33
44-54
34-30
35-37
149.7Avg total
72.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.377.2154.5+0.160%
Season at home (8)79.875.4155.1+4.475%
Season away (7)74.679.3153.9-4.743%
Last 10 (10)72.577.2149.7-4.750%
Last 5 (5)69.677.0146.6-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.883.8157.6-10.033%
vs Similar (12)77.474.3151.8+3.167%
vs Weaker (9)87.070.7157.7+16.378%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -3.8-3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -3.8-3.8
AkronToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#156
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H04/12
NCAA
SUNY-Brockport
#636
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A15/12
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A22/12
NCAA
Princeton
#99
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A11/01
NCAA
77.1Avg total
41.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.268.3+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.130.668.7+7.587%-
Last 30 away (15)34.233.767.9+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.377.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.472.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.028.052.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)31.834.666.5-2.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.331.669.9+6.781%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/01
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.671.5+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.368.3+5.860%-
Last 30 away (15)36.737.974.6-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)34.135.069.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.034.867.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.939.773.6-5.833%-
vs Similar (12)36.232.869.1+3.450%-
vs Weaker (9)40.831.872.6+9.078%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Akron wins
6
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
21/02/24Toledo v Akron72-64
03/02/24Akron v Toledo77-70
22/02/23Toledo v Akron84-63
08/02/23Akron v Toledo74-84
11/03/22Toledo v Akron62-70
29/01/22Toledo v Akron84-76
03/02/21Toledo v Akron91-76
16/01/21Akron v Toledo95-94 OT
18/01/20Akron v Toledo89-99
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AEastern Michigan105-81
08/01/25HCentral Michigan87-71
03/01/25ABowling Green71-68
30/12/24APrinceton75-76
22/12/24AJackson State68-50
21/12/24AYale58-74
15/12/24AWisc. Milwaukee81-100
07/12/24HSUNY-Brockport101-48
04/12/24HNorthern Kentucky86-73
24/11/24HAlabama State97-78
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HCentral Michigan69-67
08/01/25HEastern Michigan90-87
04/01/25AWestern Michigan76-70
29/12/24APurdue64-83
19/12/24AHouston49-78
14/12/24AYoungstown State87-93
07/12/24HDefiance College111-49
01/12/24HOakland52-85
23/11/24HUC San Diego45-80
22/11/24HJacksonville State82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akron
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%100%38%
Points / game82.190.075.1
Allowed / game73.369.077.0
Point differential+8.8+21.0-1.9
Avg total155.3159.0152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game77.379.874.6
Allowed / game77.275.479.3
Point differential+0.1+4.4-4.7
Avg total154.5155.1153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)1511473%83.571.7+11.9
2 Kent State1511473%69.262.5+6.7
3 Akron1510567%82.173.3+8.8
4 Ohio159660%80.874.0+6.8
5 Toledo159660%77.377.2+0.1
6 Ball State158753%76.370.8+5.5
7 Eastern Michigan157847%72.778.4-5.7
8 Central Michigan156940%72.870.8+2.0
9 Bowling Green156940%77.476.0+1.4
10 UMass1761135%73.574.9-1.5
11 Buffalo1551033%72.581.5-8.9
12 Northern Illinois1541127%70.976.3-5.3
13 Western Michigan1531220%71.075.9-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Akron305585
Toledo423678
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