PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aktobe vs Almaty Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#4
Record12-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game78.2
KazakhstanNational League· SP Qonys
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aktobe v Almaty
29 Jan 2025
AKTO v ALMA
upcoming
28 Jan 2025
AKTO v ALMA
upcoming
06 Feb 2024
AKTO85
ALMA90
05 Feb 2024
AKTO100
ALMA91
26 Nov 2020
AKTO70
ALMA73
25 Nov 2020
AKTO83
ALMA104
23 Jan 2018
AKTO68
ALMA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-109
81
109
-28
77avg 77
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 77
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
95avg 77
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 77
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 77
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 77
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
63-67
63
67
-4
60avg 77
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 77
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 77
H24/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
30-23
23-29
13-29
26-21
16-23
20-22
20-19
26-15
18-22
19-22
13-22
17-15
20-21
30-16
27-16
18-22
10-17
18-26
25-27
20-18
16-16
16-24
18-25
14-15
13-28
19-25
26-25
19-8
23-16
14-24
7-19
16-26
19-16
20-16
15-20
18-16
18-25
15-15
22-22
158.6Avg total
75.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.183.6160.7-6.421%
Season at home (10)77.680.1157.7-2.530%
Season away (4)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)75.283.4158.6-8.210%
Last 5 (5)69.679.8149.4-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.283.5162.7-4.429%
vs Similar (10)86.082.6168.6+3.470%
vs Weaker (3)74.772.7147.3+2.033%
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 79
A01/12
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
85-105
85
105
-20
82avg 79
A02/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
85-72
85
72
+13
81avg 79
H14/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 79
H15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 79
A05/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
68-91
68
91
-23
55avg 79
A06/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
85avg 79
H11/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
102-89
102
89
+13
89avg 79
H12/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
105-96
105
96
+9
107avg 79
H18/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 79
H19/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
24-19
20-26
17-15
30-25
21-20
11-30
23-30
22-19
23-8
11-13
29-32
28-20
25-17
17-23
26-17
16-24
18-15
19-17
21-16
17-22
16-29
18-20
17-20
20-18
22-17
21-15
27-20
31-27
29-21
25-21
17-20
25-26
23-21
25-28
32-21
16-17
16-22
26-13
23-16
168.4Avg total
86.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.678.2160.8+4.571%
Season at home (9)85.075.7160.7+9.389%
Season away (8)80.081.0161.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.482.0168.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)89.282.8172.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.390.6168.9-12.217%
vs Similar (12)81.879.2161.0+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)96.377.2173.5+19.2100%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
AktobeAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/12
National League
76.3Avg total
37.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.881.3-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.740.780.3-1.039%-
Last 30 away (12)41.841.082.8+0.842%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.176.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.241.781.9-1.529%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)40.031.371.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/12
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A02/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H14/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A05/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A06/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H12/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/01
National League
84.6Avg total
43.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.842.085.8+1.859%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.241.085.2+3.262%-
Last 30 away (16)43.442.986.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.784.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.087.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)44.849.594.3-4.627%-
vs Similar (12)40.837.878.5+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.037.085.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aktobe wins
4
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
06/02/24Aktobe v Almaty85-90
05/02/24Aktobe v Almaty100-91
24/12/23Almaty v Aktobe67-84
23/12/23Almaty v Aktobe83-77
07/04/21Almaty v Aktobe71-109
06/04/21Almaty v Aktobe49-85
14/02/21Almaty v Aktobe69-94
13/02/21Almaty v Aktobe87-96
26/11/20Aktobe v Almaty70-73
25/11/20Aktobe v Almaty83-104
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HTobol Kostanay73-78
23/12/24HTobol Kostanay70-78
09/12/24HPavlodar63-67
08/12/24HPavlodar72-93
04/12/24AKaspiy Aktau70-83
03/12/24AKaspiy Aktau71-92
10/11/24HAstana 294-68
09/11/24HAstana 276-81
06/11/24ATobol Kostanay82-85
05/11/24ATobol Kostanay81-109
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HAtyrau81-68
18/01/25HAtyrau105-96
12/01/25HPavlodar102-89
11/01/25HPavlodar90-70
06/01/25AKaspiy Aktau68-91
05/01/25AKaspiy Aktau74-72
15/12/24HAstana 296-77
14/12/24HAstana 285-72
02/12/24AAtyrau85-105
01/12/24AAtyrau78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %21%30%0%
Points / game77.177.676.0
Allowed / game83.680.192.2
Point differential-6.4-2.5-16.2
Avg total160.7157.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%89%50%
Points / game82.685.080.0
Allowed / game78.275.781.0
Point differential+4.5+9.3-1.0
Avg total160.8160.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay1816289%88.173.6+14.4
2 Irbis Almaty1713476%80.968.9+12.0
3 Almaty1712571%82.678.2+4.5
4 Atyrau1811761%81.576.4+5.1
5 Kaspiy Aktau2081240%72.175.1-3.0
6 Astana 22071335%75.182.2-7.1
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2231914%70.485.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.