PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aktobe vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 112-52
35-15 27-2 26-23 24-12
Position#4
Record13-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#14
Record2-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game53.7
Allowed / game87.3
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aktobe v Pavlodar
18 Jan 2026
AKTO112
PAVL52
09 Dec 2024
AKTO63
PAVL67
08 Dec 2024
AKTO72
PAVL93
13 Feb 2024
AKTO96
PAVL77
12 Feb 2024
AKTO81
PAVL67
25 Mar 2019
AKTO85
PAVL66
28 Feb 2019
AKTO80
PAVL56
01 Feb 2019
AKTO92
PAVL66
02 Nov 2018
AKTO96
PAVL98
20 Apr 2018
AKTO89
PAVL86
18 Apr 2018
AKTO77
PAVL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
45avg 81
A27/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
66-58
66
58
+8
55avg 81
H28/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
82-79
82
79
+3
78avg 81
A29/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
85-54
85
54
+31
81avg 81
H30/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
92-84
92
84
+8
91avg 81
H04/12
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
94-89
94
89
+5
94avg 81
A05/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 81
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
81avg 81
A07/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
95-58
95
58
+37
no box
H16/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
no box
A17/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
21-25
14-16
14-10
17-5
15-21
13-12
21-20
30-17
19-20
15-24
18-18
21-13
20-11
23-14
21-16
22-21
21-16
24-23
25-24
19-29
23-16
32-15
20-29
14-17
29-20
13-18
20-16
21-15
17-12
24-15
19-17
19-10
32-11
22-21
22-16
18-13
14-22
15-15
29-26
150.7Avg total
81.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.168.8153.9+16.493%
Season at home (7)87.367.4154.7+19.9100%
Season away (7)83.070.1153.1+12.986%
Last 10 (10)81.169.6150.7+11.590%
Last 5 (5)85.671.2156.8+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)66.873.3140.1-6.525%
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.868.9153.7+15.883%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
43-86
43
86
-43
23avg 48
H17/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
60-80
60
80
-20
50avg 48
H18/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
60-126
60
126
-66
45avg 48
H27/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
52-109
52
109
-57
28avg 48
A28/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
35-94
35
94
-59
15avg 48
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
63-111
63
111
-48
53avg 48
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
35-92
35
92
-57
25avg 48
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 48
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
55-86
55
86
-31
54avg 48
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
47avg 48
H18/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
11-26
12-16
6-17
23-16
18-18
13-21
6-25
9-36
21-22
16-40
14-28
8-35
10-27
18-36
16-11
7-22
7-22
14-28
7-22
15-31
11-26
13-31
24-23
11-27
11-23
8-20
5-22
21-17
26-14
22-14
24-18
7-27
17-20
14-20
17-19
12-15
9-21
23-11
16-11
146.1Avg total
55.6Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)53.787.3141.0-33.615%
Season at home (7)55.684.9140.4-29.329%
Season away (6)51.590.2141.7-38.70%
Last 10 (10)55.690.5146.1-34.920%
Last 5 (5)61.282.0143.2-20.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)64.589.0153.6-24.511%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -12.6-12.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -6.1-6.1
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -12.6-12.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -6.1-6.1
AktobePavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H28/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A29/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H30/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H04/12
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A05/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H16/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/01
Higher League
72.9Avg total
40.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.735.876.5+5.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.535.076.5+6.565%-
Last 30 away (11)39.536.976.4+2.545%-
Last 10 (10)40.132.872.9+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.074.2+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.839.578.3-0.736%-
vs Similar (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.730.573.2+12.283%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
25-53
25
53
-28
H17/11
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
30-58
30
58
-28
H27/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
18-62
18
62
-44
A28/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
14-44
14
44
-30
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H18/12
Higher League
74.0Avg total
26.8Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.745.877.5-14.120%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.843.676.4-10.842%-
Last 30 away (18)30.947.278.2-16.36%-
Last 10 (10)26.847.274.0-20.420%-
Last 5 (5)28.044.272.2-16.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)31.546.678.2-15.118%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Aktobe wins
2
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
09/12/24Aktobe v Pavlodar63-67
08/12/24Aktobe v Pavlodar72-93
13/02/24Aktobe v Pavlodar96-77
12/02/24Aktobe v Pavlodar81-67
15/12/23Pavlodar v Aktobe76-104
14/12/23Pavlodar v Aktobe71-87
25/03/19Aktobe v Pavlodar85-66
28/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar80-56
01/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar92-66
07/12/18Pavlodar v Aktobe65-72
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AKaraganda82-79 OT
16/01/26HKaraganda95-58
07/12/25ACHAMP1ON81-59
06/12/25HCHAMP1ON76-71
05/12/25ABC Almaty 294-89
04/12/25HBC Almaty 292-84
30/11/25HTigers-KazATU85-54
29/11/25ATigers-KazATU82-79
28/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk66-58
27/11/25ABars Petropavlovsk58-65
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 260-58
17/12/25AAtyrau 255-86
16/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 293-63
15/12/25AAtyrau 235-92
30/11/25AShymkent63-111
29/11/25HTuran35-94
28/11/25AShymkent52-109
27/11/25HTuran60-126
18/11/25HKaraganda60-80
17/11/25HBars Petropavlovsk43-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game85.187.383.0
Allowed / game68.867.470.1
Point differential+16.4+19.9+12.9
Avg total153.9154.7153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW15%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%29%0%
Points / game53.755.651.5
Allowed / game87.384.990.2
Point differential-33.6-29.3-38.7
Avg total141.0140.4141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1413193%85.168.8+16.4
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21814478%78.269.7+8.4
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1611569%83.463.9+19.6
6 ChelSU Kostanay159660%76.578.3-1.9
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Arlans124833%74.280.5-6.3
10 Tigers-KazATU1651131%67.181.5-14.4
11 Karaganda1541127%76.582.5-5.9
12 Tobol Kostanay 21531220%71.182.5-11.3
13 Pavlodar1321115%53.787.3-33.6
14 AiRom121118%60.380.5-20.2
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2181176%57.283.9-26.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe35272624112
Pavlodar152231252
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.