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Al Ahli vs Al-Rayyan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-65
18-13 14-22 21-13 20-17
Position#2
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game73.5
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al-Rayyan
Qatar
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game65.7
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan
31 Oct 2026
AL A85
AL-R106
28 Mar 2026
AL A88
AL-R93
26 Jan 2026
AL A76
AL-R64
20 Mar 2025
AL A66
AL-R88
16 Dec 2024
AL A74
AL-R83
19 Nov 2023
AL A73
AL-R65
14 Nov 2023
AL A88
AL-R98
05 Apr 2023
AL A54
AL-R96
05 Feb 2022
AL A99
AL-R79
07 Jan 2020
AL A84
AL-R80
22 Jan 2019
AL A69
AL-R60
29 Dec 2018
AL A84
AL-R75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Rayyan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Samaheej
#8
W
78-63
78
63
+15
no box
H31/10
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
64avg 82
A01/11
QBL
Al Taawon
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
86avg 82
A03/11
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A04/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
96-77
96
77
+19
93avg 82
H06/11
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
87avg 82
A08/11
QBL
Al Salam
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 82
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
85avg 82
H14/11
WASL
Al Gharafa
#4
W
95-61
95
61
+34
101avg 82
A15/11
QBL
Ohod
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
49avg 82
H17/11
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
12-22
16-23
17-20
22-15
22-16
25-17
26-14
19-17
28-24
25-25
15-12
17-17
25-10
27-22
27-23
17-22
18-13
17-17
31-15
16-20
18-15
23-22
18-20
25-18
19-24
27-25
18-20
24-29
26-16
15-11
30-14
24-20
20-24
12-20
11-19
23-24
158.1Avg total
83.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.873.5155.2+8.250%
Season at home (1)83.088.0171.0-5.00%
Season away (3)81.368.7150.0+12.767%
Last 10 (10)83.374.8158.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)83.077.2160.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.684.2159.8-8.620%
vs Similar (11)81.682.3163.9-0.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.673.1158.7+12.686%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#4
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
A11/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
A20/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A23/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
100-82
100
82
+18
no box
H25/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H27/05
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
76-57
76
57
+19
69avg 77
H31/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
74-61
74
61
+13
66avg 77
A07/11
QBL
Al Gharafa
#4
W
88-79
88
79
+9
81avg 77
H11/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#10
W
98-88
98
88
+10
92avg 77
A14/11
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
19-19
19-10
11-26
24-20
19-17
12-22
22-15
18-15
7-15
17-16
23-12
19-22
24-18
11-24
19-11
21-26
30-13
30-16
19-27
19-14
20-12
20-16
16-26
24-12
8-21
23-7
21-17
19-13
17-21
17-18
21-9
22-23
18-11
18-23
30-22
24-19
25-27
20-18
29-24
150.8Avg total
80.0Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.365.7145.0+13.7100%
Season at home (2)82.068.0150.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)74.061.0135.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.070.8150.8+9.290%
Last 5 (5)82.270.6152.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.591.3170.8-11.850%
vs Similar (6)81.074.2155.2+6.883%
vs Weaker (18)79.769.3148.9+10.483%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
Al AhliAl-Rayyan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#5
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A01/11
QBL
Al Taawon
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A03/11
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A04/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/11
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A08/11
QBL
Al Salam
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/11
WASL
Al Gharafa
#4
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A15/11
QBL
Ohod
#5
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H17/11
Premier League
80.1Avg total
41.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.640.883.4+1.759%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.340.882.2+0.546%-
Last 30 away (16)43.640.884.4+2.869%-
Last 10 (9)41.738.480.1+3.267%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.476.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.245.284.4-6.020%-
vs Similar (11)43.843.687.5+0.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.836.879.5+6.077%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A11/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A20/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A23/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H27/05
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H31/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/11
QBL
Al Gharafa
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A14/11
WASL
75.1Avg total
40.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.078.6+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.537.377.8+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)38.940.479.3-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.234.975.1+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.673.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.350.886.2-15.517%-
vs Similar (6)43.736.580.2+7.2100%-
vs Weaker (18)39.735.875.6+3.956%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.8
57.7%
49.4%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.6
31.1%
29.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.2
66.3%
68.0%12.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.0
56.2%
49.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.5
33.8%
29.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.513.0
66.7%
68.0%13.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LWLWWWWWLW
Al-Rayyan
WWWWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#3
+11.6
Net rating
+17.5
110.5
Offensive rating
110.6
98.9
Defensive rating
93.0
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.1%
3-point %
33.8%
62.3%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 110.6Defence98.9 · 93.0Shooting53.7% · 53.4%3-point %31.1% · 33.8%Ball care16.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 24.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al-Rayyan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Ahli wins
4
Al-Rayyan wins
DateGameScore
14/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan88-98
17/05/23Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli77-74
05/04/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan54-96
05/02/22Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan99-79
05/12/21Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli91-111
06/12/20Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli94-99 OT
07/01/20Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan84-80
31/12/19Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli88-75
22/01/19Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan69-60
29/12/18Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan84-75
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HOhod66-87
15/11/23AAl Gharafa95-61
14/11/23HAl-Rayyan88-98
10/11/23AAl Salam84-75
08/11/23AAl Shamal82-65
06/11/23HAl-Fateh96-77
04/11/23AAl Ittihad85-78
03/11/23AAl Taawon92-64
01/11/23AQatar Sports67-80
31/10/23HSamaheej78-63
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23AAl Ahli98-88
11/11/23HAl Gharafa88-79
07/11/23AAl Wakrah74-61
31/10/23HAl Khor76-57
27/05/23HAl Shamal75-68
25/05/23HQatar Sports100-82
23/05/23AQatar Sports73-75
20/05/23AQatar Sports65-58
17/05/23HAl Ahli77-74
11/05/23AQatar Sports74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game81.883.081.3
Allowed / game73.588.068.7
Point differential+8.2-5.0+12.7
Avg total155.2171.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Rayyan
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.382.074.0
Allowed / game65.768.061.0
Point differential+13.7+14.0+13.0
Avg total145.0150.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan330100%79.365.7+13.7
2 Al Wakrah43175%87.076.2+10.8
3 Al Arabi43175%78.571.8+6.8
4 Al Sadd32167%69.369.3+0.0
5 Al Ahli42250%81.873.5+8.2
6 Qatar Sports42250%72.072.2-0.2
7 Al Gharafa52340%74.885.0-10.2
8 Al Shamal51420%70.677.4-6.8
9 Al Khor4040%71.886.2-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1814212073
Al-Rayyan1322131765
← all games of the day
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