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Al-Fateh vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-97
19-20 20-28 20-21 10-28
Position#5
Record5-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#3
Record11-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game71.3
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 13· Ministry of Sports Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al-Fateh v Al Ahli
27 Jan 2025
AL-F69
AL A97
26 Jan 2024
AL-F70
AL A88
23 Dec 2022
AL-F70
AL A67
13 Dec 2021
AL-F95
AL A94
28 Mar 2021
AL-F92
AL A82
12 Apr 2019
AL-F74
AL A71
09 Apr 2019
AL-F62
AL A66
01 Jan 2019
AL-F87
AL A72
29 Jan 2018
AL-F79
AL A71
10 Mar 2017
AL-F70
AL A80
04 May 2016
AL-F81
AL A85
23 Apr 2016
AL-F72
AL A81
20 Feb 2016
AL-F80
AL A76
03 Mar 2015
AL-F78
AL A69
08 Feb 2014
AL-F89
AL A85
22 Nov 2012
AL-F93
AL A85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Fateh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
69avg 73
A02/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 73
H06/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
94-64
94
64
+30
95avg 73
H09/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
63avg 73
H13/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 73
A16/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
69-55
69
55
+14
54avg 73
H20/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 73
A27/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
75avg 73
A30/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
76-102
76
102
-26
56avg 73
H03/01
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
77-75
77
75
+2
73avg 73
H24/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
13-26
19-29
19-21
25-27
22-18
13-16
18-26
25-20
24-8
24-16
21-20
18-20
20-12
15-20
15-28
25-15
25-11
10-23
12-30
19-12
14-12
20-12
16-19
19-26
18-24
15-14
30-14
12-22
16-5
25-30
17-13
12-29
19-23
21-26
24-24
22-20
15-19
20-20
20-16
156.9Avg total
77.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.182.9161.0-4.842%
Season at home (6)77.077.2154.2-0.250%
Season away (6)79.288.7167.8-9.533%
Last 10 (10)77.479.5156.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)77.677.2154.8+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.792.9170.6-15.210%
vs Similar (6)82.284.8167.0-2.733%
vs Weaker (14)92.673.6166.2+18.979%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 78
A04/01
QBL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A13/01
WASL
Al Khor
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
67avg 78
A15/01
QBL
Al Najma
#7
L
97-99
97
99
-2
no box
A17/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
86-108
86
108
-22
63avg 78
H18/01
QBL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H20/01
WASL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 78
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
109-49
109
49
+60
108avg 78
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
no box
H24/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
76avg 78
A25/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
21-20
22-25
18-11
21-16
18-22
23-31
26-22
12-20
15-14
20-27
27-12
22-21
28-25
26-35
21-18
27-31
16-23
19-26
24-28
22-11
24-17
17-13
24-26
22-17
13-17
22-17
20-17
24-14
30-13
30-4
25-18
10-18
16-20
13-28
19-22
17-17
15-22
23-16
19-19
163.1Avg total
83.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.871.3165.2+22.592%
Season at home (6)101.274.0175.2+27.2100%
Season away (6)86.568.7155.2+17.883%
Last 10 (10)83.679.5163.1+4.160%
Last 5 (5)83.070.0153.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.984.6162.4-6.743%
vs Similar (7)82.792.9175.6-10.10%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.772.0162.7+18.7100%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
Al-FatehAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A02/12
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H06/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H09/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H13/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A16/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A27/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A30/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H03/01
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H24/01
Premier League
75.8Avg total
38.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.383.1+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.138.983.0+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)43.539.783.2+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.275.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.471.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.445.182.5-7.720%-
vs Similar (6)46.743.890.5+2.883%-
vs Weaker (14)47.133.280.4+13.979%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/01
QBL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A13/01
WASL
Al Khor
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A15/01
QBL
Al Najma
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H18/01
QBL
Al Bashaer
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H20/01
WASL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/01
QBL
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A24/01
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H24/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A25/01
QBL
76.4Avg total
38.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.678.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.935.577.5+6.469%-
Last 30 away (17)39.239.278.4+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.676.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.271.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.340.376.6-4.029%-
vs Similar (7)36.943.079.9-6.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.734.177.8+9.681%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.8
49.9%
50.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.0
28.5%
30.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.512.3
66.5%
67.8%12.3
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.725.6
50.5%
50.2%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.5
30.5%
30.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.9
68.8%
67.8%13.9
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Fateh
WLWWWLLWLL
Al Ahli
WLWWWLLWLW
#5
League position
#3
-2.8
Net rating
+11.6
98.7
Offensive rating
106.5
101.5
Defensive rating
94.9
47.0%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.5%
3-point %
30.5%
60.1%
Assist %
51.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 106.5Defence101.5 · 94.9Shooting47.0% · 49.1%3-point %28.5% · 30.5%Ball care19.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds33.7% · 35.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Al-Fateh   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al-Fateh wins
5
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Al Ahli v Al-Fateh99-74
26/01/24Al-Fateh v Al Ahli70-88
06/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Fateh96-77
23/12/22Al-Fateh v Al Ahli70-67
26/09/22Al Ahli v Al-Fateh72-61
18/03/22Al Ahli v Al-Fateh89-85
13/12/21Al-Fateh v Al Ahli95-94 OT
28/03/21Al-Fateh v Al Ahli92-82
25/12/20Al Ahli v Al-Fateh57-65
12/04/19Al-Fateh v Al Ahli74-71
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HAl Nasr77-75
03/01/25HAlUla76-102
30/12/24AOhod84-76 OT
27/12/24AAl Salam82-78
20/12/24HAl Khowildiah69-55
16/12/24AAl Safa of Safwa72-79
13/12/24HAl Ittihad68-80
09/12/24HOhod94-64
06/12/24HAl Khaleej78-87
02/12/24AAl Ahli74-99
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AAl-Rayyan84-78 OT
24/01/25HAl Muharraq58-88
24/01/25AAl Khowildiah109-49
22/01/25AAl Wakrah77-68
20/01/25HAl Bashaer87-67
18/01/25HAl Sadd86-108
17/01/25AAl Najma97-99
15/01/25AAl Khor74-73
13/01/25AAl-Ahli Dubai88-91
04/01/25AAl Arabi76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Fateh
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW42%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game78.177.079.2
Allowed / game82.977.288.7
Point differential-4.8-0.2-9.5
Avg total161.0154.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Al Ahli
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game93.8101.286.5
Allowed / game71.374.068.7
Point differential+22.5+27.2+17.8
Avg total165.2175.2155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad12120100%87.565.8+21.8
2 Al Ahli1211192%93.871.3+22.5
3 AlUla1210283%99.571.2+28.3
4 Al Nasr128467%92.883.3+9.4
5 Al-Fateh125742%78.182.9-4.8
6 Al Salam124833%77.482.2-4.8
7 Al Safa of Safwa124833%71.884.2-12.4
8 Al Khaleej123925%67.181.5-14.4
9 Ohod123925%75.295.2-19.9
10 Al Khowildiah120120%65.290.8-25.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Fateh1920201069
Al Ahli2028212897
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