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Al Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-106
16-30 24-29 23-29 27-18
Position#7
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game100.8
Al Gharafa
Qatar
vs
Al-Rayyan 🏆
Qatar
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game75.8
QatarQBL· Ahmed bin Ali Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan
04 Dec 2025
AL G90
AL-R106
20 Jan 2025
AL G82
AL-R93
24 Dec 2023
AL G80
AL-R89
01 Mar 2023
AL G56
AL-R68
14 Feb 2022
AL G120
AL-R68
09 Jan 2021
AL G93
AL-R83
12 Jan 2020
AL G79
AL-R62
23 Dec 2018
AL G79
AL-R61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Rayyan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
69avg 75
H20/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
63avg 75
H27/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 75
A01/02
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
63avg 75
H06/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 75
A10/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
86avg 75
H13/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 75
A22/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
116-124 OT
116
124
-8
107avg 75
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 75
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A08/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
13-28
21-28
23-13
21-12
24-22
14-26
18-22
27-19
20-20
13-16
23-18
20-26
17-23
16-24
18-24
17-17
16-25
17-20
16-19
20-24
19-17
21-11
27-18
17-26
26-21
20-32
20-19
27-16
23-18
26-30
15-27
23-25
19-26
21-18
24-17
24-19
25-32
18-19
17-25
173.5Avg total
83.6Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.5100.8193.2-8.225%
Season at home (2)101.5105.0206.5-3.550%
Season away (2)83.596.5180.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)83.689.9173.5-6.330%
Last 5 (5)91.494.6186.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)80.092.6172.6-12.66%
vs Similar (5)90.881.4172.2+9.4100%
vs Weaker (8)85.476.4161.8+9.075%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
78avg 84
A06/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
71avg 84
A10/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 84
H17/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
88-66
88
66
+22
81avg 84
A20/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
63avg 84
H05/04
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
65avg 84
A07/04
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
97-86
97
86
+11
90avg 84
H20/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 84
H27/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
92-65
92
65
+27
91avg 84
H30/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
86avg 84
A05/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
24-21
25-16
27-19
20-23
15-26
13-9
32-17
23-16
19-24
22-22
23-17
23-15
21-22
27-11
17-18
16-25
21-25
20-19
21-12
25-25
15-22
21-25
25-20
24-18
31-27
18-21
24-20
27-22
20-11
25-16
19-22
24-19
24-19
22-13
22-14
23-23
33-18
19-14
19-26
165.7Avg total
88.7Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.575.8169.2+17.8100%
Season at home (3)93.374.0167.3+19.3100%
Season away (1)94.081.0175.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.777.0165.7+11.780%
Last 5 (5)92.079.0171.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.878.8156.5-1.050%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.776.3168.1+15.481%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
Al GharafaAl-Rayyan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H20/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H27/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A01/02
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H06/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H13/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A08/11
QBL
86.3Avg total
42.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.783.9-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.144.584.6-4.421%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.183.4+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.086.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)44.644.889.4-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.043.283.2-3.218%-
vs Similar (5)44.442.286.6+2.260%-
vs Weaker (8)41.941.983.8+0.050%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A10/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H17/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H05/04
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A07/04
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H20/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H27/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H30/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A05/11
QBL
86.5Avg total
44.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.537.481.9+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.536.581.9+9.076%-
Last 30 away (13)43.238.681.8+4.669%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.986.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.240.890.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.035.271.2+0.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.837.783.5+8.181%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.2
50.0%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.7
33.9%
33.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.216.3
67.4%
73.4%16.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.1
53.8%
54.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.5
35.0%
33.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.310.3
59.5%
73.4%10.3
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
LWLLWLLWLL
Al-Rayyan
WWWWLLWWWW
#7
League position
#2
-7.3
Net rating
+14.7
102.4
Offensive rating
115.1
109.7
Defensive rating
100.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
13.1%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.9%
3-point %
35.0%
51.2%
Assist %
51.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 115.1Defence109.7 · 100.5Shooting50.3% · 53.3%3-point %33.9% · 35.0%Ball care18.4% · 13.1%Off. rebounds26.3% · 34.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al-Rayyan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Gharafa wins
6
Al-Rayyan wins
DateGameScore
20/01/25Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan82-93
12/12/24Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa122-85
24/12/23Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan80-89 OT
11/11/23Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa88-79
04/05/23Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa85-68
01/03/23Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan56-68
14/02/22Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan120-68
16/11/21Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa73-83
09/01/21Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan93-83
13/12/20Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa63-105
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AAl Arabi84-95
01/11/25HAl Khor87-86
25/10/25HAl Shamal116-124 OT
22/10/25AAl Ahli83-98
13/03/25HAl Khor87-70
10/03/25AAl Ahli66-81
06/03/25HAl Arabi71-97
01/02/25AQatar Sports83-73
27/01/25HAl Shamal77-82
20/01/25HAl-Rayyan82-93
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25AAl Khor94-81
30/10/25HAl Shamal92-65
27/10/25HAl Ahli91-71
20/10/25HQatar Sports97-86
07/04/25AAl Arabi86-92
05/04/25HAl Arabi78-81
20/03/25AAl Ahli88-66
17/03/25HAl Ahli87-79
10/03/25AAl Arabi80-75
06/03/25AAl Wakrah94-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game92.5101.583.5
Allowed / game100.8105.096.5
Point differential-8.2-3.5-13.0
Avg total193.2206.5180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Al-Rayyan
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.593.394.0
Allowed / game75.874.081.0
Point differential+17.8+19.3+13.0
Avg total169.2167.3175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi440100%104.884.0+20.8
2 Al-Rayyan440100%93.575.8+17.8
3 Al Wakrah43175%77.576.8+0.8
4 Al Shamal53260%88.686.6+2.0
5 Al Sadd53260%86.485.2+1.2
6 Al Ahli52340%84.882.6+2.2
7 Al Gharafa41325%92.5100.8-8.2
8 Al Khor4040%79.093.2-14.2
9 Qatar Sports5050%82.6101.4-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Gharafa1624232790
Al-Rayyan30292918106
← all games of the day
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