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Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-82
21-12 24-22 14-26 18-22
Position#6
Record3-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#4
Record6-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game87.7
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al Shamal
25 Oct 2025
AL G116
AL S124
27 Jan 2025
AL G77
AL S82
16 Dec 2023
AL G98
AL S89
31 Oct 2023
AL G79
AL S78
09 Mar 2023
AL G72
AL S118
07 Feb 2022
AL G88
AL S66
24 Jan 2021
AL G89
AL S71
14 Jan 2021
AL G78
AL S58
02 Jan 2021
AL G82
AL S77
14 Mar 2020
AL G70
AL S81
21 Dec 2019
AL G89
AL S85
05 Feb 2019
AL G67
AL S82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Shamal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 74
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
85-122
85
122
-37
73avg 74
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 74
A21/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 74
H25/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
90-83
90
83
+7
81avg 74
A29/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 74
H01/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 74
A06/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
86avg 74
A09/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
91-79
91
79
+12
80avg 74
A13/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
69avg 74
H20/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
16-22
32-18
17-28
13-31
27-25
20-30
25-36
23-21
18-20
9-22
28-21
20-20
11-30
23-13
22-16
23-21
30-25
15-13
22-24
11-26
27-15
22-24
22-25
21-17
28-18
19-18
26-14
24-19
17-22
23-22
20-21
28-18
20-25
21-22
22-14
25-24
13-28
21-28
23-13
175.8Avg total
86.3Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.090.0175.0-5.027%
Season at home (5)78.889.6168.4-10.80%
Season away (6)90.290.3180.5-0.250%
Last 10 (10)86.389.5175.8-3.230%
Last 5 (5)90.487.2177.6+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.591.6168.1-15.17%
vs Similar (9)80.477.4157.9+3.078%
vs Weaker (7)86.774.4161.1+12.371%
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al ShamalQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShamal
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 74
A14/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 74
A17/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 74
H21/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
92-82
92
82
+10
88avg 74
H25/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
61avg 74
H28/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
99-101 OT
99
101
-2
88avg 74
A31/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
94-76
94
76
+18
87avg 74
H06/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
74avg 74
H11/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
80avg 74
H18/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
94-89
94
89
+5
92avg 74
H23/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
14-21
21-21
19-19
17-23
27-27
22-9
21-24
21-23
20-18
22-9
21-28
19-19
25-19
19-23
29-21
17-12
12-13
21-26
19-17
16-19
20-23
23-12
25-30
23-18
17-25
25-17
29-16
25-26
17-34
24-23
17-20
22-27
17-30
28-24
17-17
25-26
19-19
28-25
22-19
171.5Avg total
86.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.887.7173.5-1.955%
Season at home (7)85.784.9170.6+0.971%
Season away (4)86.092.8178.8-6.825%
Last 10 (10)86.185.4171.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)90.893.4184.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.996.7172.5-20.813%
vs Similar (9)80.284.3164.6-4.122%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.279.7166.8+7.5100%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Al GharafaAl Shamal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H25/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A29/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A13/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H20/01
QBL
86.2Avg total
41.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.879.4-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.443.681.0-6.129%-
Last 30 away (16)39.738.478.1+1.344%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.086.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.485.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.243.579.7-7.37%-
vs Similar (9)40.138.778.8+1.456%-
vs Weaker (7)41.638.179.7+3.471%-
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al ShamalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A14/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H28/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A31/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H11/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H18/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/01
QBL
83.1Avg total
39.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.144.782.8-6.620%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.644.682.2-6.924%-
Last 30 away (13)38.744.883.5-6.115%-
Last 10 (10)39.443.783.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.249.489.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.348.985.3-12.60%-
vs Similar (9)38.440.178.6-1.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.040.882.8+1.233%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.724.9
51.1%
51.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.8
29.6%
31.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.9
68.3%
68.2%14.9
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Shamaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Shamal: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.8
50.2%
51.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
31.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.014.3
65.0%
68.2%14.3
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
LWLWLWLLLL
Al Shamal
WLLWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#4
-4.8
Net rating
+1.6
102.3
Offensive rating
108.1
107.1
Defensive rating
106.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.6%
3-point %
33.3%
47.9%
Assist %
57.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 108.1Defence107.1 · 106.5Shooting49.0% · 50.1%3-point %29.6% · 33.3%Ball care17.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.5% · 35.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al Shamal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Gharafa wins
4
Al Shamal wins
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HAl-Rayyan82-93
13/01/25AAl Wakrah91-79
09/01/25AAl Sadd103-107 OT
06/01/25AAl Khor94-67
01/01/25HAl Ahli82-90
29/12/24AAl Arabi90-83
25/12/24HQatar Sports76-79
21/12/24AAl Shamal78-84
12/12/24AAl-Rayyan85-122
09/12/24HAl Wakrah82-91
Al Shamallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HQatar Sports94-89
18/01/25HAl Arabi84-98
11/01/25HAl-Rayyan83-103
06/01/25HAl Wakrah94-76
31/12/24AAl Sadd99-101 OT
28/12/24HAl Khor69-68
25/12/24HAl Ahli92-82
21/12/24HAl Gharafa84-78
17/12/24AQatar Sports87-83
14/12/24AAl Arabi75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%0%50%
Points / game85.078.890.2
Allowed / game90.089.690.3
Point differential-5.0-10.8-0.2
Avg total175.0168.4180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Al Shamal
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%71%25%
Points / game85.885.786.0
Allowed / game87.784.992.8
Point differential-1.9+0.9-6.8
Avg total173.5170.6178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1210283%96.776.2+20.5
2 Al Arabi107370%81.878.1+3.7
3 Al Sadd128467%86.983.1+3.8
4 Al Ahli128467%80.279.4+0.8
5 Al Shamal116555%85.887.7-1.9
6 Qatar Sports114736%80.585.4-4.8
7 Al Gharafa113827%85.090.0-5.0
8 Al Wakrah123925%76.385.5-9.2
9 Al Khor112918%66.375.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Gharafa2124141877
Al Shamal1222262282
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