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Al-Rayyan vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 87-79
23-16 19-24 22-22 23-17
Position#1
Record14-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game74.8
Al-Rayyan 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli
Qatar
Position#5
Record10-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.3
QatarQBLQBL - Semi-finals· Ahmed bin Ali Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli
23 Mar 2026
AL-R93
AL A69
27 Oct 2025
AL-R91
AL A71
17 Mar 2025
AL-R87
AL A79
25 Jan 2025
AL-R78
AL A84
09 Jan 2024
AL-R84
AL A89
02 Jan 2024
AL-R69
AL A77
17 May 2023
AL-R77
AL A74
05 Dec 2021
AL-R91
AL A111
06 Dec 2020
AL-R94
AL A99
31 Dec 2019
AL-R88
AL A75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Rayyan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
W
112-80
112
80
+32
112avg 86
H29/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
55avg 86
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
103-83
103
83
+20
96avg 86
A11/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
107-81
107
81
+26
100avg 86
H15/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 86
A20/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
65avg 86
H25/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
83-55
83
55
+28
78avg 86
H30/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
81avg 86
H03/03
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
78avg 86
A06/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
71avg 86
A10/03
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-27
24-11
25-17
26-25
23-21
12-16
19-23
24-19
26-25
34-17
23-24
20-17
33-23
20-16
23-21
31-21
24-25
28-13
28-21
13-23
17-17
22-15
16-23
19-19
21-6
21-11
23-24
18-14
26-14
22-20
9-23
25-22
18-18
24-21
25-16
27-19
20-23
15-26
13-9
32-17
168.2Avg total
91.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.774.8168.5+18.988%
Season at home (8)96.678.2174.9+18.475%
Season away (8)90.871.4162.1+19.4100%
Last 10 (10)91.077.2168.2+13.880%
Last 5 (5)83.473.4156.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.779.1154.9-3.443%
vs Similar (1)84.089.0173.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.974.8165.7+16.077%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Hala
#8
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
H28/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A03/03
WASL
Ohod
#9
W
127-54
127
54
+73
133avg 79
A03/03
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
94avg 79
A05/03
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
W
91-87
91
87
+4
79avg 79
A07/03
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
A08/03
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
81-66
81
66
+15
66avg 79
H10/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
no box
H12/03
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
63avg 79
H13/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 79
H15/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-10
29-21
27-17
21-33
16-18
30-18
12-19
11-20
36-9
31-22
32-13
28-10
29-15
22-19
25-22
19-22
19-21
17-24
26-13
29-29
14-19
22-20
19-13
12-18
17-17
25-16
20-17
19-16
16-12
30-9
20-18
13-15
19-26
29-15
17-24
17-23
21-23
20-16
15-24
19-13
160.2Avg total
87.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.278.3158.6+1.962%
Season at home (8)78.577.6156.1+0.950%
Season away (8)82.079.0161.0+3.075%
Last 10 (10)87.372.9160.2+14.460%
Last 5 (5)76.870.8147.6+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.582.7157.2-8.233%
vs Similar (7)79.984.7164.6-4.914%
vs Weaker (17)90.169.2159.4+20.988%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
Al-RayyanAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H29/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A11/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H15/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A20/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H25/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
42-17
42
17
+25
H30/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/03
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A10/03
QBL
83.2Avg total
46.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.336.479.7+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.534.378.8+10.269%-
Last 30 away (14)41.938.880.7+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)46.736.583.2+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.275.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.036.772.7-0.729%-
vs Similar (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.536.481.9+9.077%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Hala
#8
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H28/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A03/03
WASL
Ohod
#9
W
67-31
67
31
+36
A03/03
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/03
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A07/03
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/03
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H10/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H12/03
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/03
Premier League
82.2Avg total
47.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.536.679.1+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.837.079.8+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)42.136.378.4+5.967%-
Last 10 (10)47.235.082.2+12.280%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.677.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.239.575.7-3.317%-
vs Similar (7)41.041.682.6-0.671%-
vs Weaker (17)45.333.678.9+11.782%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.9
57.3%
51.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.012.0
33.3%
31.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.310.6
65.0%
68.2%10.6
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.8
55.6%
51.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.5
33.9%
31.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
68.2%14.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Rayyan
WWWWLWWWLW
Al Ahli
LLWWLWWWLW
#1
League position
#5
+17.9
Net rating
+19.7
113.8
Offensive rating
113.8
96.0
Defensive rating
94.1
53.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
13.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.3%
3-point %
33.9%
49.9%
Assist %
54.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 113.8Defence96.0 · 94.1Shooting53.8% · 53.9%3-point %33.3% · 33.9%Ball care13.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds29.4% · 31.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Al-Rayyan   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al-Rayyan wins
6
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli78-84 OT
16/12/24Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan74-83
09/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli84-89
02/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli69-77
19/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan73-65
14/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan88-98
17/05/23Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli77-74
05/04/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan54-96
05/02/22Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan99-79
05/12/21Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli91-111
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25AAl Arabi80-75
06/03/25AAl Wakrah94-74
03/03/25HAl Sadd82-79
30/01/25HAl Khor83-55
25/01/25HAl Ahli78-84 OT
20/01/25AAl Gharafa93-82
15/01/25HQatar Sports107-81
11/01/25AAl Shamal103-83
01/01/25HAl Arabi78-79
29/12/24HAl Wakrah112-80
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HAl Ittihad75-76
13/03/25HAl Arabi82-88
12/03/25HAl Ittihad79-54
10/03/25HAl Gharafa81-66
08/03/25AAl Muharraq67-70
07/03/25AAl Nasr91-87
05/03/25AQatar Sports95-78
03/03/25AOhod127-54
03/03/25AAl Manama69-75
28/02/25HAl Hala107-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Rayyan
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game93.796.690.8
Allowed / game74.878.271.4
Point differential+18.9+18.4+19.4
Avg total168.5174.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%62%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game80.278.582.0
Allowed / game78.377.679.0
Point differential+1.9+0.9+3.0
Avg total158.6156.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1614288%93.774.8+18.9
2 Al Arabi1612475%85.978.4+7.5
3 Al Sadd1611569%89.783.6+6.1
4 Al Ahli1610662%80.278.3+1.9
5 Al Shamal169756%87.487.8-0.4
6 Al Gharafa1651131%82.487.1-4.6
7 Qatar Sports1641225%78.887.6-8.8
8 Al Wakrah1641225%77.488.3-10.9
9 Al Khor1631319%68.177.8-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Rayyan2319222387
Al Ahli1624221779
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