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Al Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-93
25-24 13-28 21-28 23-13
Position#6
Record3-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game89.7
Al Gharafa
Qatar
vs
Al-Rayyan 🏆
Qatar
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game74.8
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan
04 Dec 2025
AL G90
AL-R106
20 Jan 2025
AL G82
AL-R93
24 Dec 2023
AL G80
AL-R89
01 Mar 2023
AL G56
AL-R68
14 Feb 2022
AL G120
AL-R68
09 Jan 2021
AL G93
AL-R83
12 Jan 2020
AL G79
AL-R62
23 Dec 2018
AL G79
AL-R61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Rayyan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
56avg 74
H02/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 74
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
85-122
85
122
-37
73avg 74
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 74
A21/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 74
H25/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
90-83
90
83
+7
81avg 74
A29/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 74
H01/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 74
A06/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
86avg 74
A09/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
91-79
91
79
+12
80avg 74
A13/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
14-15
21-25
16-29
17-23
16-22
32-18
17-28
13-31
27-25
20-30
25-36
23-21
18-20
9-22
28-21
20-20
11-30
23-13
22-16
23-21
30-25
15-13
22-24
11-26
27-15
22-24
22-25
21-17
28-18
19-18
26-14
24-19
17-22
23-22
20-21
28-18
20-25
21-22
22-14
175.0Avg total
85.3Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.389.7175.0-4.430%
Season at home (4)78.088.8166.8-10.80%
Season away (6)90.290.3180.5-0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.389.7175.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)92.085.2177.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.591.0166.5-15.57%
vs Similar (9)80.477.4157.9+3.078%
vs Weaker (7)86.774.4161.1+12.371%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#4
W
111-83
111
83
+28
101avg 86
H05/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
106-64
106
64
+42
104avg 86
A09/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
122-85
122
85
+37
114avg 86
H12/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
72avg 86
A16/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
89-55
89
55
+34
89avg 86
A23/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
78-64
78
64
+14
69avg 86
A26/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
112-80
112
80
+32
112avg 86
H29/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
55avg 86
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
103-83
103
83
+20
96avg 86
A11/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
107-81
107
81
+26
100avg 86
H15/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
25-22
35-13
22-28
26-19
22-11
35-17
23-17
31-13
25-27
30-20
36-25
21-18
19-18
25-23
18-15
17-19
25-9
23-5
24-22
19-10
17-25
22-15
20-14
37-27
24-11
25-17
26-25
23-21
12-16
19-23
24-19
26-25
34-17
23-24
20-17
33-23
20-16
23-21
31-21
173.7Avg total
98.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)98.974.8173.7+24.190%
Season at home (5)106.081.6187.6+24.480%
Season away (5)91.868.0159.8+23.8100%
Last 10 (10)98.974.8173.7+24.190%
Last 5 (5)95.677.4173.0+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.078.3150.3-6.330%
vs Similar (1)84.089.0173.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.674.2164.8+16.474%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +8.2+8.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +8.2+8.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
Al GharafaAl-Rayyan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H25/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A29/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A13/01
QBL
84.8Avg total
40.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.378.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.442.980.3-5.531%-
Last 30 away (17)39.638.377.9+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.984.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.287.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.242.478.6-6.214%-
vs Similar (9)40.138.778.8+1.456%-
vs Weaker (7)41.638.179.7+3.471%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H05/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A09/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H12/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A23/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A26/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
H29/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A11/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H15/01
QBL
85.2Avg total
48.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.878.1+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.536.278.7+6.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.137.377.4+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)48.536.785.2+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)49.038.287.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.537.070.5-3.530%-
vs Similar (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.136.881.9+8.374%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.024.4
49.8%
51.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.1
30.7%
31.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.0
69.0%
68.2%14.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 98.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.823.6
62.4%
51.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.413.8
34.2%
31.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws13.19.5
72.5%
68.2%9.5
They take 78.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
WLWLWLLLLL
Al-Rayyan
WWLWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
-6.3
Net rating
+30.1
101.1
Offensive rating
123.5
107.4
Defensive rating
93.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
10.7%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.17
30.7%
3-point %
34.2%
47.9%
Assist %
53.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 123.5Defence107.4 · 93.4Shooting48.6% · 56.6%3-point %30.7% · 34.2%Ball care17.9% · 10.7%Off. rebounds29.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al-Rayyan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Gharafa wins
5
Al-Rayyan wins
DateGameScore
12/12/24Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa122-85
24/12/23Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan80-89 OT
11/11/23Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa88-79
04/05/23Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa85-68
01/03/23Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan56-68
14/02/22Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan120-68
16/11/21Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa73-83
09/01/21Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan93-83
13/12/20Al-Rayyan v Al Gharafa63-105
12/01/20Al Gharafa v Al-Rayyan79-62
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25AAl Wakrah91-79
09/01/25AAl Sadd103-107 OT
06/01/25AAl Khor94-67
01/01/25HAl Ahli82-90
29/12/24AAl Arabi90-83
25/12/24HQatar Sports76-79
21/12/24AAl Shamal78-84
12/12/24AAl-Rayyan85-122
09/12/24HAl Wakrah82-91
02/12/24HAl Sadd72-95
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HQatar Sports107-81
11/01/25AAl Shamal103-83
01/01/25HAl Arabi78-79
29/12/24HAl Wakrah112-80
26/12/24AAl Sadd78-64
23/12/24AAl Khor89-55
16/12/24AAl Ahli83-74
12/12/24HAl Gharafa122-85
09/12/24AQatar Sports106-64
05/12/24HAl Shamal111-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW30%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%0%50%
Points / game85.378.090.2
Allowed / game89.788.890.3
Point differential-4.4-10.8-0.2
Avg total175.0166.8180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
Al-Rayyan
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%80%100%
Points / game98.9106.091.8
Allowed / game74.881.668.0
Point differential+24.1+24.4+23.8
Avg total173.7187.6159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%80%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan109190%98.974.8+24.1
2 Al Sadd108280%88.782.9+5.8
3 Al Arabi96367%80.677.6+3.0
4 Al Ahli106460%80.280.7-0.5
5 Al Shamal105550%85.087.6-2.6
6 Qatar Sports104640%79.784.5-4.8
7 Al Gharafa103730%85.389.7-4.4
8 Al Wakrah102820%76.988.6-11.7
9 Al Khor91811%65.775.2-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Gharafa2513212382
Al-Rayyan2428281393
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