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Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:10
Final 107-103 (OT)
19-24 22-17 22-23 21-20 23-19
Position#3
Record6-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.0
Al Sadd 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Gharafa
Qatar
Position#6
Record2-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game88.9
QatarQBL
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Sadd v Al Gharafa
25 Dec 2025
AL S98
AL G77
09 Jan 2025
AL S107
AL G103
02 Jan 2024
AL S96
AL G98
14 Apr 2023
AL S87
AL G89
15 Mar 2022
AL S82
AL G62
04 Dec 2021
AL S81
AL G73
23 Dec 2020
AL S57
AL G65
27 Feb 2020
AL S58
AL G84
29 Jan 2019
AL S78
AL G76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Sadd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
A06/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
78avg 82
A13/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
95-72
95
72
+23
97avg 82
A02/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 82
H07/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
72-66
72
66
+6
68avg 82
A11/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
67avg 82
A17/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
90avg 82
A23/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
64-78
64
78
-14
62avg 82
H26/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
97avg 82
H31/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
93-91
93
91
+2
94avg 82
H04/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
25-21
15-22
15-24
22-12
15-17
23-27
28-18
26-21
15-14
25-21
29-16
18-26
21-6
22-22
26-24
22-15
12-17
21-13
17-21
14-26
25-14
19-17
16-24
22-19
22-19
22-16
20-21
10-19
25-17
15-22
14-20
19-16
23-20
12-23
30-25
26-25
23-14
20-35
24-17
163.5Avg total
83.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.080.0164.0+4.075%
Season at home (4)86.286.5172.8-0.275%
Season away (4)81.873.5155.2+8.275%
Last 10 (10)83.480.1163.5+3.370%
Last 5 (5)83.684.8168.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.482.3153.7-10.920%
vs Similar (12)79.480.7160.1-1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.576.6165.1+11.9100%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
A07/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
62-83
62
83
-21
49avg 69
H20/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
56avg 69
H02/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 69
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
85-122
85
122
-37
73avg 69
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 69
A21/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 69
H25/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
90-83
90
83
+7
81avg 69
A29/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 69
H01/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 69
A06/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-8
16-30
26-15
12-14
21-21
12-24
14-24
15-14
21-26
14-15
21-25
16-29
17-23
16-22
32-18
17-28
13-31
27-25
20-30
25-36
23-21
18-20
9-22
28-21
20-20
11-30
23-13
22-16
23-21
30-25
15-13
22-24
11-26
27-15
22-24
22-25
21-17
28-18
19-18
26-14
165.8Avg total
79.7Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.488.9171.2-6.525%
Season at home (4)78.088.8166.8-10.80%
Season away (4)86.889.0175.8-2.250%
Last 10 (10)79.786.1165.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)84.080.6164.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.589.4162.9-15.97%
vs Similar (9)80.477.4157.9+3.078%
vs Weaker (7)85.974.1160.0+11.771%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
Al SaddAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A06/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A13/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H07/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A11/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A23/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H31/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H04/01
QBL
76.2Avg total
40.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.578.3+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.638.174.7-1.533%-
Last 30 away (18)42.038.780.7+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.876.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.879.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.141.076.1-5.920%-
vs Similar (12)41.138.079.1+3.158%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.936.079.9+7.988%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A07/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H25/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A29/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A06/01
QBL
82.9Avg total
39.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.077.9-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.943.180.0-6.329%-
Last 30 away (16)38.837.276.1+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.882.9-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.685.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.442.878.2-7.414%-
vs Similar (9)40.138.778.8+1.456%-
vs Weaker (7)40.036.176.1+3.971%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.4
55.7%
51.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
31.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.510.8
69.7%
68.2%10.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.422.2
47.8%
51.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.8
29.2%
31.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.013.9
69.5%
68.2%13.9
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Sadd
WWLWLWWWWL
Al Gharafa
WLWLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#6
+3.7
Net rating
-8.7
105.0
Offensive rating
98.4
101.3
Defensive rating
107.1
54.3%
Effective FG%
46.5%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
29.2%
64.2%
Assist %
50.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 98.4Defence101.3 · 107.1Shooting54.3% · 46.5%3-point %34.5% · 29.2%Ball care19.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 31.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Al Sadd   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Sadd wins
5
Al Gharafa wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Al Gharafa v Al Sadd72-95
02/01/24Al Sadd v Al Gharafa96-98 OT
25/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd78-75
29/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd75-84
14/04/23Al Sadd v Al Gharafa87-89
22/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd64-83
19/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd83-77
15/03/22Al Sadd v Al Gharafa82-62
10/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd97-92
04/12/21Al Sadd v Al Gharafa81-73
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HQatar Sports93-91
31/12/24HAl Shamal101-99 OT
26/12/24HAl-Rayyan64-78
23/12/24AAl Wakrah86-75
17/12/24AAl Arabi74-81
11/12/24AAl Khor72-66
07/12/24HAl Ahli87-78
02/12/24AAl Gharafa95-72
13/01/24AAl-Rayyan88-74
06/01/24AAl Ahli74-87
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25AAl Khor94-67
01/01/25HAl Ahli82-90
29/12/24AAl Arabi90-83
25/12/24HQatar Sports76-79
21/12/24AAl Shamal78-84
12/12/24AAl-Rayyan85-122
09/12/24HAl Wakrah82-91
02/12/24HAl Sadd72-95
20/01/24HAl Arabi62-83
07/01/24AAl Wakrah76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Sadd
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game84.086.281.8
Allowed / game80.086.573.5
Point differential+4.0-0.2+8.2
Avg total164.0172.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Al Gharafa
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW25%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game82.478.086.8
Allowed / game88.988.889.0
Point differential-6.5-10.8-2.2
Avg total171.2166.8175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan87188%97.473.0+24.4
2 Al Sadd86275%84.080.0+4.0
3 Al Ahli85362%80.278.2+2.0
4 Al Arabi85362%78.476.8+1.6
5 Al Shamal85362%85.484.4+1.0
6 Qatar Sports83538%79.182.6-3.5
7 Al Gharafa82625%82.488.9-6.5
8 Al Wakrah82625%76.689.0-12.4
9 Al Khor81712%64.875.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Al Sadd1922222123107
Al Gharafa2417232019103
← all games of the day
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