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Al Nasr vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-91
21-19 24-17 13-26 29-29
Position#4
Record11-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game82.1
Al Nasr
Saudi Arabia
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
Position#3
Record14-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game71.3
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 17· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Nasr v Al Ahli
07 Mar 2025
AL N87
AL A91
15 Mar 2024
AL N58
AL A73
18 Nov 2022
AL N71
AL A79
21 Jan 2022
AL N93
AL A90
01 Jan 2021
AL N83
AL A73
11 Jan 2019
AL N80
AL A81
18 Apr 2018
AL N73
AL A81
07 Dec 2017
AL N72
AL A64
02 Dec 2016
AL N89
AL A93
02 Jan 2016
AL N88
AL A86
25 Apr 2015
AL N71
AL A72
18 Apr 2015
AL N91
AL A79
20 Mar 2015
AL N82
AL A77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Nasr winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al Khaleej
#6
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
68avg 72
H16/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
103-113
103
113
-10
85avg 72
A20/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
96-128
96
128
-32
78avg 72
A27/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
92-71
92
71
+21
87avg 72
H30/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 72
A03/01
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 72
A24/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
56avg 72
H27/01
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
108-70
108
70
+38
105avg 72
H31/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
110-78
110
78
+32
105avg 72
A03/02
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
78avg 72
A03/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
26-18
13-17
15-17
12-24
17-31
35-35
39-23
11-21
20-32
30-33
35-42
32-17
19-20
23-8
18-26
21-27
21-25
21-14
21-11
20-22
19-15
20-20
16-20
28-16
21-25
9-27
15-25
30-19
26-17
33-13
19-21
27-22
17-20
28-17
38-19
24-17
24-20
11-19
29-17
176.9Avg total
91.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.282.1175.4+11.169%
Season at home (7)92.475.4167.9+17.086%
Season away (9)93.987.3181.2+6.656%
Last 10 (10)91.385.6176.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)90.878.2169.0+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)84.293.8178.0-9.717%
vs Similar (5)69.679.4149.0-9.820%
vs Weaker (19)94.775.6170.3+19.289%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Najma
#7
L
66-75
66
75
-9
no box
H31/01
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
L
63-68
63
68
-5
49avg 80
H01/02
QBL
Al Manama
#6
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A03/02
WASL
AlUla
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
77avg 80
H03/02
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#11
W
76-57
76
57
+19
no box
A07/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
no box
H10/02
WASL
Al Hala
#8
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
H28/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A03/03
WASL
Ohod
#9
W
127-54
127
54
+73
133avg 80
A03/03
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
94avg 80
A05/03
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
21-23
14-15
17-21
19-13
16-19
21-23
7-13
17-12
19-16
19-14
10-14
23-24
16-18
20-24
21-32
13-23
26-13
21-9
16-12
17-18
26-25
25-23
21-23
30-10
29-21
27-17
21-33
16-18
30-18
12-19
11-20
36-9
31-22
32-13
28-10
29-15
22-19
25-22
19-22
158.7Avg total
84.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)95.871.3167.1+24.488%
Season at home (8)98.675.8174.4+22.988%
Season away (8)92.966.9159.8+26.088%
Last 10 (10)84.574.2158.7+10.350%
Last 5 (5)99.077.6176.6+21.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.690.0170.6-9.440%
vs Similar (8)79.086.2165.2-7.212%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.270.4160.6+19.988%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
Al NasrAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khaleej
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A20/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A27/12
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H30/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A03/01
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A24/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H27/01
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H31/01
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/02
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A03/03
Premier League
86.1Avg total
43.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.882.1+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.234.378.5+9.986%-
Last 30 away (16)42.642.885.3-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.886.1+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.685.8+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.843.882.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (5)35.037.672.6-2.620%-
vs Weaker (19)46.937.584.5+9.484%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Najma
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H31/01
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/02
QBL
Al Manama
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A03/02
WASL
AlUla
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H03/02
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H10/02
WASL
Al Hala
#8
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H28/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A03/03
WASL
Ohod
#9
W
67-31
67
31
+36
A03/03
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/03
QBL
80.2Avg total
45.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.179.3+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.638.480.0+3.250%-
Last 30 away (18)40.937.978.9+3.061%-
Last 10 (10)45.035.280.2+9.870%-
Last 5 (5)53.235.088.2+18.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.444.880.2-9.40%-
vs Similar (8)37.841.579.2-3.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.534.679.1+9.976%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.923.3
49.7%
50.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.1
34.9%
30.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws27.219.3
71.0%
67.8%19.3
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.525.2
55.4%
50.2%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
30.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.2
73.6%
67.8%14.2
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Nasr
WWWLLWWLLW
Al Ahli
WWLWLWLWLL
#4
League position
#3
+12.2
Net rating
+22.7
111.5
Offensive rating
115.5
99.3
Defensive rating
92.8
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.9%
3-point %
35.1%
44.4%
Assist %
54.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 115.5Defence99.3 · 92.8Shooting50.6% · 54.4%3-point %34.9% · 35.1%Ball care15.2% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.2% · 31.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Al Nasr   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Nasr wins
4
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
20/12/24Al Ahli v Al Nasr113-103
15/03/24Al Nasr v Al Ahli58-73
23/12/23Al Ahli v Al Nasr73-89
28/01/23Al Ahli v Al Nasr69-73
18/11/22Al Nasr v Al Ahli71-79
21/01/22Al Nasr v Al Ahli93-90
29/10/21Al Ahli v Al Nasr78-86
12/03/21Al Ahli v Al Nasr68-73
01/01/21Al Nasr v Al Ahli83-73
11/01/19Al Nasr v Al Ahli80-81
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/25AAl Khaleej88-73
03/02/25AAl Safa of Safwa110-78
31/01/25HOhod108-70
27/01/25HAl Ittihad73-93
24/01/25AAl-Fateh75-77
03/01/25AAl Khowildiah84-77
30/12/24HAl Salam92-71
27/12/24AAlUla96-128
20/12/24AAl Ahli103-113
16/12/24HAl Khaleej84-76 OT
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AQatar Sports95-78
03/03/25AOhod127-54
03/03/25AAl Manama69-75
28/02/25HAl Hala107-81
10/02/25HAl Manama97-100 OT
07/02/25AAl Ittihad76-57
03/02/25HAlUla80-98
03/02/25AAl Manama65-56
01/02/25HAl Shamal63-68
31/01/25HAl Najma66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Nasr
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%86%56%
Points / game93.292.493.9
Allowed / game82.175.487.3
Point differential+11.1+17.0+6.6
Avg total175.4167.9181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%71%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Al Ahli
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game95.898.692.9
Allowed / game71.375.866.9
Point differential+24.4+22.9+26.0
Avg total167.1174.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%88%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad1615194%88.967.1+21.8
2 AlUla1614288%100.974.1+26.8
3 Al Ahli1614288%95.871.3+24.4
4 Al Nasr1611569%93.282.1+11.1
5 Al-Fateh167944%78.083.6-5.6
6 Al Salam1661038%77.282.1-4.8
7 Al Khaleej1651131%68.379.1-10.8
8 Al Safa of Safwa1641225%73.087.5-14.5
9 Ohod1631319%73.2101.3-28.1
10 Al Khowildiah161156%67.187.4-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Nasr2124132987
Al Ahli1917262991
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