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Alabama vs Auburn Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#48
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#157
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alabama v Auburn
30 Jan 2027
ALAB v AUBU
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
ALAB96
AUBU84
15 Feb 2025
ALAB85
AUBU94
24 Jan 2024
ALAB79
AUBU75
01 Mar 2023
ALAB90
AUBU85
11 Jan 2022
ALAB77
AUBU81
02 Mar 2021
ALAB70
AUBU58
15 Jan 2020
ALAB83
AUBU64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Auburn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A27/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#228
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-50
45-48
50-31
46-53
41-47
38-33
37-35
53-35
49-25
41-40
49-47
28-43
40-29
56-45
51-34
50-52
56-29
53-39
38-28
44-48
169.9Avg total
90.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season at home (4)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.879.1169.9+11.770%
Last 5 (5)93.078.8171.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.395.3171.7-19.00%
vs Similar (14)91.284.9176.1+6.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.777.9171.6+15.892%
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A08/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H11/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A12/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#296
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H05/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#204
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
40-35
42-51
37-40
37-38
42-47
41-34
47-40
31-50
53-46
30-33
49-28
32-25
30-47
42-25
50-34
38-36
37-17
32-36
37-44
152.7Avg total
78.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.764.0142.7+14.767%
Season at home (3)78.764.0142.7+14.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.274.5152.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)75.465.0140.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.086.0164.0-8.023%
vs Similar (12)83.278.5161.8+4.858%
vs Weaker (5)80.466.2146.6+14.280%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +4.4+4.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +4.4+4.4
AlabamaAuburn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#228
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H10/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H14/11
NCAA
80.9Avg total
45.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.481.3+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.835.482.2+11.480%-
Last 30 away (10)38.041.579.5-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)45.435.580.9+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.480.2+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.044.086.0-2.067%-
vs Similar (14)43.939.683.5+4.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.233.677.8+10.585%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A12/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#296
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H05/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#204
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H14/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.874.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.336.174.3+2.256%-
Last 30 away (12)34.340.374.7-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.772.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.065.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.240.875.9-5.631%-
vs Similar (12)39.236.375.6+2.950%-
vs Weaker (5)34.633.468.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alabama wins
4
Auburn wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Alabama v Auburn96-84
07/02/26Auburn v Alabama92-96
08/03/25Auburn v Alabama91-93 OT
15/02/25Alabama v Auburn85-94
08/02/24Auburn v Alabama99-81
25/01/24Alabama v Auburn79-75
02/03/23Alabama v Auburn90-85 OT
11/02/23Auburn v Alabama69-77
02/02/22Auburn v Alabama100-81
12/01/22Alabama v Auburn77-81
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSeton Hall82-76
10/11/26HOakland109-68
07/11/26HArkansas State101-86
04/11/26HSam Houston St.96-74
27/03/26AMichigan77-90
23/03/26HTexas Tech90-65
20/03/26HHofstra90-70
13/03/26HOle Miss79-80
08/03/26HAuburn96-84
03/03/26AGeorgia88-98
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HArizona69-80
10/11/26HAppalachian State75-53
05/11/26HSE Louisiana92-59
12/03/26ATennessee62-72
11/03/26HMississippi St.79-61
08/03/26AAlabama84-96
04/03/26HLSU88-74
01/03/26HOle Miss79-85
25/02/26AOklahoma79-91
22/02/26HKentucky75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Auburn
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game78.778.7-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+14.7+14.7-
Avg total142.7142.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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