PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alabama vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-52
35-24 43-28
Position#11
Record12-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game71.0
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#86
Record10-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Alabama v Kentucky
03 Jan 2026
ALAB89
KENT74
14 Mar 2025
ALAB99
KENT70
22 Feb 2025
ALAB96
KENT83
07 Jan 2023
ALAB78
KENT52
05 Feb 2022
ALAB55
KENT66
26 Jan 2021
ALAB70
KENT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
H27/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
39-33
30-35
37-47
37-34
40-43
42-35
36-30
27-31
44-34
36-33
55-55
42-47
48-53
33-32
51-32
34-30
44-37
44-23
40-39
159.1Avg total
82.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.371.0154.3+12.386%
Season at home (10)87.173.7160.8+13.480%
Season away (4)73.864.2138.0+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.776.4159.1+6.380%
Last 5 (5)85.476.2161.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.178.3152.4-4.143%
vs Similar (11)79.577.6157.2+1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.870.5154.2+13.292%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#13
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H10/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A29/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H31/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-41
47-47
54-23
42-33
21-21
39-20
37-36
36-33
33-27
36-32
27-35
26-28
42-32
46-36
30-42
45-47
45-30
41-33
42-38
32-33
141.3Avg total
74.6Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.666.5145.1+12.171%
Season at home (11)79.760.7140.5+19.091%
Season away (3)74.787.7162.3-13.00%
Last 10 (10)74.666.7141.3+7.970%
Last 5 (5)75.270.8146.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)64.770.0134.7-5.333%
vs Similar (9)72.172.1144.2+0.044%
vs Weaker (18)81.566.9148.4+14.689%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +4.8+4.8
AlabamaKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H04/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
36.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.572.4+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.933.571.3+4.475%-
Last 30 away (10)37.936.574.4+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.770.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.070.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.637.974.4-1.357%-
vs Similar (11)38.034.772.7+3.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.632.270.8+6.392%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#13
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H10/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A29/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H31/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.732.168.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.730.869.5+7.979%-
Last 30 away (11)33.234.567.6-1.345%-
Last 10 (10)35.632.568.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.472.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.334.362.7-6.033%-
vs Similar (9)33.334.067.3-0.744%-
vs Weaker (18)39.830.870.6+8.983%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alabama wins
3
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
19/02/22Kentucky v Alabama90-81
06/02/22Alabama v Kentucky55-66
27/01/21Alabama v Kentucky70-59
13/01/21Kentucky v Alabama65-85
11/01/20Kentucky v Alabama76-67
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HOle Miss84-62
29/12/22AMississippi St.78-67
21/12/22HJackson State84-64
17/12/22HGonzaga90-100
14/12/22HMemphis91-88
10/12/22AHouston71-65
04/12/22HSouth Dakota St.78-65
27/11/22HNorth Carolina103-101 OT
26/11/22HUconn67-82
25/11/22AMichigan State81-70
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HLSU74-71
31/12/22HLouisville86-63
29/12/22AMissouri75-89
22/12/22HFlorida A&M88-68
17/12/22HUCLA53-63
10/12/22HYale69-59
04/12/22HMichigan73-69
30/11/22HBellarmine60-41
23/11/22HNorth Florida96-56
21/11/22AGonzaga72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game83.387.173.8
Allowed / game71.073.764.2
Point differential+12.3+13.4+9.5
Avg total154.3160.8138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%60%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %7%10%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %71%91%0%
Points / game78.679.774.7
Allowed / game66.560.787.7
Point differential+12.1+19.0-13.0
Avg total145.1140.5162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas1513287%82.365.1+17.1
2 Missouri1513287%87.175.1+12.0
3 Tennessee1412286%74.753.2+21.5
4 Arkansas1412286%77.462.2+15.2
5 Alabama1412286%83.371.0+12.3
6 LSU1412286%71.964.1+7.8
7 Auburn1411379%72.162.8+9.3
8 Georgia1411379%71.664.0+7.6
9 Kentucky1410471%78.666.5+12.1
10 Mississippi St.1410471%65.758.2+7.5
11 Oklahoma149564%68.461.5+6.9
12 Texas A&M149564%75.068.2+6.8
13 Ole Miss148657%68.664.9+3.7
14 Vanderbilt158753%71.668.1+3.5
15 Florida147750%74.266.6+7.6
16 South Carolina147750%65.970.1-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama354378
Kentucky242852
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.