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Kentucky vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 117-95
58-42 59-53
Position#50
Record18-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#67
Record19-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game77.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kentucky v Alabama
18 Jan 2025
KENT97
ALAB102
24 Feb 2024
KENT117
ALAB95
19 Feb 2022
KENT90
ALAB81
12 Jan 2021
KENT65
ALAB85
11 Jan 2020
KENT76
ALAB67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A07/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H10/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A17/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
54-35
51-61
25-33
37-46
24-26
39-31
41-36
43-48
42-46
50-57
54-38
55-39
32-42
53-47
43-29
32-34
39-29
31-30
36-27
38-48
161.8Avg total
82.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.677.3164.9+10.369%
Season at home (18)90.378.0168.3+12.372%
Season away (8)81.575.6157.1+5.962%
Last 10 (10)82.679.2161.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)82.672.6155.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.574.0151.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.382.3163.7-1.044%
vs Weaker (19)88.574.1162.6+14.579%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#345
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/01
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H04/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
81-99
81
99
-18
A08/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
109-92
109
92
+17
A10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
57-41
37-50
34-41
44-30
35-45
50-44
59-44
27-41
58-35
47-24
52-43
41-55
40-44
49-46
60-46
49-35
51-40
37-41
48-44
175.5Avg total
92.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.077.4168.4+13.573%
Season at home (14)95.471.6167.1+23.893%
Season away (12)85.884.2169.9+1.650%
Last 10 (10)92.483.1175.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)97.485.2182.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.088.2168.2-8.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.879.6169.4+10.260%
vs Weaker (16)91.470.2161.6+21.194%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +7.1+7.1
KentuckyAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#197
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A17/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A22/02
NCAA
73.1Avg total
39.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.735.677.3+6.069%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.636.480.0+7.379%-
Last 30 away (10)37.934.272.1+3.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.173.1+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.073.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.338.176.4+0.256%-
vs Weaker (18)44.034.478.4+9.678%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#345
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/01
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H04/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A08/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/02
NCAA
81.7Avg total
41.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.535.578.0+7.070%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.331.274.6+12.183%-
Last 30 away (12)41.241.883.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.081.7+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.284.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.543.286.8+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.136.778.8+5.450%-
vs Weaker (16)42.532.875.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kentucky wins
3
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Alabama v Kentucky78-52
19/02/22Kentucky v Alabama90-81
06/02/22Alabama v Kentucky55-66
27/01/21Alabama v Kentucky70-59
13/01/21Kentucky v Alabama65-85
11/01/20Kentucky v Alabama76-67
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24ALSU74-75
17/02/24AAuburn70-59
14/02/24HOle Miss75-63
10/02/24HGonzaga85-89
07/02/24AVanderbilt109-77
04/02/24HTennessee92-103
01/02/24HFlorida91-94 OT
27/01/24AArkansas63-57
24/01/24ASouth Carolina62-79
20/01/24HGeorgia105-96
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HFlorida98-93 OT
17/02/24HTexas A&M100-75
10/02/24ALSU109-92
08/02/24AAuburn81-99
04/02/24HMississippi St.99-67
31/01/24AGeorgia85-76
28/01/24HLSU109-88
25/01/24HAuburn79-75
20/01/24ATennessee71-91
17/01/24HMissouri93-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWLLLW72%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %69%72%62%
Points / game87.690.381.5
Allowed / game77.378.075.6
Point differential+10.3+12.3+5.9
Avg total164.9168.3157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %73%93%50%
Points / game91.095.485.8
Allowed / game77.471.684.2
Point differential+13.5+23.8+1.6
Avg total168.4167.1169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%79%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2722581%71.865.1+6.6
2 Auburn2620677%82.267.0+15.2
3 Tennessee2620677%80.067.2+12.9
4 Alabama2619773%91.077.4+13.5
5 Florida2719870%84.877.1+7.6
6 Ole Miss2719870%75.172.2+3.0
7 Kentucky2618869%87.677.3+10.3
8 Oklahoma2618869%75.966.6+9.3
9 Mississippi St.2618869%74.567.5+7.0
10 Texas2617965%75.767.9+7.8
11 Texas A&M26151158%74.169.8+4.3
12 Georgia26151158%76.174.0+2.1
13 LSU26141254%77.274.3+2.9
14 Arkansas27141352%75.777.7-2.0
15 Missouri2781930%72.074.9-2.9
16 Vanderbilt2772026%66.174.4-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky5859117
Alabama425395
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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