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Alabama vs Missouri Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-64
42-29 48-35
Position#48
Record13-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#111
Record14-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alabama v Missouri
27 Jan 2026
ALAB90
MISS64
16 Jan 2024
ALAB93
MISS75
11 Mar 2023
ALAB72
MISS61
22 Jan 2022
ALAB86
MISS76
18 Jan 2020
ALAB88
MISS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
75-96
75
96
-21
H14/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H21/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
102-78
102
78
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A14/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-39
34-57
46-39
58-54
54-28
38-53
55-31
47-47
50-34
39-40
43-43
47-53
45-46
43-46
36-34
61-48
33-44
50-37
39-36
34-43
174.5Avg total
89.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)92.182.4174.4+9.768%
Season at home (14)91.980.3172.1+11.664%
Season away (5)92.688.2180.8+4.480%
Last 10 (10)89.385.2174.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)86.286.0172.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.493.7177.1-10.329%
vs Similar (17)91.182.8173.9+8.271%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)102.770.0172.7+32.7100%
This opponent (Missouri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#330
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
48-91
48
91
-43
A23/12
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A10/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H15/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-39
33-38
39-25
43-35
25-41
23-50
39-39
37-35
33-32
40-36
36-37
33-39
38-34
46-40
27-37
43-41
26-29
46-45
36-37
45-44
150.6Avg total
74.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.073.0154.1+8.070%
Season at home (13)87.871.1158.9+16.892%
Season away (7)68.476.6145.0-8.129%
Last 10 (10)74.775.9150.6-1.260%
Last 5 (5)76.677.8154.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.080.2153.2-7.240%
vs Similar (12)79.878.0157.8+1.858%
vs Weaker (13)89.675.2164.8+14.569%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -1.4-1.4
AlabamaMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H14/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H21/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A08/01
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
NCAA
81.6Avg total
44.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.237.282.4+8.070%-
Last 30 at home (21)46.735.081.7+11.681%-
Last 30 away (9)41.742.283.9-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.481.6+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.643.184.7-1.629%-
vs Similar (17)45.437.682.9+7.876%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.829.278.0+19.7100%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#330
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H12/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A23/12
NCAA
Florida
#28
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H15/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H21/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/01
NCAA
70.1Avg total
35.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.175.7+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.435.177.5+7.367%-
Last 30 away (12)35.537.573.0-2.042%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.070.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.867.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.837.070.8-3.220%-
vs Similar (12)36.136.072.1+0.142%-
vs Weaker (13)45.235.880.9+9.485%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alabama wins
4
Missouri wins
DateGameScore
20/02/25Missouri v Alabama110-98
17/01/24Alabama v Missouri93-75
11/03/23Alabama v Missouri72-61
21/01/23Missouri v Alabama64-85
22/01/22Alabama v Missouri86-76
08/01/22Missouri v Alabama92-86
06/02/21Missouri v Alabama68-65
07/03/20Missouri v Alabama69-50
18/01/20Alabama v Missouri88-74
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HTennessee73-79
17/01/26AOklahoma83-81
14/01/26AMississippi St.97-82
11/01/26HTexas88-92
08/01/26AVanderbilt90-96
03/01/26HKentucky89-74
30/12/25HYale102-78
21/12/25HKennesaw State92-81
18/12/25HSouth Florida104-93
14/12/25HArizona75-96
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HOklahoma88-87 OT
21/01/26HGeorgia72-74
17/01/26ALSU70-78
15/01/26HAuburn84-74
10/01/26AOle Miss69-76
08/01/26AKentucky73-68
04/01/26HFlorida76-74
23/12/25AIllinois48-91
14/12/25HBethune-Cookman82-60
12/12/25HAlabama State85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL68%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %68%64%80%
Points / game92.191.992.6
Allowed / game82.480.388.2
Point differential+9.7+11.6+4.4
Avg total174.4172.1180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW70%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %70%92%29%
Points / game81.087.868.4
Allowed / game73.071.176.6
Point differential+8.1+16.8-8.1
Avg total154.1158.9145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2017385%90.174.0+16.1
2 Georgia2016480%93.576.5+16.9
3 Texas A&M2016480%91.876.7+15.1
4 Arkansas2116576%89.377.2+12.0
5 Florida2014670%85.272.2+12.9
6 Kentucky2014670%82.570.3+12.2
7 Missouri2014670%81.073.0+8.1
8 Tennessee1913668%82.269.0+13.2
9 Alabama1913668%92.182.4+9.7
10 LSU2013765%83.273.5+9.8
11 Auburn2013765%85.077.5+7.5
12 Texas2012860%86.074.5+11.5
13 South Carolina2011955%78.373.0+5.3
14 Ole Miss2011955%74.871.2+3.6
15 Mississippi St.2011955%78.577.7+0.8
16 Oklahoma21111052%83.576.2+7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama424890
Missouri293564
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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