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Alba Berlin vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-70
18-19 9-16 30-18 27-17
Position#14
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game83.5
Alba Berlin 🏆
vs
Fenerbahce
Position#13
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3
European cup2021
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce
17 Oct 2024
ABE71
FEN78
22 Dec 2023
ABE82
FEN91
08 Dec 2022
ABE75
FEN104
12 Oct 2021
ABE84
FEN70
10 Dec 2020
ABE89
FEN63
09 Dec 2008
ABE72
FEN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 78
H09/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
60avg 78
H10/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
81-69
81
69
+12
78avg 78
A12/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 78
A13/06
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
79avg 78
H23/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
101-63
101
63
+38
107avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
47avg 78
A01/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#11
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H03/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
67-71
67
71
-4
51avg 78
H08/10
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
62-74
62
74
-12
59avg 78
A10/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-22
23-19
21-27
7-20
19-15
24-17
16-24
19-18
18-19
22-19
22-13
21-9
17-21
20-22
28-27
25-12
23-29
24-28
14-19
27-15
23-15
26-14
25-19
15-28
14-22
17-13
18-33
14-17
17-21
19-19
20-13
18-13
13-21
12-15
24-22
15-17
18-28
20-13
9-16
156.7Avg total
78.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.583.5149.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)67.071.0138.0-4.00%
Season away (1)64.096.0160.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)78.578.2156.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.476.8152.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.093.0168.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.273.8152.0+4.562%
vs Weaker (19)86.878.0164.8+8.874%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
72avg 78
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 78
A21/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 78
A23/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
61avg 78
H28/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
W
75-65
75
65
+10
no box
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
61-57
61
57
+4
57avg 78
H01/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#13
W
71-63
71
63
+8
73avg 78
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#16
L
87-91
87
91
-4
85avg 78
A07/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
71avg 78
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
19-20
28-20
15-22
23-28
21-25
22-11
10-28
25-23
17-27
13-10
12-18
24-17
15-27
11-27
18-14
21-12
20-23
23-27
20-26
20-13
20-13
15-18
20-21
18-15
10-11
17-11
16-20
18-17
14-18
23-10
16-18
21-20
25-25
21-19
20-27
19-24
19-12
20-18
21-24
152.4Avg total
74.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.074.0148.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)61.057.0118.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)87.091.0178.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)74.577.9152.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)74.670.8145.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.688.4167.0-9.929%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.773.3153.0+6.470%
vs Weaker (13)82.276.2158.4+5.969%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -5.0-5.0
Alba BerlinFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H10/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/06
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H23/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H28/09
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A01/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H03/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H08/10
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A10/10
BBL
74.8Avg total
36.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.380.5+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.177.3+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)43.140.583.6+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.074.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.474.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.046.087.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.936.676.5+3.250%-
vs Weaker (19)43.938.282.1+5.768%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A21/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A23/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#5
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H01/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A07/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.4Avg total
38.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.180.5+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.182.0+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.038.179.1+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.077.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.670.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.348.992.1-5.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.434.374.7+6.180%-
vs Weaker (13)41.337.578.8+3.877%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.2
50.7%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
35.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.413.7
78.7%
77.2%13.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.4
54.4%
52.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.8
35.2%
35.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
77.2%12.3
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWLWLWWLW
Fenerbahce
WLWWWLLLLL
#14
League position
#13
+0.3
Net rating
-5.2
105.5
Offensive rating
103.9
105.2
Defensive rating
109.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
35.2%
59.6%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 103.9Defence105.2 · 109.2Shooting49.8% · 53.9%3-point %32.5% · 35.2%Ball care19.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds37.1% · 23.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
2
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
19/02/21Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin89-84
10/12/20Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce89-63
09/12/08Alba Berlin v Fenerbahce72-63
30/10/08Fenerbahce v Alba Berlin82-73
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/21ALudwigsburg62-74
08/10/21HLyon-Villeurbanne67-71
03/10/21HBonn83-80 OT
01/10/21ABarcelona64-96
28/09/21HFrankfurt101-63
23/09/21HBonn86-88
13/06/21ABayern86-79
12/06/21ABayern81-69
10/06/21HBayern66-76
09/06/21HBayern89-86
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/21ABahcesehir Kol.79-78
07/10/21APanathinaikos87-91
03/10/21HPetkim Spor71-63
01/10/21HCrvena zvezda61-57
26/09/21ADarussafaka75-65
07/05/21HAnadolu Efes84-88
28/04/21HCSKA Moscow68-85
23/04/21ACSKA Moscow67-78
21/04/21ACSKA Moscow76-92
11/04/21ABursaspor77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.567.064.0
Allowed / game83.571.096.0
Point differential-18.0-4.0-32.0
Avg total149.0138.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.061.087.0
Allowed / game74.057.091.0
Point differential+0.0+4.0-4.0
Avg total148.0118.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona220100%88.068.0+20.0
2 Olympiacos220100%74.559.0+15.5
3 Olimpia Milano220100%81.069.0+12.0
4 Monaco220100%81.571.5+10.0
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne220100%79.571.5+8.0
6 CSKA Moscow32167%83.782.3+1.3
7 Zenit Petersburg32167%69.070.0-1.0
8 Crvena zvezda21150%66.062.0+4.0
9 Real Madrid21150%75.071.5+3.5
10 Fenerbahce21150%74.074.0+0.0
11 Panathinaikos21150%77.081.0-4.0
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%66.071.5-5.5
13 Unics Kazan31233%74.076.0-2.0
14 Bayern3030%70.074.0-4.0
15 Anadolu Efes2020%82.591.0-8.5
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2020%70.079.0-9.0
17 Alba Berlin2020%65.583.5-18.0
18 Baskonia2020%57.076.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin189302784
Fenerbahce1916181770
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